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P.130-2020 Government Plan 2021-24 (Re-issue) [P.130/2020]

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STATES OF JERSEY

GOVERNMENT PLAN 2021-24

Lodged au Greffe on 12th October 2020 by the Council of Ministers

STATES GREFFE

2020  P.130

PROPOSITION

THE STATES are asked to decide whether they are of opinion

to receive the Government Plan 2021 – 2024 specified in Article 9(1) of the Public Finances (Jersey) Law 2019 ("the Law") and specifically –

  1. to approve the estimate of total States income to be paid into the Consolidated Fund in 2021 as set out in Appendix 2 – Summary Table 1 to the Report, which is inclusive of the proposed taxation and impôts duties changes outlined in the Government Plan, in line with Article 9(2)(a) of the Law;
  2. to approve the amounts to be transferred from one States fund to another for 2021, in line with Article 9(2)(b) as set out in Appendix 2 – Summary Table 2 to the Report;
  3. to approve the proposed borrowing to be obtained for 2021, in line with Article 9 (2)(c), up to and including the amount set out in Appendix 2

Summary Table 3 to the Report;

  1. to approve each major project that is to be started or continued in 2021 and the total cost of each such project and any amendments to the proposed total cost of a major project under a previously approved government plan, in line with Article 9(2)(d), (e) and (f) of the Law and as set out in Appendix 2 - Summary Table 4 to the Report;
  2. to endorse the efficiencies and other re-balancing measures for 2021 contained in the Government Plan as set out in Appendix 2 Summary Table  6  and  reflected  within  each  gross  head  of  expenditure  in Appendix 2 – Summary Table 5(i);
  3. to  approve  the  proposed  amount  to  be  appropriated  from  the Consolidated Fund for 2021, for each head of expenditure, being gross expenditure less estimated income (if any), in line with Articles 9(2)(g), 10(1) and 10(2) of the Law and set out in Appendix 2 – Summary Tables 5(i) and (ii) of the Report;
  4. to approve the estimated income, being estimated gross income less expenditure, that each States trading operation will pay into its trading fund in 2021 in line with Article 9(2)(h) of the Law and set out in Appendix 2 – Summary Table 7 to the Report;
  5. to approve the proposed amount to be appropriated from each States trading operation's trading fund for 2021 for each head of expenditure in line with Article 9(2)(i) of the Law and set out in Appendix 2 – Summary Table 8 to the Report;
  6. to approve the estimated income and expenditure proposals for the Climate Emergency Fund for 2021as set out in Appendix 2 – Summary Table 9 to the Report; and
  1. to approve, in accordance with Article 9(1) of the Law, the Government Plan 2021-2024, as set out at Appendix 3 to the Report.

COUNCIL OF MINISTERS

REPORT

Introduction

In accordance with Articles 9(1) and 15 of the Public Finances (Jersey) Law 2019, the Council of Ministers seeks the approval of the States Assembly to the Government Plan 2021-2024.

Article 9(1) of the Public Finances (Jersey) Law 2019 provides that the Council of Ministers must prepare a Government Plan and lodge it in sufficient time for the States to debate and approve it before the start of the next financial year.

Article 15 of the Public Finances (Jersey) Law 2019 sets out the effect of the approval by the States Assembly of a Government Plan.

Variation of Standing Orders and the lodging period

A minimum lodging period of 12 weeks ordinarily applies to a Government Plan.

Prior to the COVID-19 pandemic, the Council of Ministers had planned to lodge the Government Plan for 2021-24 on 8th September 2020, so that it could be debated at the States sitting commencing on 1st December 2020, in accordance with the requirements of the Public Finances (Jersey) Law 2019 and Standing Orders.

Bearing in mind, it is essential that the Government Plan is based upon, and responds to, up-to-date social, economic and financial information for it to be meaningful and have value, it was not possible to do that within the pre COVID-19 timeline.

Furthermore,  due  to  COVID-19,  the  development  of  the  Plan  was  delayed  by approximately 2 months as resources had been deployed in emergency response to the pandemic. Therefore, a proposition was approved by the States Assembly to vary the lodging period for the Government Plan 2021-2024 only, P.72/2020, allowing 9 weeks for the Assembly to scrutinise the Government Plan. To mitigate any impacts on Scrutiny Panels of the shortened lodging period, the document has been made available to the Government Plan Review Panel 2 weeks earlier than the lodged document.

Structure of the Government Plan

Part 3 of the Public Finances (Jersey) Law 2019 sets out the statutory content and scope for  the  Government  Plan  and  is  included  in  Appendix  1  for  ease  of  reference. This requires certain specific information to be included within the Government Plan and also requires the Council of Ministers to provide any other information that the Council of Ministers believes that the States may reasonably expect to need, in order to consider the matters required to be set out in the Government Plan. The Government Plan 2021-2024, in Appendix 3, sets out this information.

The Council of Ministers has also published, alongside the Government Plan, further supporting information to assist the States Assembly in considering the matters set out in the Government Plan.

Draft Legislation containing a Taxation Draft and Social Security amendments

As the Government Plan 2021-2024 proposes imposing, or varying, a tax for 2021, in accordance with Articles 11 and 12 of the Public Finance (Jersey) Law 2019, the Minister for Treasury and Resources will lodge draft legislation containing a taxation draft that implements those proposals. This will be lodged in line with the 6-week lodging period as required by Standing Orders so that it can be debated and approved by the States in the same sitting as the Government Plan.

The Government Plan 2021 – 2024 also proposes various changes to Social Security contribution liabilities (including removing the States grant to the Social Security Fund); the Minister for Social Security will lodge draft legislation containing the necessary legislative amendments that implement the changes.

Dealing with the costs of COVID-19 and the Proposed Government Plan 2021-2024

The effects of COVID-19 on the Government's income and expenditure has been estimated at £255 million during 2020, with a further £87 million of costs anticipated during 2021. The assumption used to make that estimate is that Jersey remains at level 1 in terms of lock down and that schemes, such as the co-funded payroll scheme, continue throughout the year, but at a reducing level. Other schemes, such as the test and tracing programme, include cost estimates for 6 months of 2021, with the view that a charging mechanism will be decided, developed and agreed over the coming months, recognising that continuing with 100% of Government funding is not affordable.

In addition to this, if the States Assembly approves the proposition, a £50 million Fiscal Stimulus Fund is proposed as part of the support measures to the economy. This fund would bring forward projects that can generate business activity and support local employment.

There may be unexpected costs and we may not remain at Level 1 for the whole period; therefore, a £40 million ring-fenced reserve has been included in the plan. If both of these sums are not sufficient to cope with necessary expenditure in 2021, the Council of Ministers will need to come back to the States in order to amend the Government Plan.

Rebalancing Government Finances for 2021

The  Council  of  Ministers  were  not  able  to  present  their  efficiencies  programme embedded in departmental cash limits for 2020 when they lodged the Government Plan 2020-2023. But they did commit to including the programme in future plans. This plan does that and the details of how departments have committed to release funding from their cash limits through efficiencies, changing how they are delivering certain services, and increasing the Government's revenue through further recovery of existing costs, moving towards full cost recovery of services, where appropriate.

£20 million is being delivered in 2021 and how that is being delivered can be found in section 3 of the Government Plan with a summary description of each measure available in the table attached to this proposition.

Amendments to the lodged Government Plan 2021-2024

States Members seeking to amend the Government Plan 2021-2024 are asked to note that the Public Finances (Jersey) Law 2019 provides:

"13 Amendment to lodged government plan

  1. An amendment to a lodged government plan may, in addition to proposing the amendment to the plan, propose –
    1. the amendment of any enactment that imposes a tax or provides for the administration of a tax (whether or not the Minister has lodged a taxation draft that would amend the enactment); or
    2. the imposition of a new tax.
  2. A person, committee or panel who intends to propose an amendment to any element of a lodged government plan referred to in Article 9(2) must, in preparing the amendment, take into account the impact of the amendment on –
  1. the States' finances;
  2. the medium-term and long-term sustainability of the States' finances and the outlook for the economy in Jersey; and
  3. the sustainable well-being of the inhabitants of Jersey over successive generations."

In addition, it states that:

"14 Limitations on approval

The States may not approve a government plan that would –

  1. show a negative balance in the Consolidated Fund at the end of the first financial year covered by the plan; or
  2. authorise the transfer of money between one States fund and another in a manner that is inconsistent with any enactment or with the terms of a States fund."

Effect of Approval of the Government Plan 2021-2024

The Public Finances (Jersey) Law 2019 provides that the effect of the approval by the States Assembly of a Government Plan:

Is an approval of the appropriations, financing and transfers set out in the Plan for the first financial year it covers, such that in that year; –

  • an  amount  of  not  more  than  an  approved  appropriation  may  be withdrawn from the Consolidated Fund and spent in accordance with the Plan;
  • a States body or area of operation specified under Article 9(8) may withdraw from the Consolidated Fund an amount, to be spent on the related head of expenditure, of not more than the lesser of –

the amount of income that is earned by, or is attributable to, the States body or area of operation in that year; and

the amount, set out in the Plan under Article 9(8) in relation to the head of expenditure, of the estimated income of the States body or area of operation.

  • a States trading operation may withdraw from its fund an amount of not more than the approved appropriation and spend it in accordance with the Plan;
  • the Minister may arrange financing in accordance with the Plan; and
  • money may be transferred between States funds in accordance with the Plan.

Is an approval of –

  • the designation of a project, set out in the Plan, that is to be designated as a major project;
  • the undertaking of the major projects that are set out in, or designated under, the Plan; and
  • the proposed total cost, from start to finish, of each of those major projects.

Authorises the Minister to direct how an approved appropriation for a reserve head of expenditure in the Plan may be spent (including on another head of expenditure) in the first financial year covered by the Plan; and

Is not an approval of any appropriations, financing or transfers for the years following the first financial year covered by the Plan.

APPENDIX 1

Extract from the Public Finance (Jersey) Law 2019

PART 3

FINANCIAL PLANNING AND AUTHORITY TO SPEND Government plan and taxation drafts

9 Preparation and lodging of government plan  

  1. Each financial year, the Council of Ministers must prepare a government plan and lodge it in sufficient time for the States to debate and approve it before the start of the next financial year.
  2. The government plan must set out –
  1. the estimated income to be paid into the Consolidated Fund in the next financial year;
  2. the proposed amount of any transfer of money from one States fund to another during the next financial year;
  3. the amount of any other proposed financing to be obtained for the next financial year;
  4. each major project, and each project that is to be designated as a major project, that –
    1. is proposed to be started in the next financial year, and
    2. has not previously been set out in an approved government plan;
  5. the proposed total cost, from start to finish, of each project referred to in sub-paragraph (d);
  6. any amendment to the proposed total cost, from start to finish, of a major project that was set out in or designated under a previously approved government plan;
  7. the proposed amount to be appropriated from the Consolidated Fund for the next financial year, per head of expenditure;
  8. the estimated income from each States trading operation to be paid into its fund in the next financial year; and
  9. the proposed amount to be appropriated from each States trading operation's fund for the next financial year, per head of expenditure.
  1. The government plan must also set out, more generally –
    1. the estimated income to be paid into the Consolidated Fund in the 3 financial years following the next financial year;
    2. the estimated amount of any proposed transfer of money from one States fund to another during each of those 3 financial years;
    3. the estimated amount of any other proposed financing to be obtained for each of those 3 financial years;
    4. the total estimated expenditures from the Consolidated Fund for each of those 3 financial years;
    5. the estimated expenditures from the Consolidated Fund for each major project to be carried out in each of those 3 financial years;
    6. the estimated income from each States trading operation to be paid into its fund for each of those 3 financial years; and
    7. the total estimated expenditures from each States trading operation's fund for each of those 3 financial years.
  2. The government plan must also include –
  1. the estimated amounts that will be in each of the States funds listed in Schedule 5 at the start and at the end of each of the 4 financial years covered by the plan; and
  2. any other information that the Council of Ministers believes that the States may reasonably be expected to need in order to consider the matters mentioned in paragraphs (2) and (3) and sub-paragraph (a).
  1. The Council of Ministers must not lodge a government plan that shows a negative balance in the Consolidated Fund at the end of any of the financial years covered by the plan.
  2. The Council of Ministers must –
    1. in preparing the government plan, take into account the medium-term and long-term sustainability of the States' finances and the outlook for the economy in Jersey; and
    2. set out in the government plan how the proposals in the government plan take those matters into account.
  3. The government plan may include a reserve as a head of expenditure.
  4. The government plan may, in relation to a head of expenditure, set out an amount of the estimated income to be earned by, or be attributable to, a specified States body or area of operation of a States body in the next financial year.
  5. The Council of Ministers must –
  1. in preparing the government plan, take into account the sustainable well-being (including the economic, social, environmental and cultural well-being) of the inhabitants of Jersey over successive generations; and
  2. set out in the government plan how the proposals in the plan take that sustainable well-being into account.

10 Proposed appropriations for non-Ministerial States bodies

  1. A government plan lodged by the Council of Ministers must set out, as the proposed amount referred to in Article 9(2)(g) to be appropriated in relation to the operations of a non-Ministerial States body for the next financial year, the amount that is submitted to the Council of Ministers by

  1. the chairman of the States' Public Accounts Committee, in the case of the office of the Comptroller and Auditor General;
  2. the chairman of the States' Privileges and Procedures Committee, in the case of the States Greffe; and
  3. the non-Ministerial States body, in the case of any other non- Ministerial States body.
  1. The Council of Ministers may include, in the government plan, a statement indicating whether or not the Council supports any of the submitted amounts referred to in paragraph (1).
  2. For the avoidance of doubt, the amounts set out in the government plan under this Article may be the subject of an amendment under Article 13.

11 Lodging of taxation draft  

  1. If a lodged government plan proposes imposing or varying a tax for the next financial year, the Minister must lodge draft legislation containing a taxation draft that implements the proposal in sufficient time for the taxation draft to be debated and approved by the States before the start of that financial year.
  1. Paragraph (1) does not prevent the Minister from lodging other draft legislation containing a taxation draft at any time.
  2. If, at any time, the States approve a proposition that suggests that a taxation draft should be lodged and the Minister does not lodge draft legislation containing a taxation draft in sufficient time for it to be debated before the time when it should have effect, the Minister must explain why he or she has not lodged it.
  3. Only the Minister may lodge draft legislation that contains a taxation draft.

12 Taxation draft may be given immediate effect  

  1. The States may by Act declare that, on the Act being made, a taxation draft in a draft Law has effect as if the draft Law had been passed by the States, confirmed by Her Majesty in Council and registered in the Royal Court.
  2. The States may extend the application of the Act to an ancillary provision that is contained in the same draft Law.
  3. An Act referred to in paragraph (1) may be made at any time after the taxation draft to which it relates has been lodged.
  4. If a taxation draft which has effect under paragraph (1) provides for the renewal of an existing tax, any enactment which was in force in respect of the tax as last imposed has full force and effect with respect to the renewed tax, subject to any taxation draft or ancillary provision which also has effect under paragraph (1).
  5. If, after an Act has been made under paragraph (1), a taxation draft or ancillary provision given effect by the Act is amended before it is confirmed by Her Majesty in Council, money that is paid or deducted in respect of it but that would not have been paid or deducted in respect of the version as amended and confirmed must be repaid or made good.
  6. If, after an Act has been made under paragraph (1), a taxation draft or ancillary provision given effect by the Act is not adopted by the States or is not confirmed by Her Majesty in Council, any money paid or deducted under it must be repaid or made good.
  7. In this Article –
  1. an "ancillary provision" is a provision in a draft Law that provides for –
  1. the collection and administration of a tax,
  2. the proper administration of matters connected with the imposition

of a tax,

  1. the interpretation, application, effect or commencement of a

taxation draft,

  1. consequential amendments, transitional arrangements or savings

that are supplemental to a taxation draft being given effect; and

  1. a reference to a taxation draft or ancillary provision includes any amendment to a taxation draft or ancillary provision that is adopted by the States before the Act is declared.

13 Amendment to lodged government plan  

  1. An amendment to a lodged government plan may, in addition to proposing the amendment to the plan, propose –
  1. the amendment of any enactment that imposes a tax or provides for the administration of a tax (whether or not the Minister has lodged a taxation draft that would amend the enactment); or
  1. the imposition of a new tax.
  1. A person, committee or panel who intends to propose an amendment to any element of a lodged government plan referred to in Article 9(2) must, in preparing the amendment, take into account the impact of the amendment on –
  1. the States' finances;
  2. the medium-term and long-term sustainability of the States' finances and the outlook for the economy in Jersey; and
  3. the sustainable well-being of the inhabitants of Jersey over successive generations.

Approval of government plan

14 Limitations on approval  

The States may not approve a government plan that would –

  1. show a negative balance in the Consolidated Fund at the end of the first financial year covered by the plan; or
  2. authorise the transfer of money between one States fund and another in a manner that is inconsistent with any enactment or with the terms of a States fund.

15 Effect of approval  

  1. The approval by the States of a government plan is an approval of the appropriations, financing and transfers set out in the plan for the first financial year it covers, such that in that year –
  1. an amount of not more than an approved appropriation may be withdrawn from the Consolidated Fund and spent in accordance with the plan;
  2. a States body or area of operation specified under Article 9(8) may withdraw from the Consolidated Fund an amount, to be spent on the related head of expenditure, of not more than the lesser of –
    1. the amount of income that is earned by, or is attributable to, the States body or area of operation in that year, and
    2. the amount, set out in the plan under Article 9(8) in relation to the head of expenditure, of the estimated income of the States body or area of operation;
  3. a States trading operation may withdraw from its fund an amount of not more than the approved appropriation and spend it in accordance with the plan;
  4. the Minister may arrange financing in accordance with the plan; and
  5. money may be transferred between States funds in accordance with the plan.
  1. The approval by the States of a government plan is also an approval of –
    1. the designation of a project, set out in the plan, that is to be designated as a major project;
    2. the undertaking of the major projects that are set out in, or designated under, the plan; and
    3. the proposed total cost, from start to finish, of each of those major projects.
  2. The approval by the States of a government plan authorises the Minister to direct how an approved appropriation for a reserve head of

expenditure in the plan may be spent (including on another head of expenditure) in the first financial year covered by the plan.

  1. For the avoidance of doubt, approval by the States of a government plan is not an approval of any appropriations, financing or transfers for the years following the first financial year covered by the plan.

16 Amendment to an approved government plan  

  1. The States may amend an approved government plan only on a proposition lodged by the Council of Ministers.
  2. A proposition to amend an approved government plan must not result in the plan showing a negative balance in the Consolidated Fund at the end of any financial year covered by the plan.

Supplementary powers

17 Approval still pending at start of financial year  

  1. This Article applies if the States have not approved a lodged government plan before the start of the first financial year covered by the plan.
  2. For each month of that year during which the government plan remains unapproved, an amount up to the maximum set out in paragraph (4) may be withdrawn from the Consolidated Fund in respect of a proposed head of expenditure set out in the unapproved plan if there is an equivalent head of expenditure set out in the most recently approved government plan.
  3. For each month of that year during which the government plan remains unapproved, a States trading operation may withdraw an amount up to the maximum set out in paragraph (4) from its fund in respect of a proposed head of expenditure set out in the unapproved plan if there is an equivalent head of expenditure, under which an amount is appropriated from that fund, set out in the most recently approved government plan.
  4. The maximum referred to in paragraphs (2) and (3) is 1/12th of the amount of the appropriation for the equivalent head of expenditure set out in the most recently approved government plan.
  5. Articles 18 and 22 apply, with any modifications that the circumstances require, with respect to heads of expenditure in the unapproved government plan.
  6. Paragraphs (2) and (3) cease to apply as soon as the States approves the government plan referred to in paragraph (1), and in that case any amounts withdrawn under this Article are treated as being withdrawn under that plan.

18 Power to re-allocate  

  1. Despite an approved government plan, the Minister may direct that a specified amount appropriated under the plan for one head of expenditure be allocated to another head of expenditure that is –
    1. set out in the plan; or
    2. a new head of expenditure relating to a major project set out in, or designated by, the plan or a previously approved government plan.
  2. The specified amount may be withdrawn from the Consolidated Fund and spent on that other head of expenditure in the same financial year

for which the amount was appropriated, as if the amount had been appropriated for that other head of expenditure.

  1. For the avoidance of doubt, the total amount appropriated for the original head of expenditure is decreased by the specified amount.
  2. The Minister must give the States at least 4 weeks' notice of the day on which the Minister proposes to give a direction under this Article and, if a proposition objecting to the proposed direction is lodged before that day, the Minister must not give the direction unless and until the States reject the proposition or the proposition is withdrawn.
  3. If a direction under this Article would affect a head of expenditure that relates to the responsibilities of any Minister, that Minister must be consulted before the direction is made.

19 Power to transfer amounts to following year's reserve  

Despite an approved government plan, the Minister may direct that an unspent amount appropriated for a head of expenditure in one financial year be deemed to be appropriated for a reserve head of expenditure for the following financial year.

20 Power to transfer major project amounts to following year  

Despite an approved government plan, the Minister may direct that an unspent amount appropriated for a head of expenditure for a major project in one financial year is deemed to be appropriated for a head of expenditure for that major project for the following financial year.

21 Power to allocate excess income  

  1. This Article applies if –
    1. an approved government plan includes, under Article 9(8), the estimated income that will be earned by, or be attributable to, a States body or by an area of operation of a States body during the first financial year covered by the plan; and
    2. income in excess of that estimate is earned by, or attributable to, the States body or area of operation during that financial year.
  2. Despite the approved government plan, the Minister may direct that the excess income referred to in paragraph (1)(b) be allocated to a head of expenditure set out in the plan.
  3. The amount subject to the Minister's direction may be withdrawn from the Consolidated Fund and spent on that head of expenditure in the first financial year covered by the approved government plan, as if the amount had been appropriated for that head of expenditure.

22 Limitations on powers – non-Ministerial States bodies and States

trading operations  

  1. The Minister may give a direction under any of Articles 18 to 21 with respect to a head of expenditure that relates to the operations of a non- Ministerial States body only with the approval of –
  1. the chairman of the States' Public Accounts Committee, in the case of the Comptroller and Auditor General;
  2. the chairman of the States' Privileges and Procedures Committee, in the case of the States Greffe; or
  1. the accountable officer of the non-Ministerial States body, in any other case.
  1. Amounts appropriated from a States trading operation's fund may only be allocated under Article 18 to –
    1. another head of expenditure, set out in the plan, for which amounts are appropriated from that fund, or
    2. a new head of expenditure relating to a major project, described in Article 18(1)(b), that is being undertaken by the States trading operation.
  2. Articles 19 and 21 do not apply with respect to amounts appropriated in relation to a States trading operation from the Consolidated Fund or its fund.

23 Semi-annual updates  

  1. The Minister must, in accordance with paragraph (2), prepare and present to the States a written statement setting out –
    1. each function undertaken, within the applicable 6-month period referred to in paragraph (2), under any of Articles 18 to 21, 24 and 26 to 28; and
    2. each direction given, within the applicable 6-month period referred to in paragraph (2), by the Minister under Article 15(3) with respect to the amounts appropriated for a reserve head of expenditure.
  2. The Minister must present the statement in respect of the first 6 months of a financial year no later than 31st August of that year, and must present the statement in respect of the second 6 months of the financial year no later than the last day of February of the next year.

Emergency expenditures

24 Authority to withdraw a specified amount  

  1. Despite an approved government plan, the Minister may authorise the withdrawal of a specified amount from the Consolidated Fund if he or she is satisfied that –
    1. the circumstances described in paragraph (2) require an immediate expenditure; and
    2. no other amount, or an insufficient amount, may be withdrawn from the Consolidated Fund under the applicable approved government plan.
  2. The circumstances referred to in paragraph (1)(a) are –
    1. a state of emergency has been declared under the Emergency Powers and Planning (Jersey) Law 19904; or
    2. the Minister is satisfied that there exists an immediate threat to the health or safety of any of the inhabitants of Jersey, to the stability of the economy in Jersey or to the environment.
  3. The Minister must present a notice to the States of a withdrawal under paragraph (1) as soon as is practicable after it occurs.
  4. If the amount specified under paragraph (1) is less than £10 million, the Minister may, despite the approved government plan, direct that the amount be appropriated from the Consolidated Fund.
  5. If the amount specified under paragraph (1) is £10 million or more, the applicable approved government plan must be amended accordingly under Article 16.

