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Expenditure Proposals for 2012 and 2013 and Draft Budget Statement 2011 (P.157/2010): third amendment (P.157/2010 Amd.(3)) – comments.

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STATES OF JERSEY

EXPENDITURE PROPOSALS FOR 2012 AND 2013 AND DRAFT BUDGET STATEMENT 2011 (P.157/2010) – THIRD AMENDMENT (P.157/2010 Amd.(3)) – COMMENTS

Presented to the States on 6th December 2010 by the Council of Ministers

STATES GREFFE

2010   Price code: A  P.157 Amd.(3)Com.(2)

COMMENTS

The  majority  of  the  Council  of  Ministers  supports  the  arguments  set  out  in  the comments presented by the Minister for Treasury and Resources.

Accepting amendment 3 would reduce States income and increase the deficit each year. The table below shows the net financial impacts depending on the rate of GST that applies –

2011 2012 2013 (7 months) (year) (year)

£m £m £m GST at 3% 2.7 4.6 4.6 GST at 4% 3.7 6.3 6.3 GST at 5% 4.6 7.9 7.9

Summary

A summary of the arguments that the Council of Ministers supports are as follows –

  • GST  exemptions  would  be  an  inefficient  way  to  support  those  on  lower incomes, since those on higher incomes actually receive more in cash terms from such a policy.
  • There would be substantial administrative costs if this proposition is adopted.
  • The complexities involved with zero-rating food and domestic energy will  increase  both  the  cost  of  compliance  for  those  businesses involved and the cost of administration for the Taxes Office.
  • These exclusions will also reduce the voluntary compliance rates by businesses, which so far have been very high at around 92%.
  • A broad-based consumption tax like the current GST system has a number of economic advantages over a system with exemptions.
  • There is a real risk in Jersey that some or all of the reduction in GST on food and/or domestic energy would not be passed on through lower prices.

The Council of Ministers is concerned about the impact of GST on the less well-off. They fully support the Budget proposals which, if approved, will protect the less well- off from the impact of proposed increase in the rate of GST.

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