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9570 The impact of inward migration

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1240/5(9570)

WRITTEN QUESTION TO THE CHIEF MINISTER

BY DEPUTY J.A.N. LE FONDRÉ OF ST. LAWRENCE ANSWER TO BE TABLED ON TUESDAY 13TH SEPTEMBER 2016

Question

If the costs per individual identified in written question 1240/5(9569) are applied to 50% and then separately 75% of the gross inward migration increase since 2005, on this basis what would the total cost per year be of gross inward migration to the taxpayer?

Does the States of Jersey collect data on the number of people coming to Jersey who work for employers that pay tax locally?

What proportion of the increase in the number of primary school children in States schools since 2011 belong to families that arrived in Jersey within 10 years of the date when the first child in such families first started at such a school? What is the total capital and revenue expenditure for the provision of facilities and staff required to cater for increased pupil numbers since 2011? What is the estimated annual cost to the public purse of additional facilities and staff required for teaching pupils whose first language is not English?

What proportion of the current demand for housing units stems from individuals who have achieved their 10 year housing qualifications since 2010?

Answer

Research and analysis is being planned by the Economics Unit to examine the economic and fiscal implications of different levels and types of inward migration, collating and aggregating as required the range of existing information which departments use to plan public finances and services, for example, the absolute and marginal costs of health care by age band, the average weighted pupil costs at primary and secondary school, and other information covering social security contributions and benefits.

Completing the work in this rigorous fashion will deliver rounded and expert information to support the development of the long term plan, inclusive of population policies, and clear aspirations for our economy, community, and environment. Once the scope of this research work is complete, this will be reported, inclusive of expected timing, in support of the long term plan.

In the meantime it is not possible in the time available to provide this information, or some of this information in response to this question and in the form requested, requiring as it does detailed collation across a number of years and department, and consider the factors mentioned in response to question 9569 (as well as indepth analysis of businesses and their employees, and the marginal impact of people becoming resident after or before given dates).