APPENDIX 2 Summary Tables

Summary Table 1 – Proposed States Income

 

2021 Estimate (£000)

2022 Estimate (£000)

2023 Estimate (£000)

2024 Estimate (£000)

 

Income Tax

 

Personal Income Tax

461,000

500,000

534,000

561,000

 

Companies

97,000

103,000

108,000

113,000

 

Provision for Bad Debt

(6,000)

(6,000)

(3,000)

(3,000)

 

Income Tax Total

552,000

597,000

639,000

671,000

 

 

 

Goods & Services Tax (GST)

 

Goods & Services Tax (GST)

75,700

82,000

85,600

89,400

 

ISE Fees

8,910

8,910

8,910

8,910

 

GST Total

84,610

90,910

94,510

98,310

 

 

 

Impôt Duties

 

Impôt Duties Spirits

7,185

7,293

7,476

7,701

 

Impôt Duties Wine

8,986

9,122

9,340

9,622

 

Impôt Duties Cider

860

855

858

868

 

Impôt Duties Beer

6,569

6,633

6,691

6,791

 

Impôt Duties Tobacco

16,463

15,715

15,933

15,352

 

Impôt Duties Fuel

24,993

27,517

27,895

28,307

 

Impôt Duties Goods (Customs)

200

200

200

200

 

Vehicle Emissions Duty (VED)

2,730

2,644

2,644

2,644

 

Impôt Duties

67,986

69,979

71,037

71,485

 

 

 

Stamp Duty

 

Stamp Duty

26,306

25,507

26,276

27,078

 

Probate

2,400

2,400

2,400

2,400

 

Stamp Duty on Share Transfer (LTT)

2,247

2,342

2,442

2,545

 

Stamp Duty

30,953

30,249

31,118

32,023

 

 

 

Central Scenario

735,549

788,138

835,665

872,818

 

Annual growth %

2.2%

7.1%

6.0%

4.4%

 

Increased collections - Domestic Compliance

8,600

10,900

12,000

13,500

 

Additional Tax measures

 

 

0

10,000

 

Additional ISE Fees

3,500

3,500

3,500

3,500

 

 

 

Total General Tax Revenue

747,649

802,538

851,165

899,818

 

 

 

Island Rate Income from Parishes

13,486

13,809

14,155

14,523

 

Other States Income - Dividends

8,133

8,568

8,918

9,347

 

Other States Income - Non-Dividends

5,473

5,784

7,967

7,949

 

Other States Income - return from Andium Homes and Housing Trusts

31,774

32,618

33,520

34,445

 

Other Government Income

58,866

60,779

64,560

66,264

 

 

 

Total States Income

806,515

863,318

915,724

966,081

 

 

Summary Table 2 – Transfers to the Consolidated Fund

2021 2022 2023 2024 (£000) (£000) (£000) (£000)

Health Insurance Fund to Consolidated Fund 11,300 13,000 12,160 7,825 Charitable Funds to Consolidated Fund 1,044 989 0 0 Loans Funds to Consolidated Fund 0 5,700 0 0 Criminal Offences Confiscation Fund to Consolidated Fund 1,956 1,609 2,396 0 Total transfers to/from the Consolidated Fund 14,300 21,298 14,556 7,825

Summary Table 3 – Proposed borrowing for 2021

2021 2022 2023 2024 (£000) (£000) (£000) (£000)

Funding required from Revolving Credit Facility 335,953 70,864 -5,547  -6,808

Summary Table 4 – Full costs of projects designated as a Major Project, to be started in 2021 and projects with amended totals since Government Plan 2020

 

 

Department

2020-2023 Governmen t Plan

Full Cost (£000)

2021-2024 Government Plan

Full Cost (£000)

MS Foundation

COO

9,000

7 ,000

VCP Replacement School

CYPES

-

Mont a l'Abbe Secondary School

CYPES

 

Redesign of Greenfields

CYPES

 

Learning Difficulties - Specialist Accommodation

HCS

 

Fort Regent (Early Phase)

IHE

 

4 ,800

Our Hospital (Phase Two)

HCS

 

Digital Care Strategy

HCS

 

1 6,185

Office Modernisation

OCE

 

Total

 

9,000

9 2,135

Summary Table 5(i) Proposed 2021 Revenue Heads of Expenditure

Expenditure  Head of Income

Allocation Expenditure (£000)

(£000) (£000)

Departments

Chief Operating Office 1,029 37,667 36,638 Children, Young People, Education and Skills 19,845 180,131 160,286 Customer and Local Services 9,486 100,901 91,415 Infrastructure, Housing and Environment 32,592 77,163 44,571 Health and Community Services 25,031 252,466 227,435 Jersey Overseas Aid 0 12,374 12,374 Justice and Home Affairs 3,457 33,070 29,613 States of Jersey Police Service 234 27,038 26,804 Office of the Chief Executive 145 8,650 8,505 Financial Services and Digital 54 32,865 32,811 Strategic Policy, Planning and Performance 589 10,436 9,847 Treasury and Exchequer 5,261 72,366 67,105 Covid-19 Response 0 87,277 87,277 Departments total 97,723 932,404 834,681

Non-Ministerial States bodies

Bailiff 's Chambers 68 1,909 1,841 Comptroller and Auditor General 69 939 870

1,292 8,885 7,593 Judicial Greffe

Law Officers Department 288 8,740 8,452 Office of the Lieutenant Governor 107 911 804 Official Analyst 53 656 603 Probation 88 2,459 2,371 States Assembly 96 7,244 7,148 Viscount's Department 806 2,518 1,712 Non-ministerial States bodies total 2,867 34,261 31,394

100,590 966,665 866,075 Total Departments and Non-Ministerial States bodies

Revenue Reserves Heads of Expenditure

Reserve for centrally held items 0 10,782 10,782 General reserve 0 54,060 54,060 Total Revenue Reserves Heads of Expenditure 0 64,842 64,842

Total Revenue Heads of Expenditure 100,590 1,031,507 930,917 Rebalancing expenditure to be allocated 0 (950) (950)

Total income/expenditure after rebalancing 100,590 1,030,557 929,967

Summary Table 5(ii) Proposed 2021 Capital Heads of Expenditure

Head of Department Expenditure (£000)

Central Planning Reserves T&E 1,900 Discrimination law, safeguarding and regulation of care IHE 3,600 Schools extensions and Improvements IHE 5,901 Infrastructure including the Rolling Vote IHE 11,732 Drainage Foul Sewer Extensions IHE 1,000

Replacement assets COO 5,000 Phoenix Software - Viscounts NON MIN 45 Court Digitisation NON MIN 1,648 Regulation Group Digital Assets IHE 1,290 Combined Control IT JHA 2,000 Electronic Patient Records  JHA 667 Electronic Document Management Solution COO 500 IT for Migration Services COO 1,000

Service Digitisation COO 1,000 Jersey Care Model HCS 1,300

Replacement Assets and Minor Capital CYPES 200 Replacement Assets (Various) IHE 3,250 Sports Division Refurbishment  IHE 1,300 New Skatepark (net of Ports of Jersey Funding) IHE 685

Replacement Assets and Minor Capital (1) IHE 3,500 Minor Capital JHA 236 Minor Capital-Police JHA -Police 200 Equipment Replacement  JHA -Police 170 Replacement of Aerial Ladder Platform JHA 768

Conversion Courtroom 1 Magistrates Court  NON-MINS 440 States of Jersey Police Firearms Range JHA 1,200 Prison Improvement Works - Phase 6b IHE 90 Prison Phase 8  JHA 666 Dewberry House Sexual Assault Referral Centre JHA-Police 1,800 Piquet House - Family Court NON-MINS 1,071 Health Services Improvements (including vital IT Investment) HCS 5,000 Five Oaks Refurbishment HCS 2,550 Rouge Bouillon Site review outcome  IHE 2,000 In-patient/support services refurbishments HCS 1,044 Reserve for Central Risk and Inflation Funding T&E 1,500

Total 66,253

Major Projects

MS Foundation COO 2,570 Integrated Tech Solution COO 9,200 Cyber COO 6,500 Vehicle Testing Centre IHE 2,000

Learning Difficulties - Specialist Accommodation HCS 2,000 Fort Regent (Early Phase) IHE 4,800 Our Hospital (Phase Two) HCS 20,000 Digital Care Strategy HCS 3,400 Office Modernisation  OCE 650

 

Total Major Projects Heads of Expenditure

 

51,120

 

 

 

 

 

Total Capital Heads of Expenditure

 

117,373

 

Summary Table 6 – Rebalancing Government Finances in 2021

Minister

Department

Summary description

2021 value (£)

Chief Minister

COO

Transfer technology functions from CYPES and HCS into Modernisation and Digital continuing the application of OneGov principles.

900,000

Chief Minister

SPPP

Defer the implementation of the Public Services Ombudsman for one year.

378,000

Chief Minister

COO

Merge the support and re-plan commissioned research projects for the States Employment Board and Jersey Appointments Commission.

200,000

Chief Minister

COO

Review and renegotiate the GoJ print contract securing some of the reductions in print volumes derived from an increase in home working and continued investment in technology.

100,000

Chief Minister

SPPP

Defer the development of policy for Financial independence in old age by one year.

50,000

Minister for Children and Housing

SPPP

Defer the development of policy for Long term housing by one year.

25,000

Minister for Children and Housing

CYPES

Redesign the therapeutic support model for children with complex needs (including neuro assessment).

200,000

Minister for Children and Housing

CYPES

Review and realign the commissioned budget available for antenatal services with demand. Note there will be no reduction to the service.

180,000

Minister for Children and Housing

CYPES

Review and realign the budget for care leavers with demand. Note there will be no reduction to the service.

100,000

Minister for Children and Housing

CYPES

Review and realign the budget for intensive fostering with demand. Note there will be no reduction in the service.

50,000

Minister for Health and Social Services

HCS

Implement proposals from the HCS Zero Based Budget exercise once approved by the Minister.

5,000,000

Minister for Home Affairs Minister for Home Affairs

JHA JHA: SoJP

Sell a domestic dwelling no longer required by the Fire and Rescue Service whilst compensating for the reduction in rental income (prudent estimate

pending valuation).

Through the application of enhanced workforce planning implement a vacancy factor equivalent to approximately 1% of staff costs.

450,000 215,000

Minister for Home Affairs

JHA

Continue the digital transformation of GST and Customs services

50,000

Minister for Home Affairs

JHA

Continue the organisational implementation of electronic rostering to replace paper based rostering processes.

50,000

Minister for Home Affairs

JHA: SoJP

Restructure the Intelligence Administration function to reflect known leavers and vacancies

20,000

Minister for Infrastructure

IHE

Revise and release a portion of the budget for the Health Estate in light of progress made with backlog maintenance and to reflect capital allocations within the HCS budget.

4,000,000

Minister for Infrastructure

IHE

Reduce a portion of the property maintenance budget to reflect a reprioritisation of assets requiring maintenance; informed by the Office Accommodation Project.

300,000

Minister for Infrastructure

Ministers for Infrastructure , Environment, EDTSC

Minister for Social Security

IHE IHE CLS

Re-structure Facilities Management across Government to create one centralised function with hub and spoke delivery aligned with the OneGov

pDreinvecilpolpemes. nt of an IHE TOM to include reviews of the overall structure, sports

division, business administration and the transfer of customer facing services to CLS.

Defer the implementation of the Care needs at home project by one year.

200,000 750,000 400,000

Minister for Social Security

CLS

Continued review of, and improvement, to customer services.

61,000

Minister for Treasury and Resources

T&E

Reduce cash handling fees by increasing non-cash payment options

30,000

Council of Ministers Council of Ministers Council of Ministers Chief Minister

Central Central

Allocated by department

SPPP

Increase income from new charges, and increased cost recovery of existing charged services, based on the initial implementation of a fees and charges

fCoranmetinwuoer tok. manage inflationary pressures across government by retaining the

budget for non-pay inflation and seeking best commercial outcomes to contract

maConntiangeumee thnet. best practice of reviewing and securing recurring reductions in

non-staff budget including locking in some of the spend reductions evidenced during COVID.

Deferred Island Plan Review activity from 2020

950,000 3,718,000 750,000 (325,000)

Minister for Social Security

JHA

Restructuring advisor posts

(19,000)

Minister for Home Affairs

JHA

Restructure of frontline posts to resource JCIS/SOJPS dog handler

(20,000)

Subtotal excluding incremental tax revenue 18,763,000

Minister for Treasury and Resources

T&E

Increase tax revenues through the continued enhancement of domestic tax compliance

1,250,000

Total 20,013,000

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Summary Table 7 - Trading Operations 2021

Estimated

Annual

Income Income to be  Depreciation

Operating Costs

(£000) paid into trading  (£000)

(£000)

fund

Jersey Car Parking 6,199 5,670 529 1,414 Jersey Fleet Management 4,902 3,008 1,894 1,260 Total 11,101 8,678 2,423 2,674

Summary Table 8 – Trading Operations Capital Heads of Expenditure

Head of Trading  Expenditure Fund  (£000)

Jersey Fleet Management - Vehicle and Plant Replacement JFM 1 ,000 Summary Table 9 – Climate Emergency Fund income and expenditure

Climate Emergency Fund

2021 (£000)

 

Income

2,700

 

Expenditure:

(4,403)

 

Closing balance

3,397

 

 

APPENDIX 3 Proposed Government Plan 2021-24

Proposed

Government Plan 2021-24

1 1

Our purpose

Our purpose as the Government of Jersey is to serve and represent the best interests of the Island and its citizens:

In order to do this, we must:

   Provide strong, fair and trusted leadership for the Island and its people

   Deliver positive, sustainable, economic, social and environmental outcomes for

Jersey

   Ensure effective, efficient and sustainable management of public funds

   Ensure the provision of modern and highly-valued services for the public.

How to use the Government Plan 2021-2024

Part One sets out the approach the Government of Jersey has taken in this Government Plan to protect the Island s future. This includes how we will continue to respond to Covid-19, including through heath, social and economic recovery and fiscal stimulus, how we will continue to invest in the Common Strategic Policy priorities, how we have listened to Islanders and how we have taken into account sustainable public finances and sustainable wellbeing, as required by the Public Finances (Jersey) Law 2019.

Parts Two and Three outline how the Government will invest in the five strategic priorities, while continuing to respond to the challenges of the global pandemic. At the same time, how we will continue our progress on modernising and driving efficiency across the Government.

Part Four sets out how the Government will make sure that expenditure is sustainable, using borrowing to support it, and enabling a plan to be delivered to balance the budget in the medium-term, continuing to invest in strategic priorities and preserving our reserves for any potential future shocks to our economy.

Contents

1 CMhinieisf tMeri nfoisrt eTrresafsourreywaonrdd  Resources foreword 812

Introduction 14 2 GWeo vweillr npumtcehniltd rPerni ofirrsitt ies 3384

We will improve Islanders wellbeing and mental and physical  46

health

We will create a sustainable, vibrant economy and skilled local  58 workforce for the future

We will reduce income inequality and improve the standard of  68 living

We will protect and value our environment  74

3 MOuor dinevernstimsienngt Government 8872

Non-Ministerial investment 92 Rebalancing Government finances 94

4


Government Finances 102

Finances at a glance 104 Budget measures for 2021 106 Summary of finances 108 Financial and economic context 111 Financial Strategy  117 Guiding Principles  123 Public sector spending 2021-24  125 Capital 2021-24  132 General Revenue Income 145 Budget proposals 151 Progress of tax reviews 157 Government of Jersey Balance Sheet and States funds 161 Key fiscal measures for consideration in 2021 175

Appendices 180

Appendix 1: Key to abbreviations 182 Appendix 2: Summary tables 184 Appendix 3: New revenue initiatives 190 Appendix 4: Revenue expenditure initiatives in last year s  192

Government Plan

Appendix 5: Administrative tax measures 200 Appendix 6: Managing risk 202

Council of Ministers

Senator John Le FondrØ

Chief Minister

Deputy Carolyn Labey

Minister for International Development

Senator Sam MØzec

Minister for Children  and Housing

Deputy Richard Renouf

Minister for Health  and Social Services


Senator Lyndon Farnham

Deputy Chief Minister Minister for Economic Development, Tourism,  Sport and Culture

Deputy Kevin Lewis

Minister for Infrastructure

ConnØtable Len Norman

Minister for Home Affairs

Senator Tracey Vallois

Minister for Education


Senator Ian Gorst

Minister for External Relations

Deputy Judy Martin

Minister for Social Security

Deputy Susie Pinel

Minister for Treasury and Resources

Deputy John Young

Minister for the Environment

Assistant Ministers

ConnØtable Richard Buchanan

Assistant Chief Minister, Assistant Minister for External Relations

Deputy Lindsay Ash

Assistant Minister for Treasury and Resources

Assistant Minister for Home Affairs

Senator Steve Pallett

Assistant Minister for Economic Development, Tourism, Sport and Culture Assistant Minister for  Health and Social  Services


Deputy Rowland Huelin

Assistant Chief Minister

Deputy Gregory Guida

Assistant Minister  for the Environment,  Assistant Minister  for Home Affairs

Deputy

Hugh Raymond

Assistant Minister for Health and Social Services,

Assistant Minister for Infrastructure


Deputy

Scott Wickenden

Assistant Chief Minister, Assistant Minister for Social Security

Deputy Montfort Tadier

Assistant Minister

for Economic Development, Tourism, Sport and Culture Assistant Minister for Environment

Deputy Jeremy Ma on

Assistant Minister for Education, Assistant Minister for Health  and Social Services Assistant Minister  for Social Security Assistant Minister for Children and Housing

Chief Minister foreword

When we introduced the first Government Plan in November 2019, nobody could have predicted the unprecedented impact that the global Covid-19 pandemic would have on our lives, on our

Senator John Le FondrØ  community and on our economy.

Chief Minister

It has meant a substantial disruption to the work of Government, impacting on our income and creating a significant increase in our expenditure, as

we moved quickly and effectively to meet the health, economic and fiscal challenges presented by the pandemic.

It forced us to re-examine the delivery of some projects, to re-prioritise how we use our resources, and to re-think how we continue to invest in our Island.

Covid-19 has not altered the determination and commitment of the Council of Ministers to improve Islanders lives through the pledges we set out in the Common Strategic Policy. It has also not changed my determination that we will do what is needed to provide a sustainable and long-term legacy for Jersey.

Nonetheless there is no doubt that since March 2020, dealing with the pandemic has been the priority, and I am proud of the way that the Government has responded.

Led always by expert medical advice, we took the steps necessary

to protect our community. We shielded the most vulnerable, built the Nightingale Wing, integrated the healthcare system with GPs, established an ethical care framework, set up the Personal Protective Equipment (PPE) hub and ran the largest public health awareness campaign ever seen in

the Island.

Subsequently, we developed a testing programme which ranks amongst the most effective in Europe and implemented a comprehensive track and trace program to mitigate the spread of the virus within our community, whilst safely opening our borders.

We have also sought to protect the economic future of the Island. Our initial measures to assist local businesses were announced within 24 hours of Covid-19 being categorised as a pandemic by the World Health Organisation. This included the deferral of GST payments, the deferral of Social Security contributions and, in many cases, the deferral of rent payments for properties where the government acts as landlord. Shortly thereafter, on 18th March, we announced a multi-million pound package support for local businesses ranging from the loan guarantee scheme to the Co-Funded Payroll Scheme.

I believe we have responded well to the impact of Covid-19, and we remain prepared for the effects of a second wave of the virus, should one emerge this winter.

The measures set out in this Government Plan represent the continued ambitions of the Council of Ministers to meet our responsibility to protect Islanders from the pandemic, while ensuing our overarching aims and objectives in the Common Strategic Policy continue to be put first.

Protecting all Islanders, especially those at highest risk from the effects of Covid-19, will remain our priority as we continue to react to the medical and healthcare challenges presented by the pandemic. This includes ensuring the wellbeing of our Island s children; protecting our elderly citizens and those who feel isolated by the pandemic; and supporting those whose livelihoods are threatened.

We will provide investment and extra resilience to essential services, and do what is necessary to suppress the virus until a vaccine can be provided.

We will continue to fund the Nightingale Wing of the General Hospital, we will distribute Personal Protective Equipment (PPE) as and where needed, and we will fund the provision of a vaccine to tackle both flu and Covid-19, when it becomes available for Islanders.

To drive our recovery, we will also continue to provide support to Island businesses through new economic stimulus and growth initiatives. We have already seen the success of early schemes, including direct payment of approximately £1 million to Income Support and Pension Plus recipients, the reduction of employee Social Security contributions by 2%, and an injection of £11 million into the local economy through the £100 Spend Local Card scheme.

A programme of timely, targeted and temporary measures to support

the economy through the remainder of the year and into 2021 will be established, with States Assembly approval, through a new Fiscal Stimulus Fund.

We must be also be prepared to address the long-term impact on our public finances. The cost of the health and economic crises, combined with anticipated reduction in government revenues, has resulted in unprecedented financial deficits in 2020 and 2021. These exceptional circumstances pose a very real threat to the sustainability of our finances.

This plan sets out the prudent and measured steps that Ministers will take to address those deficits, while continuing to provide necessary investment in our essential services, especially health and education, and a longer-term plan to balance budgets by 2024.

To cover the costs of responding to the pandemic, Ministers are proposing borrowing up to a maximum of £336 million next year, in addition to the Fiscal Stimulus Fund of £50 million. Should the States Assembly approve current plans to move to Current Year Basis (CYB) taxation, then the future repayments of the 2019 tax liabilities for Previous Year Basis (PYB) taxpayers will repay much, if not all, of this debt. Therefore, although Covid-19 has caused some financial challenges, the direct financial cost can be offset without a permanent increase in taxation, consistent with the long-term thinking and prudent approach that Jersey is renowned for.

The commitments made in the Common Strategic Policy, which underpin all of our work as a government, have not been forgotten. We will continue to put children first, to improve Islanders mental and physical wellbeing, to create a vibrant and sustainable economy, to reduce income inequality and improve the standard of living, and to protect and value our environment.

Our Island s children and young people have been particularly impacted by the pandemic, with detrimental effects on their education and personal development. We will be introducing the Covid-19 Schools Catch-up Programme to ensure that we address the loss of schooling suffered

by children at primary and secondary schools, alongside continued investment in mental health and wellbeing, which will have suffered as a result of the lockdown. In total, an additional £50.2million of expenditure will be made available, over the four-year period of this Plan, to support children.

While our Health Care Services have been successful to date in mitigating the impacts of the public health emergency, we must continue our programme of investment and change, ensuring that we have in place a health and care system that is capable of responding to our future needs in a way that is fit for Jersey s future.

From 2021 we will begin to implement the Jersey Care Model, which will enable a shift to a more preventative health service, through community and home-based services, enabling us to better cope with forecast demand from demographic change.

While Jersey businesses have shown resilience and tenacity in the face of the economic challenges of the pandemic, we must continue to support them through recovery and as we look to grow and diversify our economy. With recommendations from the Economic Council due to be received and considered in late 2020, we will develop their recommendations on longer- term economic renewal for consideration by the States Assembly and Islanders during early 2021, and begin implementation with the support of a new economic growth funding allocation.

Islanders whose employment and income have been impacted by the pandemic will continue to be supported, to ensure that disparities in income inequality and standards of living do not worsen. We will also remain committed to helping unemployed Islanders find work with the support of targeted Back to Work programmes.

We will ensure that we provide a home fit for the next generation and all those that follow with our new Island Plan, which will be changed to cover a shorter bridging timeframe, and enable us to live up to our commitment to the Island s environment.

This Government Plan also accounts for the continued improvements to organisation-wide change within the Government of Jersey to enable its continued transformation into a modern and innovative public sector which meets Islands needs.

The pandemic has demonstrated the importance of working together as One Government and using new technology to respond flexibly and at speed. In 2021, we will continue to invest in public-sector employees, reform our workforce and modernise how we work. This will enable the organisation to deliver better outcomes and more efficient services.

I know there will be yet more challenges facing our Island in 2021. While some, like the pandemic, will be unpredictable, there are many that we can anticipate and are prepared for - including the potential risks to the Island from a No Further Negotiated Outcome relationship between the UK and EU.

Detailed contingency planning is already underway and takes into account the range of possible outcomes from existing EU/UK future scenarios. We are adaptable and agile. We will meet the challenges of Brexit in the same way that we met the challenges of Covid-19, and with the same success.

The resolve of Islanders and their commitment to follow health guidelines and tackle the pandemic as a community has put us in our current good position. With this community spirit, I am confident that we can enter 2021 with the same resolve that has allowed us to successfully meet the challenges to our Island in 2020.

Finally, I would also like to take this opportunity to once again thank all of my Ministerial colleagues and the dedicated employees working across the public sector, not only to keep Islanders safe through the duration of the pandemic, but for their continued commitment to our Island, both in their day-to-day roles and in the production of this plan.

It is a testament to their work that we can propose the measures set

out in this document. A vision that will see Jersey safely through any coming challenges and provide the lasting legacy that all of the Council of Ministers are committed to achieving.

