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Minimum Wage: revised hourly rate from 1st April 2012 (P.183/2011) – comments.

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STATES OF JERSEY

MINIMUM WAGE: REVISED HOURLY RATE FROM 1ST APRIL 2012 (P.183/2011) – COMMENTS

Presented to the States on 13th January 2012 by the Minister for Social Security

STATES GREFFE

2011   Price code: A  P.183 Com.(2)

COMMENTS

The Minister opposes the Proposition and intends (subject to the States decision) to make an Order setting a minimum wage of £6.48 per hour, as recommended by the Employment Forum, for the following reasons –

  1. The Forum has recommended a minimum wage increase of 16 pence per hour. The Minister  recognises that a further  4 pence increase  might  be  seen  as inconsequential, but he is mindful of the wider direct and indirect impacts.
  2. At this time, the labour market is very weak and unemployment is the highest priority; increasing employment costs could undermine the competitiveness of businesses, many of which are exporters, and risk further job losses.
  3. There  is a  risk  that  the  resulting  impact  to maintain  pay  differentials throughout a business might be unsustainable, also potentially leading to job losses.
  4. The September Business Tendency Survey shows that many firms are already negative about employment prospects, now and in future.
  5. The Deputy suggests that the Forum ignored data. The Minister is satisfied that the Forum considered all of the statistical data, economic evidence and consultation responses presented toit, and having balanced all of the relevant factors, reached its unanimous recommendation for a 2.5% increase.
  6. The political decision to gradually increase the minimum wage from 40% to 45%  of  the  mean  average  wage  is subject  to  consideration  of  economic circumstances. The recent cautious minimum wage increases are not the result of a policy change and larger increases relative to average earnings will be considered in the future, subject to improvement in the economy.
  7. If wages are being frozen, and decreasing in some cases, the average earnings index will reflect this. The minimum wage is therefore likely to increase relative to 40% of average earnings over the coming years.
  8. In most other jurisdictions where minimum wages exist, minimum wages have been frozen, or moderate increases have been applied, as in Jersey.
  9. Businesses,  particularly  in the  hospitality  and  agriculture  industries,  have already  set  their  prices  and  tariffs  for  2012  based  on  the  Forum's recommendation. Intervention in the hourly rate at this stage is disruptive and costly to industry.
  10. States Members receive the Forum's minimum wage consultation each year and are free to respond, anonymously if they wish, during that consultation period.

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P.183/2011 Com.(2)