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Anticipated underspends in the year end position

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WQ.359/2024

WRITTEN QUESTION TO THE MINISTER FOR TREASURY AND RESOURCES

BY DEPUTY K.M. WILSON OF ST. CLEMENT

QUESTION SUBMITTED ON MONDAY 14th OCTOBER 2024

ANSWER TO BE TABLED ON MONDAY 21st OCTOBER 2024

Question

"In relation to Government departmental underspends, will the Minister advise –

  1. which departments, if any, are currently underspending and what the current level of any such underspends are, expressed both as an amount within the departmental budget and as a percentage of that budget;
  2. the reasons, if known, for any such underspends;
  3. the projected underspend for each department as of 31st December 2024; and
  4. where underspends are anticipated, whether these funds have been re-allocated in advance, and if so, to which departments, the reasons for any such increases and the anticipated improvement and efficiency gain arising from any such allocations?"

Answer

  1. The Council of Ministers receive financial information quarterly with the latest provided being that as at 30 June 2024 (with underspends highlighted):

 

£'000

Year To 30 June

Forecast

% to

Budget

Full Year

Forecast

% to

Budget

Budget

Actual

Under  / (Over) Spends

Budget

Forecast

Under / (Over) Spends

Cabinet Office

 57,258

 54,759

 2,499

4.4%

 90,909

 92,129

 (1,220)

  (1.3%)

Jersey Overseas Aid

 8,953

 6,707

 2,246

25.1%

 20,041

 20,041

 -

0.0%

Customer and Local Services

 53,968

 52,177

 1,791

3.3%

108,085

  104,374

 3,711

3.4%

Treasury and Exchequer

 82,772

 81,414

 1,358

1.6%

161,449

  160,064

 1,385

0.9%

Non Ministerial States Bodies

 22,139

 20,829

 1,310

5.9%

 45,631

 46,389

 (758)

  (1.7%)

Justice and Home Affairs

 21,537

 20,632

 905

4.2%

 43,008

 41,789

 1,219

2.8%

Financial Services

 5,675

 5,064

 611

10.8%

 11,546

 10,827

 719

6.2%

Ministry of External Relations

 1,638

 1,455

 183

11.2%

 3,558

 3,428

 130

3.7%

States of Jersey Police

 14,871

 15,062

 (191)

-1.3%

 29,875

 30,112

 (237)

  (0.8%)

Environment

 5,822

 6,481

 (659)

  -11.3%

 12,033

 11,686

 347

2.9%

EDTSC

 19,044

 20,243

 (1,199)

-6.3%

 37,523

 38,934

 (1,411)

  (3.8%)

Children, Young People, Education and Skills

 111,720

  112,899

 (1,179)

-1.1%

223,254

  225,756

 (2,502)

  (1.1%)

Infrastructure

 24,369

 25,977

 (1,608)

-6.6%

 59,501

 60,346

 (845)

  (1.4%)

Health and Community Services

 151,826

  165,650

  (13,824)

-9.1%

304,551

  328,789

  (24,238)

  (8.0%)

  1. Below we have included the key drivers to the underspends to 30 June.

 

Department

Reasons for year to 30 June variance

Cabinet Office

The forecasted underspend in the SPPP is attributed to staff vacancies across services and efforts to meet the 20% growth cut target. Additionally, the department is preparing for the role reduction target set for 2025. However, this is expected to be offset by year-end, potentially leading to an overspend.

Jersey Overseas Aid

This variance is due to a timing difference; the budget is expected to be fully utilized by the end of the year.

Customer and Local Services

CLS is forecasting an underspend in Income Support Weekly Benefits. This is primarily due to lower- than-expected earned income volumes and the timing of various ad hoc benefit payments.

Treasury and Exchequer

The underspend is primarily due to staff vacancies.

Non Ministerial States Bodies

The underspend is largely due to staff vacancies and a minor overachievement of income. However, this is expected to be offset by year-end, potentially leading to an overspend.

Justice and Home Affairs

The underspend is primarily due to staff vacancies.

Financial Services

The underspend is mainly driven by staff vacancies and a reduction in business administration costs.

Ministry of External Relations

The underspend is primarily due to staff vacancies.

(C) This has been included within the answer to part a).

(d) Following the proposal in Budget 2025 to reduce certain previous growth allocated for 2024 by 20%, the Principal Accountable Officer has instructed all Accountable Officers to spend within the reduced levels of growth in 2024 to ensure successful delivery of the savings in 2025. It is anticipated that these amounts will be removed from departments and moved into the Central Reserve. No formal decisions for onward allocation of the amount from the reserve have been made, although the table in part a) shows where there are pressures in departments, in particular in Health, that will need to be addressed.