Minister for Treasury and Resources foreword

In this year s Government Plan, we seek to keep Jersey on a responsible and stable course

through what has been a turbulent year as we faced a global pandemic and economic downturn.

Deputy Susie Pinel

Minister for Treasury   Following the lifting of many of the lockdown restrictions earlier this year, and Resources we have achieved a balance between protecting the Island s immediate

health from Covid-19 and making sure we protect our future health and wellbeing through appropriate economic support and investment.

As Minister for Treasury and Resources, I am also clear we need to protect our future finances. I have responsibility for making sure the Government prioritises the long-term financial sustainability of our Island. This means that we must respond, in the short-term to the effects of Covid-19 by funding the essential public services needed to respond to the pandemic, in the medium-term by supporting the wider economic recovery, and

the long-term by continuing to invest in our future by delivering on the priorities like education and healthcare.

This plan sets out the expected costs for us to manage the virus in

Jersey, without limiting, unnecessarily, normal economic activity. This

is the prudent course of action that protects the health and wellbeing

of Islanders and preserves their livelihoods and businesses. We are conscious of the balance of risks - the risk of a second wave in Europe

and the UK and a sharp slowdown in the world economy as a result of Covid-19, against the risk that we cause irreversible damage to our and our children s future by implementing costly and punitive restrictions on our economy during a recovery period.

This Government Plan includes a strategy of running deficits to support spending and investment in the coming years, with a return to balanced budgets by 2024. It is a plan that gives Jersey a consistent long-term framework for both economic and fiscal policy with the capacity to respond, in the short-term, to Covid-19 pressures. It forms part of the strategy that Ministers have put in place to reduce the impact on the economy while maintaining investment in education and skills, and a world class health care model.

Last year s Government Plan established the fiscal guidelines that this Government would borrow only to finance investment except under times of economic duress and would monitor the impact on net financial assets. This guideline is as relevant now as it was then. Nevertheless, considering the unprecedented nature of dealing with two global emergencies (a pandemic and a recession), the Council of Ministers has had to balance these two competing pressures.

The 2021-2024 Government Plan, in line with recommendations of the independent advice of the Fiscal Policy Panel, uses borrowing to fund the cost of the pandemic response and protects the strength of our reserves. I and the rest of my Ministerial colleagues have a clear and strong belief that the Strategic Reserve should be maintained in these uncertain times. We may not be through the worst of the pandemic or the economic recession and, with a likelihood that the cost of debt will be far lower than the long-term returns on our reserves, it is a responsible measure to protect the Island s permanent reserve.

Furthermore, and if the States Assembly agrees to my plans to move all Islanders to Current Year Basis, we can repay the short-term loss of the outstanding 2019 tax owed, over the 15 years from the future payments

of the 2019 Prior Year Basis tax. These payments would be time limited and avoid the need to raise taxes on Islanders working hard to preserve their livelihoods following the necessary lockdown measures. It would also make sure that the debts we incur to protect the Island from the effects of Covid-19 now, do not become a long-term issue for the next generation of Islanders and that we do our best to protect their future.

Part one Introduction

  1. WPhreon toeurcptuibnlicgh eoaluthre xIspelartsn wde r se  fi fr ust  ta ule rrt eed  to the threat of a Introduction

Coronavirus pandemic in February, we, like other Governments around the world, immediately turned our attention to establishing the measures, processes and powers needed to respond to protect Islanders lives, livelihoods and wellbeing. At the same time, we had to continue to deliver essential services and as many other business-as-usual services as possible, while continuing to make progress with multiple Government Plan initiatives.

The stay at home and physical distancing restrictions, the closure of schools, Government and community facilities, and the public health measures put in place in the hospital all impacted on both how we have delivered public services this year and also on our ability to deliver many planned new initiatives set out in the 2020 four-year rolling Government Plan.

Public services, public finances and Government and legislative work have all been significantly disrupted by the pandemic. An urgent re-think was needed about how we continue to provide services and invest in

our Island, while at the same time developing and implementing plans to recover from the severe economic impact of the pandemic.

However, while there is a need to adjust what we do and how we do it, there is no change to the Government s core priorities, which were set out in the Common Strategic Policy in 2018. We will continue to focus on the things that matter most to protect our Island s future, and those strategic priorities again form the foundations for this revised Government Plan.

Our plan for 2021-24 has been formed by listening to Islanders and Scrutiny Panels, being agile in refocusing our strategy and building on the flexibility and improved working of our OneGovernment modernisation programme.

Listening carefully to the feedback we have received, and looking to the challenges and opportunities ahead, our focus in 2021 will be to protect our Island s future by:

  Responding to the ongoing health and wellbeing challenges of Covid-19

and protecting our health services

  Investing in our economic recovery   Rebalancing the public finances

  Investing in our future healthcare and education to protect the future of

Islanders.

Focusing on these core areas of strategic importance means that difficult decisions have needed to be made to defer the delivery of some initiatives as resources continue to be diverted to our Covid-19 response and securing our future.

In preparing this Government Plan, we have had to face some difficult choices and make some tough decisions on behalf of the Island. It sets out how we will continue to work towards our strategic aims and invest for the future, while making sure that we can continue to provide the level of public service that Islanders expect. At the same time, it outlines a plan to rebalance our public finances by repaying the debt incurred to fund our response to the pandemic while maintaining our reserves so that Jersey is protected and ready to respond to any further economic challenges.

Protecting our future by responding to the financial and economic impact of Covid-19

There is no doubt that the Island is dealing with a severe test of its financial and economic resilience. With the global economy expected to fall by more than 5% this year, the pandemic still poses a significant global threat, and with ongoing uncertainty over the impacts of Brexit for the UK and the Crown Dependencies, measures will be needed to help Jersey navigate through this crisis and set it on the road to recovery.

Independent forecasting in August from the Fiscal Policy Panel1 predicts

a severe recession for 2020, in common with other countries around the globe, with a long-term effect on the economy from which lost ground

in 2020 may take many years to make up. Recovery could be slow, and spread across several years, meaning that Government revenues will

be lower than forecast as the impact of the pandemic is felt in every household. While the immediate outlook remains challenging, with careful planning and targeted investment response in the right economic areas, Jersey can emerge from this crisis in a much stronger position.

Protecting our future by maintaining sustainable public finances

We must, as required by the Public Finances Law 2019, maintain long- term financial sustainability to make sure that Jersey remains a vibrant, prosperous and safe place to live, both now and for future generations.

In the last Government Plan, our focus was to put any additional funds

into the Stabilisation Fund to rebuild it, in line with the Fiscal Policy Panel s recommendations at the time. This was in order to maintain Jersey s strong balance sheet and comparatively large reserves, protecting the Island against unforeseen economic pressures.

Since the publication of that plan, Covid-19 caused a major deterioration in Jersey s public finances. Both the cost pressures of the health emergency and economic crisis, combined with the anticipated falls in Government revenues, have resulted in unprecedented financial deficits in 2020 and 2021, with deficits continuing throughout the period if no action is taken. These exceptional circumstances potentially pose a very real threat to the sustainability of our finances if no action is taken.

In this autumn s economic assumptions, the Fiscal Policy Panel recommended that, in the short-term, the Government should not put

1  gov.je/FiscalPolicyPanel

up taxes or make large cuts to spending to cover this deficit. Instead it recommended running deficits in the short-term to support the economy and longer-terms plans to balance budgets by 2024, with flexibility to adjust to a changing and uncertain global financial environment during that period.

Our financial planning takes this recommendation into account, with deficits in the short-term and a longer-term plan to balance budgets by 2024. This will encourage the Island s economy to recover, support and stimulate broader investment and consumption and build confidence, minimising the impact on local jobs and livelihoods.

The latest income forecast is for £96 million less income in this year, compared to the forecast a year ago, with sizeable reductions across all years. In addition, across the next four years, we anticipate the costs of tackling Covid-19 and its wider impacts to be in excess of £400 million.

It has been possible to finance emergency expenditure and the wider impacts through drawing down the Stabilisation Fund and the balances held in our current account, which were intended for capital expenditure over the coming years.

It is our view that, in these uncertain times, we should not plug this hole by making damaging cuts to expenditure or by drawing down the Strategic Reserve. This would leave the Island with little financial resilience to deal with potential future shocks or further after-shocks to the economy arising from the current global crisis. This is consistent with the recommendation of the Fiscal Policy Panel.

Instead, we propose that we borrow to finance the impacts of Covid-19. The strength of our balance sheet, low debt levels and high credit rating going into this crisis have made borrowing possible. This is in line with Fiscal Policy Panel advice and maintains the strength of our reserves, our financial resilience and enables us to respond to potential future shocks to the economy.

In the longer-term, we will need to restore public finances with renewed attention on strengthening resilience and funding public investments, while supporting Islanders sustainable wellbeing.

Future Government Plans will consider how to rebuild the Stabilisation Fund as soon as the economic situation and public finances allow. This

is key to the Island s management of financial risk and uncertainty. This will include tight control over unspent funds, making sure they are used, first and foremost, to reduce our debt. This approach to borrowing means that, in spring next year, the States Assembly will make the final decision to approve the budget and funding of the Our Hospital project, which will include proposals to fund this through long-term debt.

Whilst the pandemic has had an unprecedented impact on our finances in the short-term, we have presented a plan, based upon sound economic advice, to bring forward measures in future Government Plans, that return us to balanced budgets and thereby minimising the impacts upon our reserves and enabling longer-term sustainability to public finances.

Borrowing

We are proposing to borrow up to a maximum of £336 million next year, in addition to the Fiscal Stimulus Fund (£50 million) to cover the costs of responding to the pandemic. This will provide flexibility and allow further work to proceed to minimise the scale of longer-term debt, required to replace the short-term facility in next year s Government Plan.

The annual financing costs of this debt have been included in the Government Plan, but debt has to be repaid and Ministers propose that, should the States Assembly approve plans to move to Current Year Basis (CYB) taxation, the future repayments of the 2019 tax liabilities for Previous Year Basis (PYB) taxpayers will be paid into a ring-fenced sinking fund to repay much, if not all, of this debt.

This will support the actions we are taking to restore public finances, while maintaining the strength of our reserves in order to respond to future shocks.

Social Security Fund

The Social Security Fund receives contributions from employers and working-age adults and, in normal times, an annual States Grant. The fund supports the wellbeing of Islanders by providing old age pensions and a range of working age benefits.

Following a States debate in 2020, it was agreed that no grant would be paid into the Social Security Fund in 2020 to allow £65.3 million to be allocated to support Covid-19-related financial pressures. Additionally, due to the exceptional financial pressure being faced by the Government as a consequence of the pandemic, it is being proposed that the States Grant

is not paid in 2021, 2022 and 2023, allowing an additional estimated £235 million to be allocated to urgent financial pressures. This critical element will support the Government in managing the lost income and additional costs associated with the pandemic and help to fund our capital and revenue expenditure programmes, whilst we implement a plan to return to balanced budgets by 2024.

For the purposes of this Government Plan, the Minister for Social Security will only be proposing a change to the Social Security Law to remove the States Grant for 2021. Further changes to the value of the Grant will be proposed during 2021 following agreement on the outcome of the review of the Social Security scheme.

In addition to the removal of the States Grant, the Social Security Fund has made a considerable contribution to our response to Covid-19:

  Maintaining pension and benefit payments in the face of reduced

income from contributions due to the economic downturn

  Reducing workers Social Security contributions by 2% from October

2020 to June 2021 as part of the Fiscal Stimulus programme

  Enabling businesses and self-employed people to defer Social Security

contributions payable in the first two quarters of 2020.

In 2020, the Social Security Minister managed these pressures by transferring resources from the Social Security Reserve Fund. The Reserve has substantial financial assets, which have built up over a number of years. Additional transfers from the Reserve Fund, estimated at £263 million, will be needed over the next three years to maintain pension and benefit payments.

At the end of 2019 the assets held in the Social Security Funds represented more than seven years of fund expenditure. These assets form an important part of the overall financial stability of the Island and play a significant role in our credit rating.

By the end of 2024 the value of the funds is estimated to hold just under six years of fund expenditure. This still represents a significant investment in the pension provision of future generations of Islanders and is in excess of the target of five times spend established 20 years ago.

Ministers are determined to make sure that the fund continues to serve future generations and, as a priority, will undertake a full review of the various components of the Social Security scheme ahead of the next Government Plan to ensure the future balance is maintained at a fully sustainable level.

Last year s Government Plan identified the need for a review of the future balance of funding between the States Grant, employer contributions

and employee contributions. This work has been delayed in 2020 due to Covid-19 and this will now form an important part of the proposed review of the Social Security Scheme, as well as considering the burden of overall Government levies (taxes and contributions) on individuals, workers, businesses and employers.

The review will build on the public consultations previously conducted in 2016 and 2017 and will lead to proposals to be brought to the States Assembly during 2021 or incorporated into the next Government Plan.

Health Insurance Fund

The proposed Jersey Care Model will transform the way we deliver our healthcare in the Island. It is intended that some of the costs of the initial investment in the model and the digital care strategy will be met from the current balance in the Health Insurance Fund (HIF) over the next

four years.

The HIF receives allocations from Social Security contributions from employers and working-age adults and supports the wellbeing of Islanders by subsidising GP visits, the cost of prescriptions and other primary care services.

We will also extend the use of the HIF next year to fund a scheme to improve access to GP-led primary care services for financially vulnerable groups.

The HIF has supported the Covid-19 response in 2020, providing

more than £5 million of funding, including covering the costs of directly employing the Island s GPs during the lockdown measures.

The combination of underlying demographic pressures, funding of Covid-19 related healthcare schemes, the proposed transfers to support the JCM and the health digital strategy, and the funding of the new financially vulnerable access scheme are projected to reduce the value of the HIF significantly over the next four years. This is anticipated to result in the HIF holding £35 million at the end of 2024, representing well under one year s worth of expenditure.

In order to integrate the health and social care system we will need to take a different approach to funding and financial management across the system. A one system, one budget approach will need to be taken in order to truly integrate services. A review of the system financial sources, income, process and structures will be required over the next four years in order to create a sustainable, efficient model for health and care in the Island.

The investment in the Jersey Care Model and the health digital strategy

is absolutely essential and will help to contain the growth in the long-term costs of our health care. After investments, the JCM is forecast to save £23 million per year by 2036. However, it brings forward the need to deliver

a solution to make sure that health costs are funded sustainably and we will undertake a full review which will include taking proposals to the States Assembly - ahead of the next Government Plan to determine an appropriate model for future health funding.

The Minister for Social Security will bring forward legislation to create a transfer of £11.3 million from the Health Insurance Fund to support the Jersey Care Model and the Digital Health and Care programme budgeted for 2021.

The reviews of health and social security funding, as well as reviews of revenues collected to support other areas of government expenditure, will be co-ordinated to make sure the overall impact on individuals and businesses is fully considered.

Managing risk

The challenges and opportunities we are facing in 2021, especially as a result of our response to Covid-19, are key to enabling us to continue to support the Island s future prosperity.

As the impacts of Covid-19 continue to be understood then it is likely that additional risks and opportunities will be exposed. We will continue to develop and refine our approach to managing these, and other, risks to enable us to be as responsive as possible to the future needs of the Island and its community.

Alongside the obvious organisational risks, we constantly track and review anything which may impact our Island community, which includes physical, environmental and global risks.

Not only does this improve the delivery of services and achieve value for money, but it also reduces any unwelcome surprises and contributes to the sustainability and prosperity of our Island. Managing risks will continue to form part of all Government decision-making processes.

More information on the risks that we track and manage can be found at Appendix 6.

Protecting our future through economic recovery and fiscal stimulus

Responding to the economic and financial impact of Covid-19 will be a significant focus of our work and resources during 2021 and we will invest in a range of projects to support the economic recovery.

During the next three years we will fund new economic growth initiatives to drive the recovery. This will be informed by recommendations made by the Economic Council, and future measures will be agreed for implementation by the Council of Ministers.

Provision is made for the gradual phasing out of the co-funded payroll scheme by March and for continued sector-specific support across the winter. In order to make sure that we are targeting investment in the economic growth initiatives which will have the most impact, each initiative will be supported by a robust business case and require the formal support

of the Economic Recovery Political Oversight Group before agreement by the Minister for Economic Development, Tourism, Sport and Culture (for more information see Part Two - Economy and Skills).

In addition, we will continue to provide a timely, targeted and temporary financial stimulus to our economy throughout next year.

Fiscal stimulus initiatives in 2020 included:

  Direct payments - making direct transfers to Income Support and

Pension Plus recipients

  Spend Local cards - issuing time-limited prepaid debit cards to be spent

with local businesses

  Social Security changes - reducing Social Security contributions by 2%

for nine months.

Subject to approval by the States Assembly in Autumn 2020, we will establish a Fiscal Stimulus Fund to support the economy through the remainder of the year and into 2021.

These economic support initiatives should quickly take effect and aim to: Maximise consumer spending in Jersey

  Have a defined end date to avoid promoting structural budget deficits

and creating permanent distortions or subsidies in the economy

  Reduce falls in output and employment in the short-term

  Reduce the structural impact on the economy in the medium to

long-term.

Examples of future economic support might include, for example, investment to support construction, funding for skills and training, and further investment in technology.

Protecting our future by continuing to respond to Covid-19

Our on-going response to Covid-19 will remain our priority as we go into 2021, making sure we continue to protect Islanders lives and livelihoods, provide support where it is most needed, and suppress the virus until

a vaccine can be provided. This will continue to place all areas of Government under unavoidable financial pressure and we will need to use public finances to:

  Target funding at those essential public services needed to respond to

the pandemic

  Support the immediate economic response to the crisis and wider

economic recovery

  Compensate for shortfalls in usual income streams across the public

sector.

This plan makes the necessary provision for expected costs over the coming year and the financial impacts over the next three years, based upon being able to keep the virus to very low levels and limit restrictions to normal activities, without the need to use emergency States Assembly powers. These expected costs include:

  Maintaining the Test, Trace and Contact programme to support

Islanders safety into 2021

  Continuing to fund the Nightingale Ward so that we have sufficient

hospital capacity through to at least March 2021

  Making sure that we can effectively and efficiently distribute Personal

Protective Equipment as and when needed

  Funding the provision of a Covid-19 vaccine to tackle the pandemic,

when it becomes available.

To enable funding to be provided centrally and more efficiently, and to

build on the OneGovernment approach, a Covid-19 Head of Expenditure will be established. This will make it simpler for Islanders and the Assembly to understand the total cost of the Government s response, thereby supporting good financial management control.

In addition, provision will also be made within the General Reserve to enable additional funding, if needed. As a general principle, this additional funding should only be accessed if the underlying public health position deteriorates over the next year, in order to ensure a continued focus on good financial controls. We also anticipate that other jurisdictions will increasingly seek to move some aspects of Covid-19 costs onto a more sustainable basis, such as charging some travellers for testing services. Jersey is likely to follow suit as this becomes the norm.

Further information on this funding can be found at Part Two Our Priorities.

Protecting our future through priority investment

Whilst Covid-19 has created demand for some immediate and short-

term funding to meet unforeseen costs, this Government believes we

must continue to invest in our future by delivering on the priorities set

out in the Common Strategic Policy 2018-22. These include those new initiatives funded in this plan, continuing the initiatives identified in the last Government Plan, and through modernising the essential public services that we provide to Islanders.

In particular, in 2021 we will focus on a number of key initiatives that are of importance to the long-term sustainable wellbeing of Islanders. We will therefore:

  Embark on an ambitious three-year reform programme of our education

system to drive long-term, sustainable improvement in educational outcomes for all children and young people (see Part Two Putting Children First)

  Implement the new Jersey Care Model, which will support the move to

a more preventative-focussed and community-based health service, enabling it to cope better with forecast increased demand from demographic change. This will be supported by funding from the Health Insurance Fund (see Part Two Wellbeing and Mental and Physical Health).

  Remain focussed on delivering a new hospital for Jersey, ensuring

Islanders have access to a world-class healthcare facility which meets modern standards and the needs of Islanders both now and into the future. A full planning application for the new hospital will be submitted in September 2021, subject to the preferred site being agreed by the States Assembly in November 2020 (see Part Two Wellbeing and Mental and Physical Health).

  Subject to States Assembly approval of the Council of Ministers

migration control policy, we will, in 2021, design new Control of Housing and Work Law permissions and structures, bring the required law changes to the States Assembly for approval and begin implementation of the agreed changes. In 2022, we will continue this work to fully implement the new migration controls policy (see Part Two - Economy and Skills).

  Continue our important work on tenants rights, including implementing

a new Housing Advisory Service and developing rent stabilisation measures and homeless services. In addition, we will build on the work of the Housing Policy Development Board, including improving the strategic alignment of Government-owned housing delivery bodies (see Part Two - Income Inequality and Standard of Living).

  Intensify our journey towards carbon neutrality and sustainable

transport, recognising that the climate emergency has not diminished and build on the changes that Islanders have made and benefited from during the pandemic (see Part Two - Environment).

  Continue our drive to modernise the public service by further embracing

our move towards digital working and service delivery something which has been crucial during the pandemic. Strengthening our commercial services, which are essential to delivering better value

for the public purse as we seek to rebalance the public finances. Rationalising our office and property estate to release more land for affordable housing (see Part Three - Modernising Government).

  Review the funding mechanisms that support Health and Social Security

spending to ensure that sustainable funding streams are in place to aid recovery from the economic impact of the pandemic and to support

the extra costs that we will face as the proportion of older people in

the population rises steadily over the next decade (see Part Four Government Finances).

Protecting our future by enhancing our island identity and international personality

The Chief Minister established the Island Identity Policy Development Board in October 2019. Its aim has been to examine how Jersey s distinctive qualities can be recognised as fresh, protected, celebrated, nurtured and utilised for the benefit of the Island and Islanders.

The Board produced an interim report to provide an update for Ministers in July 2020, and it was agreed, in principle, that Jersey s National and International Identity, once finalised and approved by the Council of Ministers, should be included as a significant theme in the Government Plan, and that the recommendations of the Island Identity Policy Development Board should, as far as possible, be integrated into the Government Plan.

The report contains more than 60 recommendations, but also offers

a series of early recommendations for how, in a practical way, the Government can begin the work of nurturing and building a Jersey Identity.

These include ways to improve Islanders understanding and appreciation of Jersey s distinctive history, heritage and culture, and helps clarify the language best deployed to reflect Jersey s unique constitutional status as

 a small island nation with national institutions, whilst remaining proudly British.

The report also examines ways to deepen its historic and more recent ties to continental Europe, and to continue to develop its unique international personality.

It also provides a discussion piece for Ministers about what it means to be Jersey both in terms of how we see ourselves and how others see us, which will help to spark an important debate about the centrality of Jersey s national identity to the work of the Government.

Overall, it makes the case for Island Identity as a crucial factor in the development of future policy; signposting the longer-term work that will need to be undertaken to achieve the objectives set by the Chief Minister; and outlines the process to be undertaken within the Island Identity Programme between now and the publication of the action plan in 2021.

The next step is to refine the practical suggestions made by the Board so that, over the coming Government Plan period, departments can then incorporate the work of the Island Identity Policy Development Board into appropriate aspects of future Government policy direction.

Listening to Islanders

Islanders voices, and especially those of children and young people, are essential to building our shared future. We listen to those voices through a range of engagement, surveys and consultation exercises2 which, together with official statistics, audit and Scrutiny Panel recommendations and decisions by the States Assembly, have helped to inform and shape this Government Plan.

For example, earlier in the year, the Office of the Children s Commissioner for Jersey and the Department for Children, Young People, Education

and Skills, undertook a joint survey of children and young people to help understand the impact of Covid-19 on key elements of their lives. The results informed the initial children s rights impact assessment that was undertaken to inform the re-opening of schools.

Given the dramatic impact of the pandemic, two specific surveys have

been undertaken. Almost 4,000 Islanders participated in both the Jersey Opinion and Lifestyle Survey3 and the Government Plan 2021-2024 Survey, with more than 3,000 comments received through the Government

Plan Survey4. Islanders provided views on their own lives, their social, economic and environmental issues, and what they think the focus of our Government priorities should be.

Key points from the two surveys include:

  Relative importance of priorities Improving Islanders wellbeing and

mental and physical health (68%) and Creating a sustainable, vibrant economy and skilled workforce for the future (60%) received the highest ratings on being more important now than before the pandemic.

  Children and Education a majority of participants were more

concerned about investment in schools, sports facilities and youth centres (53%), educational outcomes in secondary schools (50%) and the protection of and support for vulnerable children and children in care (51%). In general, 50% of adults are worried about the education and wellbeing of children in Jersey as a result of the pandemic.

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3 gov.je/OpinionsAndLifestyleSurvey 28 4 gov.je/GovernmentPlanSurvey

  Wellbeing and Mental and Physical Health - participants were mostly

concerned with having access to good mental health and support services (67%), and access to hospital services (63%). 70% said that investing in a new hospital should be the Government s priority. One- in-four households delayed seeking medical treatment or advice due to the Coronavirus outbreak and 62% said that they were somewhat

or very worried that they or their family will be infected by Coronavirus. The results also show that Islanders were smoking and drinking alcohol more often since the outbreak of the pandemic, however, they were

also physically more active.

  Economy and Skills - participants were most worried about reduced job

security (68%), being financially independent in old age (69%), being supported if they became unemployed (61%), and the impact of the new UK-EU relationship after Brexit. Supporting the economy through fiscal stimulus projects was seen as more important by 59%.

  Income inequality and standard of living A key recurring theme from

the many comments received as part of the Government Plan survey were the importance of affordable housing and the development of a new migration policy.

  Environment - making Jersey carbon neutral was seen by almost 80%

of participants as either more important or as important as before

the pandemic. An increasing or unchanged support for exploring environmental charges to improve carbon neutrality was expressed by 78% of participants. 49% were more concerned about improving public transport and prioritising active travel. 54% saw the update of the Island Plan to explain how we protect Jersey as more important.

This plan seeks to address these key points by both responding to the economic and financial impact of the pandemic, whilst also investing in our long-term future and delivering on the priorities set out in the Common Strategic Policy.

Sustainable wellbeing

Protecting our future in this Government Plan has meant focusing on the key sustainable wellbeing challenges faced by the Island.

In responding to Covid-19, protecting Islanders health and wider wellbeing, now and for the future, has become a major focus for the Government. Resources were quickly re-allocated to respond to the threat of the pandemic and minimise the effects of the lockdown on Islanders wellbeing. One of the most important roles for the Government has been to respond quickly to the rapidly changing health, economic and financial situation and to protect Islanders lives and livelihoods through the pandemic.

Embedding sustainable wellbeing

In embracing sustainable wellbeing, we are transforming how we plan and focus public services. We have made real progress, and within the next two years sustainable wellbeing will be at the core of all policy making and important investment decisions. Whilst other governments around the world are also on this journey, we are well advanced to being a leading jurisdiction. This can be seen through the:

  Public Finances (Jersey) Law 2019[5] - which introduced the requirement

for the Council of Ministers to consider the sustainable economic, social, environmental and cultural wellbeing of Islanders over successive generations in preparing the Government Plan

  Common Strategic Policy 2018-2022 - which set out our five overarching

wellbeing priorities for the Island for this term of office and which

we are delivering through each Government Plan and Departmental Operational Business Plans.

  Development and implementation of Jersey s Strategic Framework[6]

  which helps us to align long-term sustainable wellbeing Island Outcomes with our priorities, organisational objectives and with accurate measures of success through Jersey s Performance Framework. It is our ambition by the next election to have fully- implemented Jersey s Strategic Framework and to use it to continuously inform and improve everything we do.

  Development and implementation of Jersey s Performance Framework7

- which includes a variety of metrics against the Island Outcomes

to show how each one has developed. This framework consists of objective metrics (those that include data and figures) and subjective metrics (those that include what people think and feel). We will use the data provided by this framework to inform our decisions by helping

us to understand where we are and where we need to improve. This framework is for all of Jersey, not just Government, by helping us to engage with charities, businesses and communities who also have an important role to play in supporting the achievement of sustainable wellbeing for Islanders. We will continue to implement, develop and improve it through 2021 and beyond.

  Development and integration of sustainable wellbeing approaches into

the business planning process when allocating additional funding for 2021 (see Part Two Our Priorities) and identifying efficiencies and other rebalancing measures (see Part Three Modernising Government), we have introduced a simple sustainable wellbeing impact assessment. It challenges us to consider the impact of initiatives, positively or negatively, on the sustainable wellbeing of Islanders over successive generations. In 2021 we will review and refine the sustainable wellbeing impact assessment, and develop other approaches that will support us in taking sustainable wellbeing into account when making decisions about resource allocation, and embedding wellbeing fully into the processes of government.

30 7 gov.je/PerformanceFramework

Sets out the long-term community vision expressed by Islanders.

JERSEY'S PERFORMANCE FRAMEWORK

Shows how Jersey is doing on the journey to achieving sustainable wellbeing

Sets out the plan for the Island's positive growth over the next ten years and the framework against which planning decisions are made

Sets out the high-level priorities of the Government of Jersey during this term of office

GOVERNMENT PLAN

Sets out the activities to be delivered

and associated income and expenditure

to deliver the Government of Jersey's DEPARTMENTAL OPERATIONAL priorities over the next four years

BUSINESS PLANS

Translates the activities set out in the

Government Plan into actionable

departmental tasks and measurable  MY CONVERSATION activities, together with accompanying  MY GOALS

detail of a wider set of services and

deliverables

A government-wide process, requiring regular discussions between employees and their line manager about individuals' performance against agreed goals

PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS PLANNING STANDARDS AND PRINCIPLES

PUBLIC FINANCE (JERSEY) LAW 2019

Sustainable Wellbeing Sustainable Finances

Figure 1 - Jersey s Strategic Framework

L

A

T Built  Children EN environment

M

N Health and O wellbeing

R

I

V Natural

N environment

E

Safety and Jersey's security

Performance

Sustainable  Framework Vibrant and resources inclusive community

Affordable  Jobs and

living growth

Business environment

NOMIC

Figure 2 - Jersey s Performance Framework

 

Part two Our priorities

Part 2 -Government Priorities

  1. ITnhitsr Poardtouf cthtei  oGonvernment Plan should also be read in the context of:   The Government Plan 2020-238

   The Island Outcomes set out in the Jersey Performance Framework9

that describe the population-level wellbeing conditions that Islanders would like to see in the future

   What this Council of Ministers has achieved since taking office in June

2018 which is set out in: the Annual Report and Accounts 2018 (June 2018 onwards)10; the Annual Report 201911; and the Government Plan Six Month Update Report12 published on 28th August 2020.

Common Strategic Policy Priorities

For each Common Strategic Policy (CSP) priority, we have set out the following:

   A brief overview of the opportunities and challenges we face in 2021

(see Introduction); the total revenue and capital investment in supporting the CSP Priority (see Funding this priority); and the Island Outcomes and Indicators that we will use in the Jersey Performance Framework to measure our sustainable wellbeing impact (see How we will measure our sustainable wellbeing impact).

   A summary of new initiatives we will invest in for the first time in 2021

that contribute to the CSP Priority (see Our Investment in 2021). Further information on these initiatives can be found in Appendix 3.

We have also separately provided information on initiatives that were:

   Approved in the Government Plan 2020-23 and that we will continue to

invest in 2021 or that will, from 2021, become part of the core business of our Departments; or

   Included in the Government Plan 2020-23 as being forecast to take

place in 2021 that we will halt, defer or reduce in order to prioritise the investments set out above considering the new financial context.

Further information on these initiatives can be found in Appendix 4.

In addition, it should be noted that Departments also provide public services which support the CSP priorities. Information on these services will be set out in the Departmental Operational Business Plans for 2021-24 for each Department, which will be published in January 2021.

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9 gov.je/PerformanceFramework 10 gov.je/AnnualReport

11 gov.je/AnnualReport

36 12 gov.je/SixthMonthReview

Part 2 - Government Priorities

PHOTO

We will put children first

by protecting and supporting children, by improving their educational outcomes and by involving and engaging children in decisions that affect their everyday lives.

Headlines

   We will continue to implement the Children s Change Programme,

so that vulnerable children are protected and supported, and the service makes demonstrable progress towards achieving consistently outstanding children s social work practice

   We will continue to focus on practice improvement within the Children s

Service by funding relevant care worker training and by progressing the regulation of social work and mental health services available to children and young people in Jersey

   We will continue to progress policy, legislation and service delivery

in relation to family law and sexual assault services to better protect children and young people

   We will continue to provide redress to people who, as children, suffered

abuse or harm whilst residents of care in Jersey

   We will review the future delivery of student finance which was deferred

due to the pandemic

   We will continue to promote ways to involve and engage the voice of

young people in Jersey

   We will support our children in catching-up on their education so that

they do not suffer long-term detriment

   We will continue to provide additional funding for the Youth Service

Move On CafØ which supports more than 390 young people

   We will maintain our investment in Jrriais

   We will re-prioritise existing resources to invest in the redesign of

Children and Adolescent Mental Health Services (CAMHS) in order to improve support for children and young people experiencing mental ill-health

   We will embark on an ambitious long-term programme of reform for our

education system in order to support the improvement of long-term educational outcomes for all children and young people

We will renew and increase funding for the research project, approved

in last year s Government Plan, to engage and discover the needs of young people within communities with English as an additional language concentrating initially on those within the Portuguese, Romanian and Polish communities

 

Introduction

We will continue to involve and engage our children and young people  in the decisions that affect their everyday lives so that we are able to  understand how they are doing, what is important to them and what  support they need.

Children need to be protected and their general wellbeing supported now  more than ever. Like adults, they have not been able to live their lives to  

the full due to the pandemic. The restrictions on children s movements and  activities and physical and social contact with friends, family and carers will  have had an impact on their mental and physical health and, sadly, in some  situations, on their personal safety and security.  

All children and young people have felt the impact on their education,  this despite the tremendous efforts by all parts of our education system  and from parents and carers through schooling at home. It is now well  documented that the impact of home-schooling and lack of physical  attendance at school or college has caused a range of issues for a whole  generation.  

These include mental health and wellbeing issues, as well as an impact  on educational progress and attainment. The pandemic has tested pupils,  parents, carers, schools and the Department of Children, Young People,  Education and Skills (CYPES) to find new ways of learning. Moreover,  

the challenges have been compounded for those groups of pupils who  are disadvantaged, vulnerable, have English as an additional language,  or special educational needs or disabilities. We will also maintain our  investment in Jrriais.

This year was one of huge disruption for our children and young people.  While the medium to long-term impact of the pandemic on them will take  time to fully understand and respond to, the immediate impacts are clear  and have emphasised the importance of this Priority.  

Our investment in 2021

In addition to the investment that will continue from 2020, we will also  invest for the first time in 2021 in the following initiatives:

Covid-19  GP21-CSP1-C-01 Covid-19 Schools Catch-up Programme respond,  We will support our children in catching-up on their education so that  recover and  they do not suffer long-term detriment.  

renew We will do this by putting in place a 16-month programme, with funding  

running across the financial years 2020 and 2021 to reflect the school  calendar, to address the learning loss experienced by many children at  primary and secondary schools.

The programme has three strands based on lessons learned, both in  Jersey and in other jurisdictions:

   To establish a tutoring programme, which will run from 2020 to  

2021 (across the school academic year September to July). This  will provide small-group tuition to the children most in-need, with  intensive learning support, and giving schools access to subsidised  tutoring sessions and free coaches for various groups of children  (Jersey Premium, EAL, SEN/D and most vulnerable)

   To invest additional funding in the OLEVI teaching programme  

(teaching project across all Jersey schools) to accelerate building  capacity to deliver the catch-up programme effectively and improve  sustained attainment into the future and to make sure that all staff are  best equipped for the recovery challenge.

CYPES

Protecting and  GP21-CSP1-1-07 Youth Service Move On CafØ supporting  We will continue to provide additional funding for the Youth Service  children Move On CafØ, which supports more than 390 young people.  

This will make sure that the project is funded on a more secure basis  and to enable it to manage the volume and level of need that many of  the regular members require.  

CYPES CT8

Protecting and  GP21-CSP1-1-08 SARC Dewberry House supporting   We will provide additional funding to continue and further develop the  children Dewberry House Sexual Assault Referral Centre (SARC).  

Dewberry House is now an integral service to the Island providing  support to victims of sexual abuse, whether this happened recently  

or in the past. The current availability of this service still needs further  development, especially when it comes to children and young people  who are victims of sexual abuse.

This funding will support the provision of services which will follow  the Child s House Model . This model provides integrated medical,  investigative and emotional support from one location through early  support after the trauma of abuse. It aims to:  

   Increase the length of time support is provided to children and  

families

   Gather more affective evidence from interviews

   Offer quicker progress in investigations and court cases.

   Provide a safe space for children and young people to talk about  

what happened to them and receive support and therapy to rebuild  their lives.

This funding will also support the existing running costs for the SARC  Manager and Crisis Workers and is also key to the development of  psychological, therapeutic and intermediary services.  

JHA CT2

GP21-CSP1-1-06 CAMHS Service Redesign

In anticipation of recurrent growth funding from 2022, we will  re-prioritise existing health and CYPES resources to release upfront  investment to initiate the implementation of a redesigned Children and  Adolescent Mental Health Service (CAMHS) in order to improve support  for children and young people experiencing mental ill-health.  

This includes investment in:

   Early intervention services for children of all ages

   Community intensive support services, seven days per week

   Improving and refocusing the current service as a specialist service    Improving quality and performance management.

CYPES HCS CT8

Improving  GP21-CSP1-2-05 Education Reform Programme educational  We will embark on an ambitious long-term programme of reform for our  outcomes education system in order to deliver the sustainable improvement of  

long-term educational outcomes for all children and young people.

The Education Reform Programme aims to deliver the following:

   Achieving a sustainable funding settlement and strengthening the  

management of schools

   Increasing investment in current services, which will improve  

outcomes for pupils

   Delivering new initiatives to address current gaps in provision

   Exploring a range of transformational policy options, which will  

deliver a high quality, more efficient and effective education system  and provide better outcomes for pupils.

CYPES

Involving and  GP21-CSP1-3-03 Youth Service - English as Additional Language engaging  We will, as approved in the previous Government Plan 2020-2023,  children renew and increase funding for the research project, to engage and  

discover the needs of young people within communities with English  

as an additional language, concentrating initially on those within the  Portuguese, Romanian and Polish speaking communities.  

The objective is to provide support to enable those young people to  integrate with local networks and services so that they can achieve  educational and personal goals and reach their full potential.

This pilot scheme introduces dedicated Youth Workers to address the  need for youth development work with Portuguese, Romanian and  Polish speaking young people so that their voices can be heard, and  their needs identified.

Should further work with these communities be required, a similar  resource provision is made for the three-year period following, should  the research project find it is necessary.  

CYPES CT8

Please see Appendix 3 for more information on these initiaitives.

Please see Appendix 4 for information on investment that will continue  from 2020 that was approved in last year s Government Plan.

Funding this priority  

We will resource these activities through base departmental budgets  and/or existing funds. This additional expenditure will total £50.2 million  over the four-year period of the Government Plan, with additional  expenditure in 2021 estimated to be £9.2 million, broken down as follows:

   Protecting and supporting children: additional expenditure in 2021 of  

£0.2 million for the Move On CafØ and Dewbury House

   Improving educational outcomes: additional expenditure in 2021 of  

£7.9 million for the education reform programme

   Government Covid-19 Response: additional expenditure in 2021 of  

£0.9 million for the schools catch up programme

   Involving and engaging children: additional expenditure in 2021 of  

£0.15 million for Youth Service language support.

For further detail on the above additional expenditure, please see table 46.

We will also invest £20.9 million in initiatives included in last year s  Government Plan.

We will be investing in infrastructure associated with this priority, with  capital expenditure of £10.6 million in 2021 and totalling £67.4 million over  the four-year period (for further detail, please see table 17).  

How we measure our sustainable wellbeing impact

We measure our sustainable wellbeing impact and Jersey s overall progress towards sustainable wellbeing by monitoring a wide range of outcomes and metrics in Jersey s Performance Framework. The full set of metrics and data is available on gov.je[5] .

Examples of the Island Outcomes this Priority aims to progress further:   Children develop as expected in their early years (aged 0 to 5 years)   Children enter school ready to learn

   Pupils are proficient in core academic subjects at Key Stage 1 (KS1)   Pupils are proficient in core academic subjects at Key Stage 2 (KS2)   Pupils complete compulsory education successfully

   Pupils complete their A-levels and further education successfully

   Children in Jersey are safe

   All children in Jersey enjoy the same rights.

Examples of the Island Indicators this Priority aims to progress further:

% of children reaching developmental milestones at age two

% of Reception age children achieving/exceeding expected level of development

% of pupils assessed as secure in reading, writing and mathematics at end of KS1

% of pupils assessed as secure in reading, writing and mathematics at end of KS2

% of pupils achieving five or more standard GCSEs

% of pupils who progress to take a Level 3 qualification

% of children aged 7 to 11 who are aware of their rights under the UNCRC

% of children reporting being bullied at or near school in past 12 months

% of Year 10 and 12 children who have been involved in bullying others using mobile phones, tablets, online games, social media etc.

   Number of children under 18 who are victims of crime.

We will improve Islanders wellbeing  and mental and physical health

by supporting Islanders to live healthier, active, longer lives, improving the quality of and access to mental health services, and by putting patients, families and carers at the heart of Jersey s health and care system.

Headlines

   We will continue to deliver a range of preventative and proactive

schemes focused on inspiring an Active Jersey , with a boost to alternative delivery methods in response to lockdown measures

   We will continue to support the reduction of preventable disease, to

reverse the current upward trend in overweight and obesity rates, to increase healthy eating, to reduce the rates of smoking and harmful alcohol consumption, and to deliver a range of preventative and proactive schemes

   We will significantly improve access to mental health services, bringing

parity of esteem to the mental health agenda, invest in our mental health environment and building infrastructure, implement initiatives for crisis support, a listening lounge , complex trauma, Child and Adolescent Mental Health Services and mental health legislation

   We will continue to implement a digital care programme, focused on

replacing outdated systems with a new e-prescribing system, for a digital information flow between pharmacies and GPs, a WiFi upgrade for the hospital, process digitisation of pathology and radiology tests, and an improved flow of information between health care organisations

   We will continue to expand our 24-hour community nursing and primary

care services, develop a preventative model of dental services for children and new models of care to support people with diabetes, and develop a model that improves access to primary care for financially- vulnerable people

   We will fund the operational costs and premises related costs for

the Nightingale Ward including decommissioning costs, assuming decommissioning from March 2021

   We will fund the anticipated cost of purchasing and delivering Covid-19

vaccines during the pandemic and as and when available

   We will fund the anticipated costs of the Test and Trace Programme to

June 2021

   We will fund the costs of warehousing and distribution of PPE (Personal

Protective Equipment) stock

   We will provide funding to compensate for shortfall in income in the

sports estate due to Covid-19 while Covid-19 restrictions remain in place

   We will begin to implement the Jersey Care Model that will enable a

shift to a more preventative health service, enabling it to better cope with forecast demand from demographic change

   We will implement a model to support improved access to primary care

for financially vulnerable Islanders from January 2021.

   We will provide additional funding to ensure the ongoing provision of an

air ambulance service due to the collapse of the current provider

   We will provide funding to enable the purchase of pandemic specific

vaccine stock in the event of a worldwide pandemic

   We will extend the key worker accommodation scheme to enable more

units to be offered to key workers that are fit for purpose

   We will increase the investment in end of life health care to provide a

range of services which are patient centred and delivered in accordance with their preferences

   We will provide on-island education programmes for those undertaking

nursing qualifications to give local students the opportunity to train into these roles whilst staying on island

Introduction

Jersey has been highly successful in controlling the immediate impact of  a global public health emergency. While there remains much uncertainty,  we will continue to respond to the pandemic as it develops and continue to  prepare for realistic future scenarios.  

Covid-19 has impacted on the physical and mental health of Islanders,  in particular the need for timely, improved and expanded mental health  services is now more important than ever.

We will continue to advance towards a health and care system that is  responsive, outcome-focused and meets Jersey s needs in a way that  is fit for our future. Covid-19 has also demonstrated the importance of  a resilient and properly resourced public health policy function to lead  on approaches to the most important public health challenges we face,  including continuing to respond to the pandemic as it develops.

Our investment in 2021

In addition to the investment that will continue from 2020, we will also  invest for the first time in 2021 in the following initiatives:

Covid-19  GP21-CSP2-C-02 Nightingale Ward Premises respond,  GP21-CSP2-C-03 Nightingale Ward Operations recover and  We will fund the operational costs and premises related costs for the  

renew Ncoigshtst,i nags as luemWinagr dth oisf tt ha eke Gs e pnlaecrae l  fHroomsp Mitaalr,c inh c 2lu0 d2 i1n. g decommissioning  

This facility will mitigate the risk of an overwhelmed health service  throughout the pandemic by making sure there is sufficient Acute bed  capacity available to Health and Community Services (HCS) during the  approaching winter pressures.

HCS IHE

GP21-CSP2-C-01 COVID-19 Vaccine

We will fund the anticipated cost of the Covid-19 vaccination  programme, as and when a vaccine becomes available.

Although there remain several unknowns, the availability of a safe  and effective vaccine for Covid-19 will be a hugely important element  and very probably the key to controlling the pandemic. It is therefore  essential, as a key public health strategy, that when a vaccine does  arrive, we are ready to deliver it, rapidly, to all eligible Islanders.

HCS

GP21-CSP2-C-04 Test and Tracing Programme 2

We will continue to fund the anticipated costs of the Test and Trace  Programme to June 2021.

As part of the agreed strategy to protect Islanders during the pandemic,  a fully resourced and comprehensive programme of testing and contact  tracing will be maintained. This will support the safer travel policy to  enable our borders to operate and also the testing to protect strategy,  that makes sure our essential workers, those in health care settings and  Islanders that need testing, can be tested quickly and without delay.  

The programme also includes the introduction of an Exposure  Notification App, to enable the quick identification of a positive Covid-19  case and to notify, through digital automation, those who were in close  proximity that they may have been exposed to a positive case.

JHA

GP21-CSP2-C-05 PPE Warehousing Solution

We will fund the costs of storing and distributing Personal Protective  Equipment (PPE).

Timely and complete provision of PPE is essential to the Government s  management of Covid-19 cases in the Island. We must make sure that  we can procure, store and distribute a three-month pandemic stock  (which is based on a worst-case scenario) of PPE that is over and above  our current supplies.  

HCS

GP21-CSP2-C-06 Support for Sport Infrastructure  

We will provide funding to compensate for shortfall in income in the  sports estate due to Covid-19, while restrictions remain in place.  

IHE CT1

Put patients,  GP21-CSP2-1-05 Jersey Care Model families and  We will begin to implement the Jersey Care Model (JCM), which will  carers at  enable a shift to a more prevention focused health service, enabling it to  

better cope with forecast demand from demographic changes.

the heart of  The JCM aims to transform health and social care in order to improve  Jersey s health  Islanders wellbeing and mental and physical health. To achieve this, it  

and care  pacrocpeosssiebsle a adnodp tfiinnga nacpiaellrys osun s-ctae innt ar be lde  ,a bp ep ir no ga cphro wvih de er de b iny   tc ha er e p  li as c s ea sfe ,  system where people need it the most.  

The JCM has three overarching objectives:  

   Make sure care is person-centred with a focus on prevention and  

self-care, for both physical and mental health

   Reduce dependency on secondary care services by expanding  

primary and community services, working closely with all partners in  order to deliver more care in the community and at home

   Redesign of health and community services so that they are better  

structured to meet the current and future needs of Islanders.

After investments, the JCM is forecast to avoid £23 million per year by  2036 of the expected expenditure growth for Jersey s health and care  system. In order to deliver the JCM and realise the expected benefits,  investment of £28.1 million over this government plan (2021-24) is  required, before the model will deliver a net financial benefit from 2025.  Through implementing the changes proposed in the JCM, the financial  sustainability of Jersey s health and care system will be significantly  improved.

HCS CT6

GP21-CSP2-3-06 Air Ambulance Services

We will provide additional funding to guarantee the ongoing provision of  an air ambulance service following the collapse of the current provider.  

The air ambulance service is a critical requirement of the Island,  primarily utilised in emergency trauma and the need to immediately  evacuate patients for emergency treatment that cannot be provided in  Jersey.

HCS

GP20-CSP2-3-03 Maintaining Health Care Standards

We will use investment allocated in the previous Government Plan to  maintain health care standards, such as:

   Diabetes Pathway Improvements develop and implement a new  

diabetes strategy for the Island in order move to a more preventative  approach, to reduce the prevalence of the disease and improve  outcomes

   End of life care to develop a community partnership to meet  

the growing need for end of life care. This includes provide more  palliative care options and bereavement support

   Mental health nursing training to improve sustainable access to  

mental health nurses by providing training to Islanders interested in  accessing the profession

   Key worker accommodation to make sure the provision of key  

worker accommodation to make sure that HCS can continue to  recruit essential skilled workers required for the ongoing delivery of  services.

HCS

GP21-CSP2-CAPITAL Our Hospital Project

We will fund the Our Hospital project to continue the programme for  delivering a new hospital for Jersey. For 2021, these include:

   The design stage, including the social value outputs

   A detailed planning submission for the new hospital, and associated  

highway alterations

   The Outline Business Case

   Continued public engagement  

   The vacation and purchase of the selected site

HCS

GP21-CSP2-CAPITAL In-Patients/Support Services Refurbishments

We will fund the refurbishment of in-patients/support services for the  existing hospital.

This will enable a phased approach to the required refurbishment ahead  of the Our Hospital programme.

HCS

Please see Appendix 3 for more information on these initiatives.

Please see Appendix 4 for information on investment that will continue  from 2020 that was approved in last year s Government Plan.

Funding this priority

We will resource these activities through base departmental budgets  and/or existing funds, and additional investment. This additional  expenditure will total £74.7 million over the four-year period of the  Government Plan, with additional expenditure in 2021 estimated to be  £53.3 million. This includes:

   Support Islanders to live healthier, active, longer lives: additional  

expenditure in 2021 of £6.6 million for the Jersey Care Model

   Put patients, families and carers at the heart of Jersey s health and  

care system: additional expenditure in 2021 of £0.4 million for the air  ambulance service

   Government Covid-19 Response: additional expenditure in 2021 of £46.3  

million for the test and trace programme, Nightingale Ward , purchasing  a vaccine, PPE Warehousing and support for sports centres.

For further detail on the above additional expenditure, please see table 46.

We will also invest £22 million in initiatives included in last year s  Government Plan.

We will be investing in infrastructure associated with this priority, with  capital expenditure of £37.1 million in 2021 and totalling £71.6 million over  the four-year period (for further detail, please see table 17).  

How we measure our sustainable wellbeing impact

We measure our sustainable wellbeing impact and Jersey s overall progress towards sustainable wellbeing by monitoring a wide range of outcomes and metrics in Jersey s Performance Framework. The full set of metrics and data is available on gov.je .

Examples of the Island Outcomes this Priority aims to progress further:   Jersey has a healthy population

   Islanders look after their health by being physically active

   Islanders look after their health by drinking alcohol responsibly

   Islanders look after their health by not smoking tobacco

   Islanders look after their health through healthy diets

   Islanders can access health care

   Effective public health interventions help prevent avoidable deaths

   Deaths due to treatable causes are avoided where possible

   Islanders with long-term health conditions enjoy a good quality of life   Islanders enjoy positive mental health and wellbeing

   Islanders enjoy life in a strong, inclusive community

   Quality of life in Jersey benefits from a thriving sports sector.

Examples of the Island indicators this priority aims to progress further:

   Number of years a new-born baby in Jersey can expect to live, on

average, in good or very good health

   Premature deaths per 100,000 population (where individual was aged

<75)

   Jersey s population mental wellbeing score

   Average consumption in litres of pure alcohol per adult

% of adults who smoke daily or occasionally

% of adults who are overweight or obese

% of adults who meet recommended levels of physical activity

% of adults who say they feel lonely often or some of the time

% of adults who regularly minimise face-to-face contact with people outside of their household

% of adults who think they spend the right amount of time on social activities outside of their job.

 

We will create a sustainable, vibrant economy and skilled local workforce for the future

by delivering an economic framework to improve productivity, by nurturing and strengthening

our financial services industry, by enhancing

our international profile and promoting our Island identity, by delivering the best outcomes from Brexit, and by improving skills in the local workforce to reduce Jersey s reliance on inward migration.

Headlines

   We will continue to develop and deliver the Future Economy

Programme, which will aim to ensure our Island s long-term economic sustainability and resilience

   We will work to ensure that Jersey s interests are promoted and taken

into account in respect of the UK s future trade negotiations

   We will continue to deliver our Global Markets strategy to promote

Jersey on the world stage as a dynamic place to do business and trade with

   We will maintain and build on the Island s government to government

relationships in respect of the UK and EU, to enhance understanding of our constitutional position, economy, reputation and international profile

   We will continue to support the development and delivery of Jersey s

tax policy and delivery of international tax commitments

   We will continue to invest in Digital Jersey to ensure progress towards

a digital, knowledge based economy and increased access to digital capability

   We will continue to review Jersey s Economic Framework and

Productivity Support to create sustainable economic growth for Jersey and be managed in accordance with Jersey s new investment framework

   We will continue to protect our financial services industry by investing

in Anti-Money Laundering and Countering the Financing of Terrorism processes

 

   We will continue to forge new and stronger commercial relationships to

support our financial services industry

   We will fund support for a range of projects to support the economic

recovery

   We will increase funding for the newly formed Jersey Competition

Regulatory Authority to allow it to better focus on the consumer matters that impact people in Jersey, and on promoting competition that will support Islanders living standards and improve the competitiveness of local businesses

   We will provide funding for the implementation of a migration control

policy, building on the recommendations of the Migration Policy Development Board as and when approved by the States Assembly

   We will continue to increase Jersey s Overseas Aid contributions,

investing in our long-term future as a responsible, outward-looking global citizen

   We will continue to develop and promote a strong and inclusive sense

of national identity, to increase social cohesion and support Jersey in projecting a positive and coherent international profile

Introduction

We will need to remain agile in order to build back this capacity for further  economic shock across the households and businesses, particularly in  

the foundation economy, where many businesses rely on footfall from  Islanders and visitors. The outlook for inbound travel remains volatile  

and we will continue to evaluate the availability and effectiveness  

of Government support measures to those businesses that will be  disproportionately affected.  

The financial services sector was able to perform strongly, with some  businesses in the sector paying tax liabilities ahead of their due date to  assist with cashflow. Sector employment has remained strong, although  the increase in remote working provides a warning against complacency  of many roles remaining in Jersey in the long-term. We will continue to  invest in the sector to support new business acquisition, new market  opportunities, digitisation and continued preparedness to meet the high  benchmark expected by clients and international standard setters.  

In 2021 we will continue to invest resources in hospitality, retail, agriculture  and fisheries through measures such as grants, route development  support, re-capitalistion of the Rural Incentive Scheme and productivity  support. We also remain committed to growth funding for the Arts, Culture  and Heritage portfolio. We will deliver the States Assembly decision  (P.40/2019) with 1% of net revenue expenditure (excluding time limited  costs relating to Covid-19) going to these sectors in 2022. We will increase  investment in arts, culture and heritage, recognising their importance  

to Islanders and investors alike. We will also continue our investment in  Digital Jersey as a catalyst for the embrace of new technologies and a  

voice for the promotion and of our Island s growing digital sector.  

Taking account of the advice of the Economic Council and Political  Oversight Group for the development of the future economy, the Critical  Skills programmes will be reviewed and proposals brought forward to  make sure there is alignment with our future labour market. We will help  both young people entering training and employment, and adults who  need to re-skill, by providing opportunities across a range of work-based  learning programmes, traineeships, apprenticeships and a broadening  

of Further and Higher Education offers. This will also feed into the  development of the new Migration Policy.

Also within the context of the Future Economy programme, the Minister  and Assistant Minister for Education will oversee the production of a  re-training strategy that examines the range of existing training and  employment support programmes offered through the private sector,  Highlands College, Skills Jersey, Customer and Local Services and other  stakeholders. This will ensure we have the most effective provision,  management and funding of these services for the future, and identify  future strategies and schemes that support social mobility through career  changes or up-skilling.

While we remain confident about the role Jersey can play as a visitor  destination, a well-regulated and internationally co-operative financial  

centre, and as a supplier of high quality dairy, agricultural and aquaculture  products, we must recognise that suppressed demand and lower  transaction flows elsewhere may impact our return to growth.  

With recommendations from the Economic Council due to be received and  considered in late 2020, we will develop plans for longer-term economic  renewal for consideration by the States Assembly and Islanders during  early 2021. Agreed plans will be taken forward with the support of a new  economic growth funding allocation. We will challenge what growth  means and through our policy making, seek to secure more evenly-shared  future prosperity for Islanders, a prosperity that pays dividends in social  cohesion, improved health, financial inclusion and judicious, sustainable  use of our resources.  

The direction of policy and regulation at EU and global (OECD) level,  particularly in relation to the development of new standards in international  tax, is likely to present additional complexity for the Island as it seeks to  renew the economy in light of the pandemic. The long-standing approach  of proactive engagement with international standard setters has served  

the Island well and we will continue this approach.

Jersey must continue to feed into the UK s trade negotiations as it  establishes itself as an independent trading nation in its own right,  moving at pace to understand the risks and opportunities from new  

trade relationships, and in ensuring our interests are understood and  represented by the UK. Where necessary, this will also involve Jersey  continuing to expand its own network of international agreements, tailored  to suit the Island s particular economic interests.

We must also continue to deliver a programme of trade facilitation, profile  raising and international engagement critical to Jersey s reputation and  global standing. And while managing international challenges remains  critical, we will also help Jersey seize new opportunities for economic  recovery by ensuring that the Island is well-connected and well-regarded  internationally in growth areas, such as environmental, social and  governance investment, philanthropy, the continued development of a  strong digital sector, and the continued advances in the effectiveness and  reputation of Jersey s international aid programme.

As well as adapting existing programmes in response to the global  Covid-19 pandemic, Jersey Overseas Aid continues to invest its funds  in humanitarian interventions where needs are greatest. As agreed last  year, from 2021 we will tie the value of our overseas aid to the size of  the economy, with a single basis point increase, year-on-year, from 2021  onwards. This means that Jersey will move closer to international norms  while ensuring that expenditure on international relief and development  remains affordable.

Our investment in 2021

In addition to the investment that will continue from 2020, we will also  invest for the first time in 2021 in the following initiatives:  

Covid-19  GP21-CSP3-C-01 Economic Recovery respond,  We will fund support for a range of projects to support the economic  recover and  recovery.

renew Tghroiswathn ninuiatila atilvloecsa, tsiounchina 2s 0th2o1-s2e3 r ewcilol mbem ue sn edde td o  b fuy n t dhe n Eewco en co omni oc mic  

Council and agreed for implementation by the Council of Ministers.  

Funding will also be drawn to complete the balance of economic  

support measures and the balance of initiatives in 2021 directly related  

to economic recovery, such as in the hospitality sector.

Business cases will be required for each initiative and will require formal  support of the Economic Recovery Political Oversight Group before  sign-off by the Minister for Economic Development, Tourism, Sport and  Culture under Ministerial Decision.  

OCE

Delivering  GP21-CSP3-2-12 JCRA Reconstitution Funding an economic  We will increase funding for the newly-formed Jersey Competition  framework  Regulatory Authority (JCRA) to allow it to better focus on the consumer  

to improve  mwiallt steurpsp tohartt Iismlapnadcet rps e loivp inle g  inst  aJenr ds ae ry d  sa nadn  do nim p proromveo t ti hn eg   cc oo mm pp ee tt ii tt ii vo en n t eh sa st  productivity and  of local businesses.  

nurturing and  This will be achieved through the promotion of competition and  

consumer interests through a comprehensive programme of activity  strengthening  that would typically be delivered by a general competition authority.  

our financial  

services industry OCE CT8

In 2022 we will invest in:

Improving skills  GP21-CSP3-4-02 Migration Policy Implementation in the local  We will provide funding for the implementation of new Migration Control  workforce to  Policies, building on the recommendations of the Migration Policy  

Development Board, as and when approved by the States Assembly. reduce Jersey s  Policy recommendations are due to be debated by the States Assembly  

reliance  before the end of 2020.

on inward  The recommendations include:

migration   Introducing new Control of Housing and Work Law permissions to  businesses and individuals to allow Government to maintain closer  

control of the number of workers settling permanently in Jersey

   Increasing Government co-ordination at a strategic level to make sure  

that all policies take account of their potential impact to increase the  population of the Island  

   Providing accurate and regular performance management  

information to Ministers responsible for setting policy guidelines

   Ensuring that businesses have an accurate picture of the ongoing  

impact of the controls across business sectors and provide  reassurance and transparency to the public.

CLS CT8

Please see Appendix 3 for more information on these initiatives.

Please see Appendix 4 for information on investment that will continue  from 2020 that was approved in last year s Government Plan.

Funding this priority

We will resource these activities through base departmental budgets  and/or existing funds, and additional investment. This additional  expenditure will total £40.4 million over the four-year period of the  Government Plan, with additional expenditure in 2021 estimated to be  £15.7 million. This includes:

   Government Covid-19 Response: additional expenditure in 2021 of  

£15.5 million for the economic recovery programme

   Future economy programme: additional expenditure of £0.15 million for  

the newly formed Jersey Competition and Regulatory Authority

For further detail on the above additional expenditure, please see table 46.

We will also invest £15.4 million in initiatives included in last year s  Government Plan.

We will be investing in infrastructure associated with this priority, with  capital expenditure of £4.1 million in 2021 and totalling £4.5 million over the  four-year period (for further detail, please see table 17).  

How we measure our sustainable wellbeing impact

We measure our sustainable wellbeing impact and Jersey s overall progress towards sustainable wellbeing by monitoring a wide range of outcomes and metrics in Jersey s Performance Framework. The full set of metrics and data is available on gov.je .

Examples of the Island Outcomes this Priority aims to progress further:   Overall economic performance

   Islanders enjoy life in a strong, inclusive community

   Pupils complete compulsory education successfully.

Examples of the Island Indicators this Priority aims to progress further:   Annual economic output divided by total population

   Productivity Jersey s economic output divided by the number of

employees (by sector)

% of working age population who are economically active

   Number of people registered as actively seeking work

% of permitted migrant staff working in Jersey s private sector who have licensed status

% of young people aged 16-18 who are not in education, employment or training

   Jersey s overall wellbeing score using the Better Life Index.

We will reduce income inequality and improve the standard of living

by improving the quality and affordability of housing, improving social inclusion, and by removing barriers to and at work.

Headlines

   We will begin to develop detailed plans to implement agreed

recommendations following the publication of the Housing Development Board s review of housing in Jersey

   We will continue to improve support and protection for tenants

   We will develop proposals to better support disabled adults living at

home, and their informal carers

   We will fund the forecast overspend on Income Support in 2021-24 as a

result of Covid-19 in line with the economic forecast

   We will fund the Co-Funded Payroll Scheme through to it being phased

out in March 2021

   We will implement actions to modernise the Island s personal income

tax system, in particular to modernise the tax treatment of married women and people in same-sex relationships

   We will continue to deliver the disability strategy alongside improving

community-based services and supporting diversity

   We will develop a new approach to supporting workers with long-term

health conditions to return to or remain in employment

   We will review the way in which the minimum wage is agreed

Introduction

We must continue, through the pandemic and beyond, to support Islanders  whose employment and income have been impacted to make sure that  disparities in income inequality and standards of living are not exacerbated  by the Government s response to Covid-19. We will continue our work  

to develop modern incapacity benefits that support work and to deliver  the disability strategy and community-based services. We will also help  unemployed Islanders find work with the support of targeted Back to  Work programmes.  

However, we must also stay focused on the longer-term challenges that  Islanders face. We remain committed to our work on social inclusion and  on removing barriers to, and at, work, including a review of the way in  which the minimum wage is agreed.

We recognise the critical importance of improving the quality and  affordability of housing for Islanders. We will continue our important work  which we have already started on tenants rights, including implementing a  new Housing Advisory Service and developing rent stabilisation measures.  We will also develop new homeless services and improve the funding  provided to the Shelter Trust. In addition, we will build on the work of the  Housing Policy Development Board, including the strategic alignment of  government owned housing delivery bodies.  

Our investment in 2021

In addition to the investment that will continue from 2020, we will also  invest for the first time in 2021 in the following initiatives:  

Covid-19  GP21-CSP4-C-02 Covid-19 Income Support Costs respond,  We will fund the forecast overspend on Income Support in 2021-24, as a  recover and  result of Covid-19, in line with the economic forecast.

renew Tsuhffise wreildl  ea n r se ud ruec tt hioant Ii snla inncdoemrse w ahr oe   hadave eq uloa stet tlyh  es iur p epmo prt loe yd m a en nd t  t oh ra t we  continue to make payments of statutory benefits to eligible Islanders  

quickly and accurately. This includes providing additional Back to Work  Employment Advisors to support unemployed Islanders find work.  

CLS

GP21-CSP4-C-01 Covid-19 Co-Funded Payroll Scheme Phase III

We will fund the Co-Funded Payroll Scheme through to it being phased  out by March 2021.

This is to:

   Make sure that businesses survive the immediate crisis, so they can  

resume trading so supply capacity remains intact

   Ensure that employment remains as close to pre-crisis levels as  

possible through the period of the pandemic

   Make sure that workers continue to benefit from a reasonable level  

of income to avoid hardship during the crisis and preserve demand  to support an economic recovery once physical distancing and other  public health measures are lifted

   Support a robust economic recovery.

CLS

Please see Appendix 3 for more information on these initiatives.

Please see Appendix 4 for information on investment that will continue  from 2020 that was approved in the last year s Government Plan.

Funding this priority

We will resource these activities through base departmental budgets  and/or existing funds, and additional investment. This additional  expenditure will total £32.3 million over the four-year period of the  Government Plan, with additional expenditure in 2021 estimated to be  £18.8 million. This includes:

   Government Covid-19 Response: additional expenditure in 2021 of  

£18.8 million on the Payroll Co-Funding Scheme and Income Support for  Islanders.

For further detail on the above additional expenditure, please see table 17.

We will also invest £5.1 million in initiatives included in last year s  Government Plan.

How will we measure our sustainable wellbeing impact

We measure our sustainable wellbeing impact and Jersey s overall progress towards sustainable wellbeing by monitoring a wide range of outcomes and metrics in Jersey s Performance Framework. The full set of metrics and data is available on gov.je .

Examples of the Island Outcomes this Priority aims to progress further:

   Households have sufficient income to afford a decent standard of living   Islanders enjoy life in a strong, inclusive community

   Islanders with long-term health conditions enjoy a good quality of life   Jersey is an affordable place to live

   Jersey has a sufficient supply of housing

   Housing in Jersey is good quality

   Housing in Jersey is affordable.

Examples of the Island Indicators this Priority aims to progress further:

   Change in value of average earnings allowing for inflation (by sector)

% of households who find it quite or very difficult to cope financially

   Change in value of income inequality indicators (90-10 ratio and Gini

coefficient)

% of Islanders living in relative low income households (before and after housing costs)

   Number and % of new homes that are affordable

   Number of Islanders who are Actively Seeking Work (ASW)

% annual increase in house price index

% annual increase in rental price index

% of low-income households in qualified private rental accommodation in rental stress

% of Islanders who are very satisfied with their housing

% of Islanders who rate their life satisfaction as 7 or more out of 10

% of Islanders with a disability who rate their life satisfaction as 7 or more out of 10.

 

We will protect and value our environment

by embracing environmental innovation and ambition, by protecting the natural environment through conservation, protection, sustainable resource use and demand management, and by improving the built environment, to retain the sense of place, culture and distinctive local identity.

Headlines

   We will continue to utilise the Climate Emergency Fund in order to support a new sustainable transport plan and other key initiatives

   We will continue to improve countryside access for Islanders

   We will continue to implement schemes that encourage changes in

how we travel, increasing cycling, walking and the use of sustainable transport, that deliver a sustainable reduction in carbon emissions, and that increase the level of protection afforded to our environment

   We will seek to change behaviours in respect of pollution and waste

   We will protect our habitats and species through better legislation and

enforcement

   We will tackle the climate emergency with energy and pace, and move

quickly towards becoming a sustainable, low-carbon jurisdiction

   We will increase the subsidy for the bus network to enable a

break-even position whilst capacity on services remains impacted by physical distancing

   We will invest in research surrounding inland water quality including

PFAS and pesticide research and essential staffing relating to catchment management

   We will provide additional resource to the Marine Resources

Management Team to respond to implications arising from Brexit

 

Introduction

In February 2020, the States Assembly unanimously agreed the Carbon  Neutral Strategy. This outlined the strategic context and principles  

and upon which a grass-roots community approach would be used to  develop Jersey s detailed road map towards carbon neutrality. Crucial to  responding to the climate emergency and biodiversity crisis was a Citizens  Assembly, which had been planned for early 2020 but had to be paused  due to the public health restrictions on gatherings.  

In March 2020, the States Assembly agreed the Sustainable Transport  Policy, which comprised two parts. Firstly, a framework for a sustainable  transport system that gave a vision supported by four pieces of rapid  analysis needed to form a detailed approach to transitioning our transport  system into one that promotes the sustainable wellbeing of future  generations. Secondly, a Strong Start Delivery Plan for 2020 that offered  several immediate projects, pilots and improvements.  

Both reports, and their associated work streams, marked the beginning of  an intensive phase of development and delivery that will ultimately  re-shape the Island s response to the global challenge of climate change  and our approach to travel within the Island.  

Alongside these, the Island Plan Review programme began the process  of reshaping our future spatial planning policy for the next decade,  addressing major strategic challenges and tensions like planning for the  need for homes, safeguarding the environment, supporting the economy,  responding to our ageing population and securing good design and  creating better places.

The pandemic response and the subsequent redeployment of staff and  resources paused progress on these major strategic initiatives. It has not,  however, diminished their importance as we move forward in a rapidly  changed world. The Island Plan will be reprogrammed to cover a shorter  bridging timeframe. In addition, dealing with the climate emergency  remains a priority for the Council of Ministers and the response to the  pandemic has shown we can adapt quickly and make significant changes  in response to such emergency situations.  

A post-virus resumption of unsustainable behaviours and lifestyles would  miss the chance to make dramatic changes that this momentous time  presents. For example, the experience of the pandemic has provided a  glimpse of different ways of working that will impact our need to travel  in old unsustainable ways, therefore influencing our spatial planning, the  location of our workplaces, where we build new homes and the transport  services we will need in the future.  

The economic recovery can offer a new sustainable growth strategy,  which is able to deliver on the twin benefits of stimulating economies and  creating jobs while accelerating the green transition, reducing emissions  and protecting biodiversity.  

Our investment in 2021

In addition to the investment that will continue from 2020, we will also  invest for the first time in 2021 in the following initiatives:

Covid-19  GP21-CSP5-C-01 Covid-19 Bus Contract respond,  We will increase the subsidy for the bus network to enable a break-even  recover and  position whilst passenger capacity on bus services remains impacted by  

the need for physical distancing to reduce transmission of the virus.

renew

IHE CT5

Protecting  GP21-CSP5-2-04 Natural Environment Water the natural  We will invest in research surrounding inland water quality including  environment per- and polyfluoroalkyl substances (PFAS) and pesticide research and  

essential staffing relating to catchment management.  

IHE

GP21-CSP5-2-05 Marine Resources Management  

We will provide additional resource to the Marine Resources  Management Team to respond to implications arising from Brexit.

IHE CT2

The Climate Emergency Fund will be the source of further additional  expenditure in 2021 and will focus on:  

Climate  GP20-CSP5-1-01 Policy Development on Carbon Neutral and  Emergency  Sustainable Transport Plan Fund WNeeuwtrialll sapnedn Sdu£s0ta.5in mabillleio Tnr oanns Pp oo lr ict  yP l Da en v - e t lh oi ps  mw eilln bt eo nu sthe ed Ctoa erbn os nu re  

continued technical support by external advisors to run an independent  citizens assembly as agreed in the Carbon Neutral Strategy (P.127/2019).  Due to Covid-19-related delays, the assembly had to be re-scheduled  

into early 2021 with an increased focus on kick-starting this important  workstream and delivering on the response to the climate emergency  

in this Government s term. Other expenditure from this area includes  technical expert support for policy development, both for carbon  

neutrality but also the Sustainable Transport Plan, including resources  

to help with project development delivery.

IHE SPPP CT2

GP20-CSP5-1-01 Strengthening Environmental Protection

We will spend £0.3 million on strengthening environmental protection  

- this constitutes unspent money for 2020 projects agreed in the  previous Government Plan but deferred due to Covid-19. It includes  the development of an Invasive and Non-Native Species Strategy and  resources for on the ground biosecurity measures, particularly around  Asian Hornet control, marine species research and work to support tree  protection and conservation.

IHE SPPP CT2

GP20-CSP5-1-01 Sustainable Transport Initiatives

We will spend £3.2 million on sustainable transport initiatives - the  States Assembly agreed the Sustainable Transport Policy P.128/2019. It  outlined a strong start programme of several immediately-achievable  projects, as well as outlining four rapid assessments which needed to  

be undertaken to define a detailed programme of sustainable transport  policies and infrastructure initiatives. The 2021 projected expenditure of  £3.2 million was estimated expenditure, which would be defined by the  2020 work. Due to Covid-19-related delays, much of the 2020 work will  be carried into 2021.

IHE CT2

GP20-CSP5-1-01 Strengthening Protection of the Natural Environment

We will spend £0.5m strengthening protection of the natural  environment - despite the delay of some of the climate emergency work  in 2020, there is an opportunity to maintain momentum on important  projects related to the climate emergency and biodiversity crisis. These  projects have been prioritised by the Natural Environment Directorate  and can be supported by the fund. Included is work to evaluate local soil  health, biodiversity and habitat management - including projects that,  as well as having a strong conservation element, also contributes to the  drawdown of carbon by local ecosystems, and resources to make sure  levels of biosecurity are maintained and enhanced.

IHE SPPP CT2

Please see Appendix 3 for more information on these initiatives.

Please see Appendix 4 for information on investment that will continue  from 2020 that was approved in last year s Government Plan.

Funding this priority

We will resource these activities through base departmental budgets  and/or existing funds, and additional investment. This additional  expenditure will total £5.7 million over the four-year period of the  Government Plan, with additional expenditure in 2021 estimated to be  £2.6 million. This includes:  

   Government Covid-19 Response: additional expenditure in 2021 of  

£2.0 million on supporting bus services

   Protecting the natural environment: additional expenditure in 2021  

of £0.6 million on Marine Resources management and natural  environment.

For further detail on the above additional expenditure, please see table 46.

We will also invest £3.1 million in initiatives included in last year s  Government Plan.

We will be investing in infrastructure associated with this priority, with  capital expenditure of £18.2 million in 2021 and totalling £87.2 million over  the four-year period (for further detail, please see table 17).  

How will we measure our sustainable wellbeing impact

We measure our sustainable wellbeing impact and Jersey s overall progress towards sustainable wellbeing by monitoring a wide range of outcomes and metrics in Jersey s Performance Framework. The full set of metrics and data is available on gov.je .

Examples of the Island Outcomes this Priority aims to progress further:   Jersey s natural habitats and species are protected and conserved   Jersey benefits from low pollution levels including good air quality

   Jersey protects its natural water supply

   Jersey manages the amount of waste products

   Islanders live in a healthy environment

   Housing in Jersey is good quality

   Jersey will become a carbon neutral island

   Islanders use sustainable modes of transport

   St Helier is an attractive town in which to live, work and visit.

Examples of the Island Indicators this Priority aims to progress further:

% of Jersey s surface area (excluding inland water and inter-tidal areas) that is classed as natural environment and land under cultivation

% of farmland achieving LEAF accreditation

   Abundance of key indicator species (birds and butterflies)

   The number of times average monthly nitrogen dioxide concentrates

exceed European Directive limits

% of pesticide detections in natural water resources above the limit (0.1 ug/l) and average nitrate levels (mg/l) in surface streams

   Jersey s emission level of greenhouse gases

% of non-inert waste that is recycled

% of journeys to work made by walking, cycling or public transport

   Morning peak traffic on nine main routes towards St Helier

% of Islanders who are very satisfied with their neighbourhood as a place to live

% of Islanders who are very satisfied with their housing.

 

Part three Modernising Government

We will improve the way in which Government and the public service function, so they deliver modern, efficient, effective and value-for-money services and infrastructure, sound long-term strategic and financial planning, and encourage closer working and engagement among politicians and Islanders.

A States Assembly and Council of Ministers that work together for the common good

A new, long term strategic framework that extends beyond the term of a Council of Ministers

A modern, innovative public sector that meets the needs of Islanders effectively and efficiently

ongoing

initiatives A sustainable long-term fiscal framework and

public finances that make better use of our public assets

An electoral system which encourages voter turnout and meets international best practice

Headlines

   We will invest in the modernisation of the public sector through the use

of digital technologies

   We will continue to transform the way in which we manage public

finances, including greater long-term financial insight

   We will deliver cumulative sustainable efficiencies from 2020 to 2023

through a detailed and rigorous Efficiencies Programme

   We will provide funding for the implementation of new Target Operating

Models within the Government to enable collaborative delivery and increased value for money from government spending

   We will continue to pay for the rent of 28-30 The Parade to provide

flexibility as part of a longer-term estate strategy

   We will provide funding to cover the increase in insurance premiums

85 85

Introduction

The pandemic response has demonstrated the importance of working  together as One Government and using new technology to respond  flexibly and at speed. Without the flexibility created by the introduction of  the One Government organisational changes, we would not have been  able to have responded as effectively as we did to Covid-19.

In 2021, we will continue to deliver and support further organisation-wide  change to enable the continued transformation of our Government into a  modern and innovative public sector which meets the needs of Islanders,  invests in our employees to reform our workforce and modernises how  we work. This will enable us to deliver better outcomes and more efficient  services for Islanders.

We will also continue to invest in the modernisation of the Government  through the use of digital technologies, addressing the legacy of historic  under-investment and protecting our technical infrastructure and data, and  enabling us to be more efficient and agile in meeting Islanders needs.  

In last year s Government Plan we outlined our proposals to bring  forward a new office for States and Government employees in order to  improve the modernisation of the public services workforce. Building on  our experiences of home working during the pandemic response and  enabled by our continued investment in technology, we will introduce  flexible working practices that enable people to work where and when is  appropriate for them and the outcomes that they need to achieve. This will  not only help create an agile and modern workforce but will also be a key  enabler of the Office Modernisation Programme.

In 2021 we will finalise the contractual arrangements for the development  of the new office arrangements, the final detail of which is due to be  completed by November 2020. We have highlighted in this plan our  intention to finance the development in a flexible way to take account of  our current fiscal circumstances. The Council of Ministers is recommending  that we initially lease the proposed new facility from 2023 with the option  to purchase the building by 2026, when further information is available  about Jersey s economic landscape, the fiscal position facing the island  

and the government s long-term borrowing commitments. This flexibility  enables this important development to continue and in 2021 we include in  the capital programme, funds to support the teams costs for progressing  

the project to completion in 2023 and separately, the associated revenue  expenditure.  

At the same time, we will also continue to rebalance Government finances  and deliver cumulative and sustainable efficiencies, and other rebalancing  measures, from 2021 to 2024 to decrease the cost of services to Islanders,  avoid wasting money, encourage innovation and promote improved cost  effective services that will lead to a better improved provision for Islanders.

Our investment in 2021

In addition to the investment that will continue from 2020, we will also  invest for the first time in 2021 in the following initiatives:

A modern,  GP21-OI3-15 Commercial Services Restructure innovative  We will provide funding for the implementation of the Commercial  public sector  Services Target Operating Model. Covid-19 has emphasised the  

importance of supporting the whole of Government to deliver good  

that meets  value in our contractual relationships. By 2024, we will have in place a  

the needs  hpirgohtelyc tciaopna obfleinncoomvamtiveercaianldfu snucsttiaoinn,a ebnlea boluintcgo cmoellas b foorr athtieve I sdlaenlidve wryh i alsnt d  

of Islanders  also delivering increased value for money from government spending.  effectively and  

efficiently COO

GP21-OI3-16 Re-organisation Justice and Home Affairs

We will put in place sustainable funding for the Justice and Home  Affairs Target Operating Model. Appropriately resourcing the Justice  and Home Affairs department ensures that it has the means to continue  to positively deliver its function and fully contribute to OneGov and  

the wellbeing of the Island. The services provided by the Justice and  Home Affairs department are critical to the delivery of public protection,  law enforcement, emergency services and emergency planning.  

The effectiveness of the delivery of these services clearly impacts  

all Islanders community wellbeing as well as directly and indirectly  ensuring Islanders environmental and economic wellbeing.

JHA CT8

GP21-OI3-17 Re-organisation Ministerial Support Unit

In the Government Plan 2020-2023, we secured improved resources  for non-executive States Members, including dedicated research and  casework staff.  

In this Government Plan, we will consolidate funding for the Ministerial  Support Unit to make sure we are providing sustainable support for  Ministers with the resources they need to represent Islanders.  

OCE

GP21-OI3-18 Re-organisation - Communications

We will consolidate funding for the Communications Directorate to  provide sustainable resources to the organisation that will allow for  enhanced internal communications and design work.  

Due to Covid-19, there is an increased demand for internal and change  communications to support the organisation with timely advice on  public health measures, workplace restrictions, and all-Island messages.  

Providing sustainable funding for a design team creates significant  savings for the Government, with work done in-house being produced  quicker and cheaper than procuring external agencies.

OCE

GP21-OI3-20 28-30 The Parade

We will continue to pay for the rent of 28-30 The Parade to provide  flexibility as part of a longer-term estate strategy.  

IHE CT8

GP21-OI4-2 Insurance Premiums

We will provide funding to cover an increase in insurance premiums.  This will be used to ensure we have sufficient cover for a range of  additional general and specific risks identified as part of the insurance  re-tender process undertaken during 2019. In addition to the general  premium increases due to the hardening of global insurance markets  we have also procured a number of specialist insurances to mitigate  specific threats in areas such as Cyber security.

T&E

GP21-OI3-CAPITAL Jersey Care Model Digital Systems

We will provide funding for new digital tools to use across the health  and care system. These include investment for integrated care records,  core record systems, hub and micro services, and analytics.

This will contribute to the delivery of the Jersey Care Model,  which aims to:

   Ensure care is person-centred with a focus on prevention and  

self-care

   Reduce dependency on secondary care services by expanding  

Primary and Community services in order to deliver more care in the  community and at home

   Redesign of Health and Community services so that they are  structured to meet the current and future needs of Islanders.

HCS

GP21-OI3-CAPITAL Fort Regent (Early Phase)

We will provide funding for pre-feasibility work and early phase work at  Fort Regent ahead of the main project.

This will allow for the evaluation of options and some quick win projects

IHE

GP21-OI3-CAPITAL Office Modernisation

We will provide funding to continue to progress the Office  Modernisation project as outlined in the Strategic Outline Case  approved by COM in September 2019.

This will enable the Government of Jersey to more effectively discharge  its duties to support Ministers, the States Assembly and the public  

it serves. It will also improve the efficiency and effectiveness of  operational costs that support the public estate as well as productivity  savings (both of which will be fully qualified in the Final Business Case);  whilst at the same time consolidating our overall office estate. This  

will also allow for more cost-effective use of our accommodation and  the release of sites for redevelopment for alternative uses, including  housing.

OCE

GP21-OI3-CAPITAL  Benefits and Payments System - NESSIE

Changes to the Benefits and Payments System will be funded from the  Social Security Fund.

This will enable the Customer and Local Services department to:    Deliver customer-centric and organisational change

   Take advantage of significantly faster software enhancement  

development cycle times;

   Mitigate issues associated with the current system programming  

languages

   Act before the above become significant business risks.

CLS

GP21-OI3-CAPITAL Firearms Range

A new Firearms Range for the States of Jersey Police will be provided  via funding from the Criminal Offences Confiscation Fund.

This will allow the Government of Jersey and States of Jersey Police to  meet the required level of Health and Safety and College of Policing  Licensing requirements. This will keep the Island safe and secure.

JHA

Please see Appendix 3 for more information on these initiatives.

Please see Appendix 4 for information on investment that will continue  from 2020 that was approved in last year s Government Plan.

Non-Ministerial Department  Investment in 2021

Introduction

The Non-Ministerial Departments (see Appendix 1 for full list) are  constitutionally separate from the Government of Jersey.

Article 10 of the Public Finances (Jersey) Law 2019 requires the  Government Plan, lodged by the Council of Ministers, to set out the  proposed amount to be appropriated from the Consolidated Fund for the  next financial year, in relation to the operations of a Non-Ministerial States  body for 2021.

The head of expenditure for the Non-Ministerial Departments can be  found at Appendix 2.  

Our investment in 2021

Included in the head of expenditure are the following new investments for  2021 proposed by the Non-Ministerial Departments:

GP21-OI-NON-07 BASS Funding- Funding of x3 FTE / Regrading of  Staff, New Trainee Probation Officer, Various

The Jersey Probation and After-care Service requests funding for:

   Replacement funding to cover the structural loss of income used  

to pay for existing staff posts fulfilling the Building a Safer Society  ( BASS ) strategy

   To enable full funding of a Trainee Probation post

   To cover additional costs as a result of States Employment Board  

decision to regrade three posts, effective January 2020, and another  two posts during 2020.  

NM PROBATION

GP21-OI-NON-08 CAG Inflation Funding

The Comptroller and Auditor General requests inflation funding to  ensure that their budget is increased in line with commitments under  index-linked contracts over the term of the Government Plan.

NM COMPTROLLER AND AUDITOR GENERAL

GP21-OI-NON-10 Crown Appointment Pension Increase

Bailiff s Chambers requests funding in order to align the Crown Officers  salaries and benefits with UK standards, the States Employment Board  (SEB) approved the increase to pension payments in 2019.

NM BAILIFF S CHAMBERS

And in 2022:

GP21-OI-NON-09 Election 2022

The Judicial Greffe requests funding in order to cover the cost of the  2022 Elections.  

NM JUDICIAL GREFFE

Rebalancing Government  Finances 2021

Introduction

In 2019 the States Assembly agreed that the Council of Ministers bring  forward detailed proposals each year, to be included as a separate  paragraph within the Government Plan proposition, seeking the  Assembly s specific endorsement of each of the efficiencies contained in  the Government Plan .

The Government Plan 2020-2023 set out the ambition to achieve £100  million of efficiencies, with the first £40 million to be achieved in 2020.  The plan for £40 million in 2020 was published in October 2019 and  

a performance update was published as part of the Government Plan  

Six Monthly Report in August 2020. This plan continues that ambition,  setting out the detail of the 2021 plan to deliver £20 million of efficiencies  and other rebalancing measures, and trails some of the activities and  programmes of work that will support the rebalancing of finances over the  remainder of the Government Plan 2021-2024.

While the Efficiencies Plan 2020 was published as a standalone report,  the approval of Proposition 88/2019 requires the presentation of the plan  within this and future Government Plans.

At the time of writing, the impacts of Covid-19 are still readily apparent and  the effect on Government finances is considerably greater than the impact  of efficiencies. As described in the 2020 Government Plan Six Monthly  Report multiple approaches will be required to balance Government  finances, including a wide range of fiscal measures, borrowing strategies,  economic stimulus, treatment of funds and the delivery of savings and  efficiencies. This represents a shift to a broader set of financial  

rebalancing measures into which the efficiencies have been subsumed.  

The financial impact of these multiple approaches focuses on areas  such as:

   A reduction in revenue spend, delivering better quality services for less  

   More efficient collection of existing income and better debt  

management

   Increasing the Government s revenue through further recovery of  

existing costs, moving towards full cost recovery of services where  appropriate  

   The extension and increase of existing charges or the introduction of  

new charges as revenue-raising measures.

All of the work continues to progress the application of the  One Government principles to the organisation.

Governance

As in 2020, the plan for 2021 was developed by Directors General and  reviewed by relevant Ministers before formal approval by the Council  of Ministers.

In order to drive through the rebalancing of the Government s finances  the Government established a small project team that worked through the  Operating Committee and reported into the Executive Leadership Team  and relevant Ministers in generating ideas and proposals for consideration.

These were presented line by line to the Council of Ministers for  consideration and challenge before being proposed as part of the  Government Plan.

Efficiencies and other rebalancing measures approved through the  Government Plan debate will result in cash limit reductions and/or income  forecast increases at departmental budget level. The performance of  

each proposal will then be tracked monthly through the finance budget  monitoring process and, where appropriate, with additional qualitative  information provided through a project management system.  

It is anticipated that performance updates on the 2021 plan will be  provided in August 2021 and February 2022.

Officers and Ministers will continue to engage with the Efficiencies Review  Panel to provide updates on the delivery and impact of the plan.

Sustainable wellbeing impact assessment

A critical aspect of assessing each proposal is understanding the potential  impact of its delivery on sustainable wellbeing. We have introduced a  simple sustainable wellbeing impact assessment which we will review  and refine in 2021 (see Part One Sustainable Wellbeing). Detailed  descriptions of proposals will be published alongside the Government  Plan for information and which include an initial assessment of impact on  Islanders and staff and considers sustainable wellbeing.

Summary Plan for 2021 by Minister

The budget impact of the plan to deliver £20 million of efficiencies and  rebalancing measures in 2021 is set out below and sub-totalled against  each Minister or the Council of Ministers. Summary descriptions of  proposals are then set out in the next table and more detailed descriptions  of proposals will be published alongside the Government Plan for  information.

 

Allocation by Minister

 

2021 (£)

Chief Minister

 

1,303,000

Council of Ministers

 

5,418,000

Minister for Children and Housing

 

555,000

Minister for Health and Social Services

 

5,000,000

Minister for Home Affairs

 

765,000

Minister for Infrastructure

 

4,500,000

Minister for Social Security

 

442,000

Minister for Treasury and Resources

 

1,280,000

Ministers for Infrastructure , Environment, EDTSC

 

750,000

Grand Total 20,013,000 Table 1 Efficiencies and rebalancing measures 2021 - allocation by Minister

Income  Spend reduction

£2.2m £16.9m Recurring Recurring

£450k £850k One off One off

Figure 3 - Efficiencies and other rebalancing measures

Infographic presents income and spend reduction only and has been rounded

Summary Plan for 2021 by proposal

Efficiencies and other rebalancing proposals will result, in the majority  of cases, in either a reduction in cash limit and/or an increase in income  forecast. In a small number of cases there is an increase in cash limit  (values shown in brackets).

This more detailed allocation sets out summary descriptions of each  proposal, classification as either a recurring or one-off measure, budget  impact and departmental allocations.

Depart- Recurring or  Budget  

Minister Summary description 2021 value (£)

ment one-off impact

Transfer technology functions from CYPES and HCS into Modernisation and  Spend  

Chief Minister COO Recurring 900,000

Digital continuing the application of OneGov principles reduction

Spend  

Chief Minister SPPP Defer the implementation of the Public Services Ombudsman for one year. One off 378,000

reduction

Merge the support and re-plan commissioned research projects for the States  Spend  

Chief Minister COO Recurring 200,000

Employment Board and Jersey Appointments Commission reduction

Review and renegotiate the GoJ print contract securing some of the  

Spend  

Chief Minister COO reductions in print volumes derived from an increase in home working and Recurring 100,000

reduction

continued investment in technology

Defer the development of policy for Financial independence in old age by  Spend  

Chief Minister SPPP One off 50,000

one year reduction

Minister for Children  Spend  

SPPP Defer the development of policy for Long term housing by one year One off 25,000 and Housing  reduction

Minister for Children  Redesign the therapeutic support model for children with complex needs  Spend  

CYPES Recurring 200,000 and Housing  (including neuro assessment) reduction

Minister for Children  Review and realign the commissioned budget available for antenatal services  Spend  

CYPES Recurring 180,000 and Housing  with demand. Note there will be no reduction to the service reduction

Minister for Children  Review and realign the budget for care leavers with demand. Note there will  Spend  

CYPES Recurring 100,000 and Housing  be no reduction to the service reduction

Minister for Children  Review and realign the budget for intensive fostering with demand. Note  Spend  

CYPES Recurring 50,000 and Housing  there will be no reduction in the service reduction

Minister for Health  Implement proposals from the HCS Zero Based Budget exercise once  Spend  

HCS Recurring 5,000,000 and Social Services  approved by the Minister reduction

Sell a domestic dwelling no longer required by the Fire and Rescue Service  

Minister for Home  

JHA whilst compensating for the reduction in rental income (prudent estimate  One off Income 450,000 Affairs

pending valuation)

Minister for Home  Through the application of enhanced workforce planning implement a  Spend  

JHA: SoJP Recurring 215,000 Affairs vacancy factor equivalent to approximately 1% of staff costs reduction

Minister for Home  Spend  

JHA Continue the digital transformation of GST and Customs services Recurring 50,000 Affairs reduction

Minister for Home  Continue the organisational implementation of electronic rostering to replace  Spend  

JHA Recurring 50,000 Affairs paper based rostering processes reduction

Minister for Home  Restructure the Intelligence Administration function to reflect known leavers  Spend  

JHA: SoJP Recurring 20,000 Affairs and vacancies reduction

Revise and release a portion of the budget for the Health Estate in light of  

Minister for  Spend  

IHE progress made with backlog maintenance and to reflect capital allocations Recurring 4,000,000 Infrastructure  reduction

within the HCS budget

Reduce a portion of the property maintenance budget to reflect a  

Minister for  Spend  

IHE reprioritisation of assets requiring maintenance; informed by the Office  Recurring 300,000 Infrastructure  reduction

Accommodation Project

Re-structure Facilities Management across Government to create one  

Minister for  Spend  

IHE centralised function with hub and spoke delivery aligned with the OneGov Recurring 200,000 Infrastructure  reduction

principles

Ministers for  Development of an IHE TOM to include reviews of the overall structure, sports  

Spend  

Infrastructure ,  IHE division, business administration and the transfer of customer facing services Recurring 750,000

reduction

Environment, EDTSC to CLS

Minister for Social  Spend  

CLS Defer the implementation of the Care needs at home project by one year One off 400,000 Security reduction

Minister for Social  Spend  

CLS Continued review of, and improvement, to customer services Recurring 61,000 Security reduction

Minister for Treasury  Spend  

T&E Reduce cash handling fees by increasing non-cash payment options Recurring 30,000 and Resources reduction

Increase income from new charges, and increased cost recovery of existing  

Council of MinistersCentral charged services, based on the initial implementation of a fees and charges Recurring Income 950,000

framework

Continue to manage inflationary pressures across government by retaining  

Spend  

Council of MinistersCentral the budget for non-pay inflation and seeking best commercial outcomes to Recurring 3,718,000

reduction

contract management

Allocated  Continue the best practice of reviewing and securing recurring reductions in  

Spend  

Council of Ministersby depart- non-staff budget including locking in some of the spend reductions evidenced Recurring 750,000

reduction

ment during COVID-19

Spend  

Chief Minister SPPP Deferred Island Plan Review activity from 2020 One off (325,000)

increase

Minister for Social  Spend  

JHA Restructuring advisor posts  One off (19,000) Security increase

Minister for Home  Spend  

JHA Restructure of frontline posts to resource JCIS/SOJPS dog handler One off (20,000) Affairs increase

Subtotal excluding incremental tax revenue 18,763,000

Minister for Treasury  Increase tax revenues through the continued enhancement of domestic tax  

T&E Recurring Income 1,250,000 and Resources compliance

Total 20,013,000 Table 2 Efficiencies and rebalancing measures 2021 - summary proposals

Recurring versus one-off efficiencies

Next year the vast majority of efficiencies (£19.1 million, 96%) and other  rebalancing measures are recurring. The small remaining value are  one-off measures impacting on the 2021 budget only (£0.9 million, 4%).  Over the course of the year, recurring proposals to this value will be  developed through the monthly budget monitor process.  

Efficiencies and other rebalancing   measures in 2022-24  

The Government Plan 2020-23 sets out the commitment to deliver  recurring efficiencies of £20 million in both 2022 and 2023 and the Council  of Ministers has added a further £20 million objective in 2024, by which  point £120 million of efficiencies and other rebalancing measures will have  been delivered.  

As in 2021, detailed plans will be brought forward within each Government  Plan for the following year and there remains an intention to continue the  focus on the themes introduced in 2020:

   Our workforce

   Processes and systems

   Commerciality

   Organisational structures

   Shaping demand for services (previously prevention and care).

In addition, there are several significant programmes of work which are  anticipated to deliver value over the life, albeit it towards the end, of this  Government Plan period.

Office Modernisation

The Office Modernisation programme is in pre-feasibility phase. This  activity involves the procurement of a development partner to work with  the public service to deliver a new office to bring together colleagues  across the public service and provide an outstanding customer hub for  Islanders. This will enable the Government of Jersey to more effectively  discharge its duties to support Ministers, the States Assembly and the  public it serves. The project team is in commercial dialogue with potential  parties to identify a site and scheme with a view to having a new building  operational by early 2024. The project is anticipated to realise several  benefits, including reducing overall office running costs and realising  capital receipts through the disposal of vacated buildings.

The Government has reviewed the principles of the Strategic Outline  Case, which was approved in September 2019, to assess the implications  of the pandemic on the project. Building on our experience of home  working, we will introduce flexible working practices as a key enabler of  the Office Modernisation programme. The Government will review plans  for exiting leases, and timings for the potential sale of properties, to reduce  

the impact of an economic downturn on capital receipts and anticipated  revenue savings. On balance, the Government continues to consider the  case to build a new office valid as it will deliver a noteworthy economic  stimulus and a range of benefits for the organisation.  

Technology Transformation Programme (TTP)

Major technology programmes initiated in 2020 will continue over this  period, thereby providing a solid foundation for future initiatives.

Other programmes from the wider Technology Transformation Programme  will be initiated over this period as plans are updated and this programme  continues to present opportunities for efficiencies in several areas  including:

   Quality of data and information compilation and provision    Increased staff productivity

   Increased automation

   Reductions in support and licencing costs

   Reductions in costs of managing technology estate and requirements  

for storage.

Technical services

We will undertake a comprehensive review of the technical services  provided by Infrastructure, Housing and the Environment.

Working in partnership with public utility providers, the review will include  the identification and assessment of options for potential funding sources  and new or revised service delivery mechanisms. The outcome will be  

the development of a business case for the future delivery of technical  services, with a view to maintaining or improving the levels of service and  environmental outcomes in the future.

We will appoint a working group of stakeholders, led by a specialist  advisor, to support it through the review process, ensuring best practice  is followed and that knowledge, experience and lessons learned from  around the world can be brought to Jersey.

Sports facilities and services

The Government, in partnership with Jersey Sport, will undertake a  comprehensive review of the sport services it provides. This will progress  the work already undertaken to deliver improvements to our sports  facilities and will also consider how sport services are funded and  delivered into the future.  

One government property estate and strategic property  functions

We will create a single government property estate, whereby ownership,  estate management and maintenance are consolidated from across  Government into a new property structure within Infrastructure, Housing  and the Environment.  

Working in partnership with the States of Jersey Development Company,  we will undertake a review of property development, disposal and  acquisition functions to identify a new model of service delivery.

Shaping demand

Previously described as Prevention and Care, this Government-wide  programme has progressed since the last Government Plan to identify  several more specific opportunities where activity, in the remainder of  2020 and in 2021 should start delivering efficiencies in 2022 and beyond.  These cross-cutting opportunities are in areas including criminal justice,  school inclusion and in reconfiguring customer journeys to reduce high  cost provision across a number of departments, notably Children, Young  People, Education and Skills (CYPES), Health and Community Services  (HCS), Customer and Local Services (CLS) and Justice and Home Affairs  (JHA).

Commercial services

The establishment of a new commercial function is a key priority for  the Government, providing capability and capacity to deliver improved  commercial and procurement outcomes, enhanced governance, robust  supplier and contract management and drive better value for money.  

Fees and charges framework

Fees and charges are not only an important source of income providing  vital funds to deliver essential public services and assist in achieving our  objectives for better outcomes for Islanders but are also an important  driver of efficiency. An appropriate and strategic approach to fees and  charges requires us to have a robust understanding of the costs of the  services we provide, as well as local economic and market factors, and to  keep our schedule of fees and charges under regular review to ensure the  most appropriate are applied.  

Consequently, the Minister for Treasury and Resources intends to  implement a framework within which a fair, economically sound and  strategic approach to fees and charges levied is agreed, and regularly  reviewed.  

To ensure the best possible value for money, and establish the fairest  possible approach to charging and cost recovery, the framework will set  out that charges for discretionary services will be set to fully recover their  costs unless there is a specific decision or well-established reason to  subsidise the service provision.  

The decision on whether to make a charge, and the amount of the charge,  is not always in the Government s control, but where it is, it is important  that the implications of the charging decisions being taken are fully  understood.

This framework will provide guidance on:  

   The setting of new charges and the context within which existing  

charges should be reviewed, including consultation and equality impact  assessments, as required  

   The Government s approach to cost recovery and the generation of  

income from charging for services  

   The governance processes which must be followed to gain approval  

for services to be provided at subsidy whether this be a subsidy to all  users or in the form of concessions for users meeting a clearly defined  qualifying criteria.

The framework should allow us to have a properly considered, consistent  and informed approach to all charges we make for our discretionary  services in support of the delivery of our strategic objectives and the  protection of statutory services.  

Part four Government Finances

 

Protecting our island's future by:

Responding  Investing in our

to Covid-19 economic recovery

 

Rebalancing Investing in public finances health and education

£395m

Covid-19

reduced  

income  

£400m (2020-23)

+£40m  £385m reserve  (2020-21)

(2020-21) Covid-19

extra

spending

Borrowing to fund the cost of Covid-19

 

Spending exceeds income in 2020 and 2021 to respond to Covid-19. Returning to balanced budgets by 2023 and 2024

£827m £1bn £985m £914m £902m £952m 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024

Delivering efficiencies by rebalancing our expenditure

£20m £20m £20m

£20m £20m £20m £20m £20m £20m £20m

£40m £40m £40m £40m £40m 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024

Investing in our priorities

£41m £64m £64m £62m 2021 2022 2023 2024

Investing in our infrastructure

£117m £98m £82m £74m 2021 2022 2023 2024

Growing the Strategic Reserve to protect against future uncertainty

£890m £905m £953m

2021 2022 2023 2024

£1bn

Maintaining the Social Security Reserve

£1.67bn £1.61bn £1.63bn £1.75bn

2021 2022 2023 2024

Budget measures for 2021

All alcohol

0%

Increase Duty frozen

Tobacco

20 king size cigarettes 50g tobacco pouch

+41p +£2.05

RPI + 5% increase in  RPI + 8% increase in standard tobacco duty hand-rolling tobacco duty

Fuel

Per litre

+2.3p

RPI +2p per litre increase in road fuel duty (2p goes into Climate Emergency Fund)

GST/ISE £3.5m

International Services Entity fees paid, as

an alternative to registering for GST, by

businesses (principally in the finance

sector) that mainly serve non-residents. Total additional fees from ISEs

Income  £100 £150 £50 Tax

allowances

increase in increase in  increase in single person's  married couple's  second earner's standard income  standard income  allowance

tax exemption  tax exemption

threshold threshold

Stamp duty

First time buyers purchasing  Stamp  Stamp duty no through an assisted ownership  duty payable  longer payable scheme will only pay stamp

duty on the affordable price

element

4 ETehnxiasbe sleec cgutrioetnai t voe fer tt hr aeSn Gs upomavr ee rmnncmy ae onrf t  y t Ph le a nw ph ro elese onf t Gs othvee rfinnmanecnet ss ofifn tahnec ewsid. Tehr is Government, moving towards consistency with the States Accounts, to

includes consideration of the plan for the Government Balance Sheet, including the finances of Government funds, our reserves, alongside the elements that are subject to States Assembly approval.

Government Plan 2020-23

The first Government Plan, agreed in December last year, laid out a strategy of investment in our strategic priorities funded largely by a programme of efficiencies and rebalancing up to £100 million per annum by 2023. The plan delivered broadly balanced budgets over the period and included transfers to the Stabilisation Fund, the first line of protection against an economic downturn. Rebalancing expenditure to enable investment in strategic priorities remains a foundation of this Government Plan, and together with the resilience and strength of the Island s reserves, places Jersey in the best place possible to respond to Covid-19.

We now propose building on our existing strategy to fund the impacts of the pandemic with responsible plans to finance those costs, adjust to the impact on our income, and return to balanced budgets in the medium- term, in accordance with independent advice from the Fiscal Policy Panel.

Covid-19 response and impacts

The pandemic has, and will, continue to have two significant impacts on the finances of the Government and States of Jersey:

  Unprecedented levels of immediate and time-limited additional

expenditure required to save Islanders lives and livelihood s during the pandemic

  Massive impacts upon our economy in the short-term, followed by a

prolonged recovery period, which may ultimately leave the economy smaller than previously forecast, particularly if we do nothing. This has, and will have, an associated impact upon our income from taxation and Social Security contributions.

The expenditure impact of the pandemic over the period 2020-2024, including economic recovery and fiscal stimulus, is estimated at more than £400 million, with a further reserve of £40 million to cover the costs associated with dealing with potential future cases in the Island.

After modest revenue measures proposed in this plan, the income impact of the pandemic has seen the forecast for general revenues for 2020-2023 fall by £395 million since the Government Plan 2020-23 was approved.

The first of these impacts requires an exceptional funding solution, largely through borrowing for these time-limited costs, retaining the flexibility and resilience to be able to respond to an uncertain future. In addition, Ministers are also proposing to utilise the strength of the significant assets

held in the Social Security Reserve Fund to meet its requirements, rather than making a taxpayer contribution, in each of the years 2020-23.

The second impact requires a plan to readjust the balance between expenditure and income to balance the books by 2024, in line with the advice of the Fiscal Policy Panel, whilst we run deficits to pay for vital services and investments in our strategic priorities. The outline of the action required is included in this Plan.

Investment in public services

Other than investment in our pandemic response, we propose further investment of £62 million per year by 2024 in the strategic priorities. This includes additional amounts to provide significant investment in our education system and our model of health-care in the Island, rebalanced, in part, by reprioritising and rephasing planned investment in the Government Plan 2020-23.

We intend to build on last year s Government Plan by delivering further investment in our priorities. We also recognise the need to provide more effective and efficient services (see Part Three Rebalancing Government Finances). This is a key part of balancing the plan, making the investment in priorities possible and making sure that we can deliver more, in the context of limited resources.

We will also continue to make much-needed investment in infrastructure and technology to drive a more effective organisation, with £371 million of planned capital projects.

Revenue measures

We have noted the advice of the Fiscal Policy Panel that significant additional revenue measures that impact the economy should not generally be introduced immediately as a response to the fiscal challenges of the pandemic.

Accordingly, other than for International Service Entity fees the budget measures are broadly cost neutral.

Our immediate revenue-related proposals in this plan are therefore limited to:

  Across-the-board increases to International Service Entities fees,

paid instead of levying GST, which will generate new revenue of an estimated £3.5 million per annum

  Inflation-linked increases to the income tax exemption thresholds

benefiting 90% of taxpayers, apart from those on the highest incomes.

  Above-inflation increases in road-fuel duty to enable an additional

contribution of 2 pence per litre of petrol and diesel sold to be allocated to the Climate Emergency Fund, on top of the 4 pence per litre in last year s Government Plan

  Above-inflation increases in tobacco duties maintaining existing policy

  to support health objectives

   Freezing duty on alcohol to support the recovery of our hospitality

sector

   Reduced Stamp Duty/Land Transaction Tax to benefit first-time buyers

purchasing through an assisted ownership scheme.

Alongside the Government Plan, the Council of Ministers is bringing forward proposals to bring all taxpayers on to a Current Year Basis. This will provide a short-term cash boost to those most financially affected by the Government s lockdown measures and, if approved, future payments of the 2019 Prior Year Basis tax will be ring-fenced to repay debt arising directly from the pandemic.

We also set out a programme of work for the year ahead including the move to Independent Taxation and development of measures to contribute to closing the gap in funding by 2024.

Ensuring long-term sustainability

We have a legal requirement, as set out in the Public Finances Law, to have regard to the long-term sustainability of our Island, which will help ensure that Jersey remains a vibrant, prosperous and safe place.

To this end, Ministers have articulated a plan to return to balanced budgets by 2024, whilst maintaining investment and spend, thereby assisting the economy. This plan also preserves the Strategic Reserve to maintain resilience against potential future shocks to the economy and instead proposes borrowing to meet the impacts of Covid-19 on our finances and laying out a plan for the repayment of that debt.

Table 3 below highlights the deficits in 2021 and 2022 as we return to balanced budgets in 2023 and 2024.

2021  2022  2023  2024 (£000) (£000) (£000) (£000)

General Revenue Income 806,515  863,318  915,724  966,081 Net departmental expenditure (929,967) (857,355) (843,010) (892,956) Depreciation  (54,646) (56,699) (58,838) (59,275)

Forecast operating surplus (178,098) (50,736) 13,876  13,851 Table 3 Overall Position (Financial Forecast)

After taking into account forecast deficits in 2021, the costs of the capital programme and other transfers between funds, the total forecast borrowing requirement in 2021 is £336 million, in addition to the £50 million borrowing proposed for the Fiscal Stimulus Fund in 2020. This excludes the £250 million borrowing in respect of social housing, largely lent to Andium Homes Limited.

Financial and economic context

In preparing the Government Plan, the Council of Ministers has considered the medium-term and long-term sustainability of public finances and the outlook for the economy in Jersey. The plan has set out how the proposals take those matters into account.

The Fiscal Policy Panel provides the Minister for Treasury and Resources and States Members with independent economic advice, on a statutory basis, on matters relating to tax and spending policy, including the use of the Stabilisation Fund and the Strategic Reserve.

The Panel provides independent and objective recommendations including advice on borrowing to help ensure sustainable public finances. The Fiscal Policy Panel acknowledged, in their August 2020 economic assumptions letter, that there remains a high level of uncertainty around the impact of the pandemic on both the global and local economy.

The Panel s August letter also gave some advice on the appropriate budgetary balance (i.e. surpluses or deficits) over the four-year period of this plan and advice on our fiscal guidelines around borrowing. This advice has been considered by the Council of Ministers and is reflected in this Plan.

The international economic outlook

In its September 2020 Interim Economic Outlook, the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD), stated The economic outlook remains exceptionally uncertain, with the Covid-19 pandemic continuing to exert a substantial toll on economies and societies. Global output in the second quarter of 2020 was over 10% lower than at the end of 2019, an unprecedented sudden shock in modern times. The extent and timing of the pandemic shock differed across the major economies, but

all experienced a sharp contraction in activity as necessary containment measures were implemented .

The OECD forecasts the global economy to decline by 4.5% this year, before picking up to 5% growth next year. However, this is subject to considerable uncertainty regarding the evolution of the global pandemic, the actions required to contain the virus and the impact on consumer and business confidence.

The OECD has therefore produced forecasts for both a downside

scenario and an upside scenario , with the balance of risks being to the downside. In the upside scenario, faster progress is made in preventing the spread of the virus, boosting confidence and driving both spending and investment. Global growth still falls this year in the upside scenario, but the recovery in 2021 is considerably stronger at around 7%. In the downside scenario, stronger and more persistent effects from the pandemic result

in heightened uncertainty and tighter global financial conditions. The downside scenario involves a deeper decline in 2020, but also a much slower recovery next year, with only 2% growth.

An even greater decline in the global economy was avoided through prompt and effective monetary and fiscal policy action. Monetary policy was eased through lower interest rates and purchases of financial

assets by central banks. In fiscal policy, most countries have put in

place significant payments to support both households and businesses throughout the collapse in economic activity.

A wide-ranging set of global responses include deferral of liabilities to government (e.g. tax), subsidies to employers to support employment, enhanced social security provision and direct payments to households. Many countries, including France and Germany, have put in place additional fiscal stimulus measures that include temporary tax cuts and large increases in public spending to support policy priorities in the recovery.

110

Current projection

November 2019 projection

100

Upside scenario Downside scenario

90

19Q4 20Q1 20Q2 20Q3 20Q4 21Q1 21Q2 21Q3 21Q4

Figure 4 - world GDP Q4 2019 = 100

Source: OECD interim Economic Outlook September 2020

The UK s exit from the European Union is unlikely to significantly affect the global economy, but the terms of any deal could significantly affect the economic outcome for the UK and Jersey along with the EU. On balance, the UK s exit from the EU will weaken growth in the UK and in Jersey, and promote higher inflation. In the event of a disorderly exit, with severe disruption to trade flows and perhaps a significant depreciation

of the exchange rate, the impact could be much more severe. It remains a significant downside risk, alongside that of dealing with the global pandemic.

The economic outlook for Jersey

While 2019 data for Gross Value Added, which measures economic output, as of September 2020 had not yet been published, the indicators available in September suggest a year of steady growth. Employment increased by more than 1% and average earnings grew by 2.6%, although high inflation of 2.8% meant that real wages fell. The Fiscal Policy Panel has estimated GVA growth of 0.6% in 2019, which would be the slowest rate of growth since 2013.

However, economic developments in 2019 have less relevance than usual in assessing future economic prospects, given the scale of the economic crisis brought about by the pandemic throughout 2020. The Fiscal Policy Panel s March 2020 economic assumptions advised that a recession could not be avoided, and that Jersey would face an unprecedented collapse

in economic output with a sharp fall in employment. The evolution of the economy in Jersey has been broadly in line with this and continues to follow the updated Fiscal Policy Panel forecast from August 2020.

As the economic crisis unfolded throughout lockdown, the number of people Actively Seeking Work rose sharply from 1,010 at the end of March 2020 to peak at 2,380 on 24 May - compared with 840 a year earlier. It

had fallen consistently to 1,490 by mid September. The number of active Income Support claims rose from 5,620 at the end of February to peak at 6,550 on 31 May covering 8,390 adults and 3,410 children. The number

of claims fell to 6,260 by mid September with the high number of claims reflecting lower income for those both in work and out of work.

The Jersey Opinions and Lifestyle Survey (JOLS) included several important new questions on how Covid-19 has affected Islanders. Notably many reported a reduction in their pay, with more than two-fifths (44%) of adults employed in hotels, restaurants and bars reporting a decrease in

pay, compared to around one in fifty (2%) working in the public sector. Over a third (36%) of households reported that their finances had got worse due to the pandemic. These economic indicators illustrate the severe impact of Covid-19 on employment and incomes for households.

The Business Tendency Survey captures responses from firms about their current situation and expectations for the future. As would be expected, responses were markedly more negative in March and June 2020 compared with earlier periods and responses to the survey worsened significantly between those months. In June, the headline business activity indicator showed a negative net balance of -62 by far its lowest ever level, though it should be noted that this survey did not start until September 2009, after the initial hit of the global financial crisis.

Both the finance and non-finance sectors reported their worst contraction in activity since the survey began, but it was much more severe for non-finance. Hotels, restaurants and bars are worst hit with 100% of firms reporting a reduction in activity. Construction was also severely hit, though a small number of firms in wholesale and retail and in other non-finance businesses reported an increase in activity.

Looking to the future, businesses overall expect activity to decline further in Quarter 3. This is perhaps surprising as business activity would be expected to increase from a very low level as restrictions on activity are eased but the survey responses may just reflect pessimism in the current challenging economic conditions. This summary indicator is shown below, along with an average over four quarters that smooths out the volatility from one quarter to the next.

2

1

0

-1

Principal component -2 4Q moving average

-3

Sep 09 Jun 09 Mar 11 Dec 11 Sep 12 Jun 13 Mar 14 Dec 14 Sep 15 Jun 16 Mar 17 Dec 17 Sep 18 Jun 19 Mar 20 Figure 5 - Business Tendency Survey, All Sectors, Principal Component

This summary indicator for the survey demonstrates the unprecedented collapse in economic activity, in both speed and scale, for the Jersey economy. The results for other sectors were similar, though with the finance sector significantly less negative than the non-finance sector. The hospitality sector was significantly more negative than the rest of the sectors.

There are a range of other indicators that help assess how the Island s economy is recovering from lockdown, including data on footfall in the high street, bus passenger numbers and the total number of vehicles passing through the tunnel.

In broad terms, by mid-September vehicle traffic had recovered to pre-crisis levels but bus passengers remained at around 50% lower while footfall in the high street was still 40% lower. This would be consistent with

higher rates of home working, restrictions on activity to support public health, and caution among Islanders in resuming normal patterns of work and leisure. It would also reflect the significant reduction in harbour and airport arrivals to the Island of around 70% in August, compared with last year.

The Fiscal Policy Panel s August 2020 forecast is for a severe recession

in 2020, with a fall in economic output (as measured by real GVA) of 7.5% and a fall in employment of 1.6%. The deterioration in prospects for 2020, relative to their March 2020 forecast, is driven largely by a considerable reduction in banking profits, which make up a significant share of output (GVA) in Jersey s economy.

110

August 2020 forecast October 2019 forecast

March 2020 forecast

100

GVA

90

80

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023

Figure 6 - Index of real gross value added (GVA), Q1 2018 = 100

The forecast assumes that the economy will continue to recover through the second half of 2020 and 2021, although at a relatively subdued

pace. Crucially, the forecast also includes a judgement on how the global pandemic and recession will permanently affect the economy, with not all the lost ground in output made up. This means the economy is now forecast to be smaller in the medium-term than it was pre-crisis, with a

consequence that our revenues will be lower. The chart below provides an illustrative profile of quarterly GVA, consistent with the Fiscal Policy Panel s forecast.

While it is difficult to be certain about the nature and extent of any structural/long-term impact on the economy, the Fiscal Policy Panel has advised that we should plan on the basis of a long-term reduction in the size of the economy compared to forecasts this time last year. This has been incorporated into the revenue forecasts from the Income Forecasting Group.

While the Fiscal Policy Panel s economic forecast assumes the economy will be smaller by the end of this Government Plan period, the panel has not revised its forecast for the trend growth rate of the economy i.e.

the long run average growth rate. The panel will undertake more work to update the trend rate of growth once the structural impact of the pandemic becomes clearer.

While the pandemic will have a substantial impact on the economy, other longer-term issues remain. The conclusion of the UK s negotiations with the European Union remains a source of uncertainty and challenges around demographics, and recent poor productivity performance will need to be resolved if Jersey is to continue to enjoy equally high levels of prosperity into the future.

Jersey s fiscal framework for 2020 and beyond

The Fiscal Policy Panel is established by the Public Finances Law, which enshrines its independence and sets requirements for it to provide an annual report on Jersey s economy and Government finances, and to inform the preparation of the Government Plan. The Council of Ministers or the Treasury and Resources Minister can also request other reports on specific subjects.

The Panel will continue to be responsible for monitoring the application of the fiscal guidelines.

The fiscal framework remains an important pillar of Jersey s economic and fiscal policy and sets the medium and long-term aims that help to inform budgetary decision making, with particular regard to the balance of income and expenditure (i.e. budget deficits or surpluses).

The key guidelines identified in the last Government Plan are to:

  Seek to increase the Strategic Reserve and public sector net worth,

while following the advice of the Fiscal Policy Panel on borrowing and net financial assets

  Run a primary structural current balance or surplus until the Strategic

Reserve is judged large enough to meet its mandate

  Borrow only to finance investment (or refinance liabilities), except in

times of economic duress, and monitor the impact on net financial assets.

Financial strategy

This Government Plan sets out the new investment in our strategic priorities, as well as additional spending in response to the pandemic. Although the plan is focused on the period 2021-24, it also resolves the negative balance in the Consolidated Fund caused by the emergency spending on the pandemic response in 2020. These spending plans are set against the backdrop of significantly reduced income forecasts in 2020, and over the life of the plan.

In arriving at its financial strategy, the Council of Ministers has balanced these competing pressures. In line with recommendations from the Fiscal Policy Panel, Ministers have sought to largely retain the strength of our reserves, using borrowing in the early years to fund the cost of the pandemic response, before returning to a balanced budget by 2024.

Ministers are proposing utilising short-term borrowing facilities in 2021, given the enduring high levels of uncertainty. In 2021, when there is less uncertainty and a final decision relating to Our Hospital has been made, we will propose the nature of longer-term debt issuance to replace the short-term facilities. A draft strategy for medium to longer-term debt has been formulated. However, this strategy will benefit from greater certainty as the global pandemic evolves and once a budget for the Our Hospital project is agreed.

All borrowing must ultimately be paid for. We have made allowance for forecast interest on this debt and Ministers propose that the repayment

of the debt will be from the payment of the 2019 Previous Year s Basis taxpayers liability over the next 15 years or more, if the States Assembly agrees to the Treasury Minister s plans to move everyone to a Current Year Basis.

These payments are time limited and avoid the need to raise taxes to pay off the debt.

Reduced income

The latest forecasts from the Income Forecasting Group show a decline

in income, as a result of Covid-19, of £96 million in 2020, compared to the forecasts a year ago, with all future years also reduced.

Government spending 2021-24

We are planning to spend £1.05 billion on public services and infrastructure in 2021. This compares with forecast expenditure of £945 million included in last year s Government Plan. The difference is largely the projected

costs arising from the pandemic response and economic recovery. In setting our spending plans for the next four years, we have carefully reviewed all areas of growth expenditure. Our forecast additional spending on the revenue expenditure projects included in last year s Government Plan is £35 million per year by 2023. This compares with a forecast

£55 million per year, as per last year s Government Plan. We will also continue to rebalance Government finances through the efficiencies plan announced last year.

In part, through this process of reprioritisation and challenge, as well as borrowing to fund Covid-19 costs, we have been able to accommodate £112 million of total additional investment in 2021, including £87 million in respect of Covid-19 and the associated economic recovery. In addition, we have included an expanded capital programme of £117 million within our spending plans, including some items deferred from 2020 as a result of the pandemic, which will also act as a fiscal stimulus.

Impact on the financial position

The financial position is forecast to improve over the period of the plan, from the large forecasted, and Covid-19 related, deficit in 2020. We are using accumulated balances in the Consolidated Fund and Stabilisation Fund to address this, along with borrowing in 2021 to meet the costs associated with our pandemic response. On current estimates, additional borrowing will be required in 2022, before budgets return to balance in 2023 and 2024.

The measures we have taken to reprioritise expenditure have reduced the amount of borrowing required in the short-term. We will look to use a combination of unused and uncommitted capital allocations, any unspent Covid-19 allocations, and some property disposals in the coming year to reduce our future borrowing requirements, ahead of the Government Plan next year and ahead of confirming the medium-term level of borrowing.

Borrowing

Government Plan 2020 established Fiscal Guidelines, including in respect of borrowing:

 Borrow only to finance investments (or refinance liabilities) except under times of economic duress and monitor the impact on net financial assets

That guideline is as relevant now as it was then. However, considering the changed perspective, a policy for borrowing has been further developed and will be published by the Minister for Treasury & Resources.

In summary, that policy establishes valid uses for borrowing:

  Capital Investment in public sector assets for a non-financial return, but

which provide public services (e.g. a hospital)

  Capital Investment in public sector assets for a financial return (e.g.

housing or office space), where an income stream is generated

  Temporary costs of the economic cycle, and in times of economic

duress, through lower revenues and higher spending (e.g. passive fiscal stimulus through use of automatic stabilisers and exceptional costs associated with Covid-19)

  Active fiscal stimulus Short-term, targeted and timely, (e.g. financing

the Fiscal Stimulus Fund)

  Deferral of income and cashflow purposes, although potential losses

and financing costs need to be identified

Unprecedented, but time-limited, expenditure has been, and will continue to be, necessary as a result of our Covid-19 response, and we will incur deficits whilst returning to balanced budgets in 2023. The Stabilisation Fund and available balances on the Consolidated Fund will have been utilised to meet cash flow requirements in 2020.

Faced with this financial challenge, the Council of Ministers strongly believe that the Strategic Reserve should be maintained in these uncertain times and, instead, we propose to borrow to meet the shortfall caused by the pandemic and to maintain investment in services to Islanders, as well as in vital infrastructure. This decision is also informed by the likelihood that the cost of debt will be far lower than the long-term returns on our reserves.

The immediate future remains highly uncertain and Ministers are therefore proposing the use of short-term debt facilities ahead of further action to reduce the debt level before it is replaced by medium-term facilities.

This Government Plan seeks approval to utilise £336 million in 2021 from the Revolving Credit Facility of £500 million obtained by the Minister for Treasury & Resources in May 2020. This is in addition to the borrowing required to fund the Fiscal Stimulus Fund and in addition to the borrowing for social housing of £250 million, but excludes the Our Hospital project which will be the subject of a separate States Proposition to include a request to arrange financing for the project. The likely scale of borrowing that will be required for Our Hospital has been taken into account when considering the level of debt for Covid-19 costs and has been built into the draft medium-term debt issuance strategy.

The table below sets out the currently forecast total debt requirement, excluding that for Our Hospital.

 

 

2021 (£000)

2022 (£000)

2023 (£000)

2024 (£000)

Funding required from Revolving Credit Facility* Fiscal Stimulus Fund Borrowing (2020)

335,953 50,000

70,864

(5,547)

(6,808)

Cumulative Borrowing Requirement - Covid-19 385,953  456,817  451,270  444,463 Existing borrowing - Housing Bond 2014 250,000  250,000  250,000  250,000

Table 4 - Cumulative borrowing requirement

*2021 borrowing replaces any decisions regarding borrowing made by the Minister for Treasury and Resources in 2020

At the end of 2019, the assets held in the Social Security Reserve Fund represented seven times annual spend in reserve at £1.7 billion. The planned payments in the last Government Plan from taxpayer funds to the Social Security Fund during the four-year period of the Government Plan, would be £330 million.

Following a States debate in April 2020 (P.31/2020), it was agreed that no States grant would be paid into the Social Security Fund in 2020. This released £65.3 million to support pressures related to Covid-19.

Unprecedented pressure on Government finances remains and it is proposed that the 2021-2023 transfers from taxpayer funds into the Social Security Fund are also withheld. This will release a further £235 million, which otherwise would be added to the borrowing requirement. Instead, the Social Security Reserve Fund will be used to top up the Social Security Fund in order to maintain the regular payments out of the fund. This position will be kept under review ahead of next year s Government Plan.

It is proposed that funds will be utilised from the Health Insurance Fund to invest in the Digital Care Strategy and Jersey Care Model, which over time will reduce expenditure on health services.

Ministers will take reasonable steps to reduce this forecast of debt required beyond 2021 through several measures ahead of the next Government Plan:

  Return unused and uncommitted capital allocations at the end of

the year

  Return unspent Covid-19 allocations from 2020

  Return any uncommitted Fiscal Stimulus allocations

  Develop a schedule of property disposals to be used to reduce the

borrowing requirements and to be summarised in an Estates Strategy.

The Council of Ministers intends to finalise its medium-term debt strategy for inclusion within the Government Plan 2022, to coincide with the expiry date of the Revolving Credit Facility, and once the States Assembly has agreed a budget for Our Hospital. This is likely to require consideration of the long-term investment strategy of our reserves, which currently support our credit rating and were an enabler to obtaining the Revolving Credit Facility on an unsecured basis.

Our debt strategy will also show how we plan to repay the borrowing. Although these plans are still being developed, we will establish a sinking fund for the debt and use receipts from property disposals, and from

the change to Prior Year Basis taxation system - subject to approval by

the States Assembly - to fund the repayment of the debt proposed in

this Government Plan. We will develop a further set of principles around efficiencies or receipts not previously identified, ring-fencing them to repay debt.

Returning to balanced budgets

The impact of reduced income over the period of the Government Plan arising from Covid-19 is considerable. This has required us to run deficits, while taking steps to balance the budget by 2024, in line with the advice of the Fiscal Policy Panel.

Ministers have identified a package of measures to close the fiscal gap by 2024, having already pared back the levels of further investment in the plan to 2024.

That package will be introduced over the period of this plan and consists of:

  A £20 million efficiency target for 2024, in addition to the £100 million

per annum target by 2023

  Reviewing the long-term level of the taxpayer grant to the Social

Security Fund, with a working assumption that this will be capped to a maximum of £65.3 million in 2024 and beyond

  Identifying taxation measures to raise taxation of approximately £10

million in total from several sources, with measures to be brought forward in Government Plan 2022 for implementation by 2024:

  Broadening the tax base

  Taxation of medicinal cannabis growing and processing

  A review of commercial stamp duty levels, further to changes to

enveloped properties measures

  A full review of residential stamp duty

  Increases to International Service Entity (ISE) fees in this Government

Plan (£3.5 million).

This would leave a small surplus in 2023 and 2024, and reduce the long- term debt required arising from Covid-19.

The impact of the pandemic has also been felt on the Health Insurance Fund and the Social Security Funds, and action will be taken to ensure their long-term sustainability.

To maintain the timetable for the implementation of the Jersey Care Model, Ministers propose to withdraw £28 million for the Health Insurance Fund and a further £16 million for the Health Digital Strategy. The fund currently holds a balance of £98 million. The overall impact of these withdrawals, plus additional planned health expenditure, would reduce the fund by the end of the Government Plan period to £35 million.

During 2021, Ministers will finalise their plans for a sustainable funding model for healthcare costs. These plans will be brought forward during 2021 or in the 2022 Government Plan.

The Minister for Social Security will bring forward legislation to create a transfer of £11.3 million from the Health Insurance Fund to support the JCM and the Health Digital Strategy costs budgeted for 2021.

In April 2020, the States Assembly agreed to reduce the amount due to be paid from general taxation into the Social Security Fund from £65.3 million to nil. This made available additional funding to support Covid-19 related pressures. Considering the continued pressure on Government finances, this Government Plan proposes that the planned annual transfers to the Social Security Fund of £235 million between 2021 to 2023 are also reduced to nil. This will release an additional £235 million to support other areas of Government expenditure.

Prudent decisions taken in the past have ensured that the Jersey Social Security scheme is on a very firm financial footing. The Fund collects contributions from the current generation of workers to meet the pension costs of their parents. This inter-generational bond helps to support a cohesive society. The individual decisions previously taken to reduce or remove the States Grant over the last five years have not threatened the sustainability of the Fund by themselves. However, repeating this type of decision in future years, without taking corrective action, will have a negative impact on the Fund over time.

At the end of 2019, the assets held in the Fund represented seven years of fund expenditure. These assets also form an important part of the overall financial stability of the Island and play a significant role in our creditworthiness ratings. By the end of 2024, the value of the Fund will be estimated to hold six years of fund expenditure. This still represents a significant investment in the pension provision of future generations.

However, Ministers are determined to ensure that the Fund remains in

a fully sustainable position for future generations and, as a priority, will undertake a full review of the various components of the Social Security scheme ahead of the next Government Plan.

Last year s Government Plan identified the need for a review of the future balance of funding between the States Grant, employer contributions and employee contributions. This work has been delayed in 2020, due to the pandemic, and this will now form an important part of the proposed review as well as considering the burden of overall government levies (taxes and contributions) on individuals, workers, businesses and employers.

The review will build on the public consultations previously conducted in 2016 and 2017, and will lead to proposals to be brought to the States Assembly during 2021 or incorporated into the next Government Plan.

The reviews of health funding, social security funding and revenues collected to support other areas of government expenditure will be coordinated to ensure the overall impact on individuals and businesses is fully considered.

Guiding principles

The Council of Ministers previously agreed the following financial principles:

 

Long-term financial sustainability, with balanced budgets in the medium- term

The Government Plan should be consistent with the aim of ensuring long-term financial sustainability and have regard to Fiscal Policy Panel recommendations

Provide flexibility to be able to make investments where necessary, while balancing budgets

Over the long-term, the Government should make sure that the Stabilisation Fund and Strategic Reserve are of an appropriate size to manage risk and uncertainty

In the short-medium-term action should be taken to preserve a minimum viable balance on the Strategic Reserve to be available whilst the reserve is grown in the long-term

Investment

The Government should seek to address areas of historic under-investment

The Government should look to better utilise its whole balance sheet, including new ways to fund major projects

Borrowing

Borrow only to finance investment (or refinance liabilities), except under times of economic duress, and monitor the impact on net financial assets

Efficiency and effectiveness

The Government should deliver services efficiently through transformation and the use of technology. This will involve investment in staff, and productivity improvements through invest-to-save initiatives

Expenditure and assets should support outcomes for Islanders, and the allocation of both existing funding and investments should be considered and prioritised in the context of effective and efficient delivery of strategic objectives

The Government should also look to maximise the returns (fiscal and outcomes for Islanders) from all assets within agreed levels of risk

Fees and taxation Appropriate and fair contributions should be made to the

full cost of providing services

Significant new income (taxes and charges) should only be implemented once rebalancing expenditure, including efficiencies and prioritisation have been addressed

For new areas of significant investment, over and above the expenditure envelope agreed in Government Plan 2020, such as initiatives designed to respond to the climate emergency declared by the States Assembly, investment should be tied to a funding mechanism, such as a hypothecated tax, if unable to be addressed by re-prioritising expenditure

Tax policy principles

The Council of Ministers previously agreed the following tax policy principles:

 

Fair and sustainable

Taxation must be necessary, justifiable and sustainable

Taxes should be low, broad, simple and fair

Everyone should make an appropriate contribution to the cost of providing services, while those on the lowest incomes should be protected

Support broader Government policy

Taxes must be internationally competitive

Taxation should support economic, environmental and social policy

Borrowing

Borrow only to finance investment (or refinance liabilities), except under times of economic duress, and monitor the impact on net financial assets

Efficient and effective

Taxes should be easy to implement, administer and comply with, at a reasonable cost

No individual tax measure will meet all these principles, but overall the Island s tax regime should represent a sustainable balance of them

Public sector spending 2021-24

In the previous Government Plan, we set out our plans to invest an extra £136 million per year in the Common Strategic Policy priorities by 2023. We also planned to make £100 million of efficiencies over the four year period of the plan. We reported on the progress in delivering the new investment and efficiencies in the Government Plan six-month report, published in August 2020.

The impact of the pandemic on Government finances has been significant. As at 30 June 2020, we had incurred an additional £108 million of expenditure in relation to the pandemic, and forecast in excess of £250 million for the year. We have forecast spending of £87 million on costs related to the pandemic in 2021 and are proposing a further £40million

be held in contingency to provide for an increase in costs in the event of cases during the winter. In addition, the Council of Ministers is proposing a Fiscal Stimulus Fund of £50 million be established in Autumn 2020.

As well as meeting the costs of the pandemic response in 2021, we will invest £41 million in initiatives that support the delivery of the Common Strategic Priorities. This includes £16m of investment in initiatives planned in Government Plan 2020 and £25 million of investment in new initiatives. In addition, we will be investing more than £371 million in our Island s infrastructure and technology over the period.

Table 5 shows expenditure over this Government Plan period.

2021  2022  2023  2024 (£000) (£000) (£000) (£000)

Opening base budget 823,453  822,416  822,416  822,416 Investment in CSP priorities (GP20) 15,980  31,801  35,047  29,716 New Investments (GP21) 24,713  31,837  29,045  32,566 Covid-19 / Economic Recovery 87,277  26,590  25,642  12,602 Reserves, Inflation and Legislative Decisions 62,607  56,237  78,286  98,683 Reduction in grant to Social Security Fund (65,300) (76,100) (93,100) (30,200) Rebalancing (18,763) (35,426) (54,326) (72,826) Total net departmental expenditure 929,967  857,355  843,010  892,957 Capital programme 117,373  98,125  81,724  74,142

Total Government Net Expenditure 1,047,340  955,480  924,734  967,099 Table 5 - Government expenditure

£m

Revenue expenditure - forecast (GP21) Total income

1200

Revenue expenditure - actuals Revenue expenditure - forecast (GP20) 1000

800 600 400 200 0

2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 Figure 7 - income and expenditure trends

Covid-19 spending continuing into 2021

During 2021, we will invest £87m on responding to the pandemic. The majority of this investment is a one-off. However, we will continue to provide support to specific sectors over the period 2021-24 though the economic recovery programme, fiscal stimulus and additional funding for Government services where income is impacted (e.g. the bus service). Further information on this new investment can be found in Part Two.

To support the additional Covid-19-related spending, we have also provided for the costs of the revolving credit facility agreed early on in the pandemic, and a reserve for costs that would arise with spikes in Covid-19 cases and associated stepping up of restrictions.

Covid Programme 2021 Allocation  2022 Allocation  2023 Allocation  2024 Allocation

(£000) (£000) (£000) (£000)

Covid-19 Nightingale Field Hospital  8,380 0 0 0 Covid-19 Payroll Co-Funding Phase III 11,300 0 0 0 Covid-19 Revolving Credit Facility 3,746 7,136 8,730 7,803 Covid-19 - Other 4,475 2,205 1,220 250 Economic Recovery 15,500 12,000 12,000 0 Covid-19 Income Support Costs 7,498 5,249 3,692 4,549 Covid-19 Schools catch-up programme  904 0 0 0 Covid-19 Test & Tracing Programme 2 30,000

Covid-19 Vaccine 5,474 0 0 0

Grand Total 87,277 26,590 25,642 12,602 Table 6 - Profile of COVID-19 proposed spend

2021  2022  2023  2024 Estimate  Estimate  Estimate  Estimate (£000) (£000) (£000) (£000)

CSP Investment

Investment in CSP initiatives GP2020 15,980  31,801  35,047  29,716 Investment in CSP initiatives GP2021 24,713  31,837  29,045  32,566 Total Investment in CSP initiatives 40,693  63,638  64,092  62,282

Investment in Covid-19 (incl Economic Recovery) 87,277  26,590  25,642  12,602

Total investment 127,970  90,228  89,734  74,884 Table 7 - total investment in Government Plan 2021 above 2020 amounts

Investment in the common strategic priorities

In the Government Plan last year, we set out £80 million of investment into our strategic priorities during 2020. As shown in the table above, this Government Plan sets out further investment into the strategic priorities of £41 million in 2021, £64 million each in 2022 and 2023 and £62 million in 2024 (£231 million in total). In addition to this, £87m of investment is planned in 2021 in activities that respond to the Covid-19 pandemic (with further amounts in 2022-24). Further details of this investment is included in the appendices and the Government Plan Annex.

These amounts are on top of departments existing budgets, which also contribute to delivering activities and outcomes associated with the five strategic priorities.

We will invest significant additional amounts in schools over the period 2021-24, to implement the recommendations of the School Funding Review. We will also invest in implementing the Jersey Care Model, which will be funded by proposed transfers from the Health Insurance Fund. Whilst this Government Plan only shows expenditure to 2024, the Jersey Care Model will begin to deliver savings from 2025 onwards.

The table below illustrates the total value of investment proposals in each of the Common Strategic Policy priorities and this new investment is over and above the amounts set out in the previous Government Plan. The amounts in respect of protect our environment are in addition to investment provided through the Climate Emergency Fund (see Table 42)

Further information on the initiatives proposed and funded in the previous Government Plan can be found in Appendix 4. The scope and timescale of some of these initiatives has changed, primarily as a result of the impact of Covid-19 . These changes are also set out in Appendix 4.

2021  2022  2023  2024 Estimate  Estimate  Estimate  Estimate (£000) (£000) (£000) (£000)

Put children first 9,431 14,116 13,880 14,396 Improve wellbeing 62,613 22,126 24,090 16,910 Vibrant economy 16,108 15,467 16,431 3,888 Reduce inequality 20,031 6,673 5,275 5,882 Protect our environment 2,505 2,957 2,087 1,837 Modernising Government 17,282 28,889 27,970 31,970

127,970  90,228  89,733  74,883

Table 8 -CSP investment

Reserves, inflation and legislative decisions

It is both prudent and good financial management to plan for the impact of economic influences on Government finances. As such, we have set aside amounts to cover inflationary pressures on pay and benefits. Non-staff inflation has been removed for 2021 as part of the Rebalancing Plan, set out in Part 3. Provision is also made for the increased costs associated with measures to improve the sustainability of employee pensions.

There are several items that also contribute to total net expenditure:

   Reserve for centrally held items: Some elements of expenditure, for

example those relating to pay awards, are held centrally in the plan, and will be allocated to departments when appropriate. Inflation is, by nature cumulative, and so this amount grows throughout the plan. The 2021 amount will be reflected as fully allocated to departments in the 2022 Government Plan, and so on in each subsequent Government Plan

   General reserve: The reserve is held outside of operational expenditure

limits, and can be used to meet unforeseen pressures, or to provide advance funding for urgent expenditure in the public interest. In each year, amounts are held to manage fluctuations in benefit expenditure

due to economic changes, and to allow one-off investment for emerging priorities in 2021. In addition, the Covid-19 Contingency of £40 million will be held centrally and also £10 million over the period is allocated for assisted home ownership schemes, once developed.

A further £10 million has been set aside for restructuring costs. This allocation will be held to assist in overall reduction in direct staffing costs through restructuring of services, management de-layering, pay and reward policies, and staffing reductions. This will include compulsory and voluntary redundancies contingencies where the costs cannot be met by the departmental budgets, subject to a defined return-on-investment for redundancy costs.

2021  2022  2023  2024 Reserves (£000) (£000) (£000) (£000)

Reserve for centrally held items 10,782  22,060  38,774  56,601 General Reserves 54,060  22,345  7,222  7,040

Reserves Total 64,842  44,405  45,996  63,641

Table 9 - Reserves

Revenue heads of expenditure

The Government Plan is required, by the Public Finances Law, to set out the proposed amount to be spent from the Consolidated Fund by each head of expenditure, after allowing for any income earned. Heads of expenditure within this Government Plan relate to each Government of Jersey department, non-Ministerial departments, and of those covering central items and reserves. In addition, we are proposing creating separate heads of expenditure for Financial Services and Digital Economy, States

of Jersey Police and Covid-19 related expenditure. This will enable expenditure for these areas to be tracked separately.

Expenditure is approved in this manner to ensure that Accountable Officers, aligned to heads of expenditure, can be held accountable for delivery and the efficient use of resources.

Expenditure has been allocated to departments for 2021, and estimates produced for 2022 to 2024. The departmental expenditure limits incorporate both existing resource requirements and investments.

Depreciation

Depreciation represents the cost of using Government assets in the provision of services. It is included when calculating whether the Government is running a surplus or a deficit, which follows Fiscal Policy Panel advice, and helps to ensure that the need to continue to invest in assets is adequately recognised in planning.

The increase in depreciation during 2021-24 reflects an estimated uplift in asset values, as a result of either assets being created or replaced.

Efficiencies and rebalancing

Efficiencies and rebalancing measures, where identified for delivery by departments, have been included in individual departments heads of expenditure for 2021. Targets for future years measures are held outside of heads of expenditure until individual measures have been identified in future years.

2021 Allocation  2022 Estimate  2023 Estimate  2024 Estimate

(£000) (£000) (£000) (£000)

Departments

Chief Operating Office 36,638  45,126  44,446  44,201 Children, Young People, Education & Skills 160,286  166,245  166,044  166,475 Customer and Local Services 91,415  93,838  95,778  95,778 Infrastructure, Housing and Environment 44,571  44,723  44,503  49,253 Health and Community Services 227,435  232,086  234,336  227,875 Jersey Overseas Aid 12,374  13,264  14,154  15,204 Justice and Home Affairs 29,613  30,062  30,062  30,062 States of Jersey Police  26,804  26,997  27,138  27,260 Office of the Chief Executive 9,233  7,799  8,456  8,495 Financial Services and Digital 32,083  35,901  35,335  33,905 Strategic Policy, Planning and Performance 9,847  9,011  9,201  9,201 Treasury and Exchequer 67,105  69,194  69,181  134,833 Covid-19 Response 87,277  26,590  25,642  12,602

Departments total 834,681  800,836  804,276  855,144

Non Ministerial States Bodies

Bailiff s Chambers 1,841  1,841  1,841  1,841 Comptroller & Auditor General** 870  888  910  932 Judicial Greffe 7,593  7,693  7,593  7,493 Law Officers Department 8,452  8,452  8,452  8,452 Office of the Lieutenant Governor 804  849  804  804 Official Analyst 603  603  603  603 Probation 2,371  2,395  2,411  2,422 States Assembly 7,148  7,340  6,971  6,971 Viscount s Department 1,712  1,712  1,712  1,712

Non-Ministerial States Bodies total 31,394  31,773  31,297  31,230

Reserves

Reserve for centrally held items 10,782  22,060  38,774  56,601 General reserve 54,060  22,345  7,222  7,040

Reserves Total 64,842  44,405  45,996  63,641 Rebalancing (950) (19,659) (38,559) (57,059) Total net revenue expenditure 929,967  857,355  843,010  892,956 Depreciation 54,646  56,699  58,838  59,275 Total net revenue expenditure after Depreciation 984,613  914,054  901,848  952,231

Table 10 - Heads of expenditure 2021-24

*rebalancing in respect of 2021 is allocated against heads of expenditure

**The Acting Chairman of the Public Accounts Committee submitted, on 7th October 2020, a revised estimate of costsin 2021 for

the Office of the Comptroller and Auditor General. At that date it was too late to accommodate the revised estimate and make the

consequential changes within the Government Plan. The Minister for Treasury and Resources has given assurance to the Acting 130 Chairman that she will make the additional funding required available in 2021 from the General Reserve.

Resources mapped to Ministerial portfolios

Under the new structure adopted by the Government, one or more departments may be responsible for supporting Ministers in the delivery of their Ministerial responsibilities. As expenditure is approved based on departments, this does not directly align with areas of ministerial responsibility. An indicative mapping of the departmental allocations to portfolios of Ministerial responsibility is included below.

2021 Allocation  2022 Estimate  2023 Estimate  2024 Estimate

(£000) (£000) (£000) (£000)

Minister

Chief Minister 44,379  52,141  52,141  52,035 Minister for Children and Housing 31,169  33,110  33,604  33,855 Minister for Economic Development, Tourism, Sport and Culture 44,687  42,216  41,847  28,053 Minister for Education 133,335  136,374  135,763  136,042 Minister for External Relations 10,809  11,027  11,205  10,895 Minister for Health and Social Services 237,463  232,086  234,336  227,875 Minister for Home Affairs 86,627  57,270  57,410  57,433 Minister for Infrastructure 43,817  39,146  38,375  42,895 Minister for International Development 12,374  13,264  14,154  15,204 Minister for Social Security 128,753  130,463  132,492  196,249 Minister for the Environment 5,778  5,734  5,585  5,565 Minister for Treasury and Resources 55,491  48,005  47,367  49,044 Non-Ministerial 31,394  31,773  31,297  31,230

Total Departmental Net Revenue Expenditure 866,075  832,609  835,574  886,374

Reserves (regulated by the Minister for Treasury and Resources)

Reserve for centrally held items 10,782  22,060  38,774  56,601 General reserve 54,060  22,345  7,222  7,040

Reserves Total 64,842  44,405  45,996  63,641 Rebalancing (950) (19,659) (38,559) (57,059)

Total Net Revenue Expenditure 929,967  857,355  843,010  892,956 Table 11 -Net revenue expenditure by Minister

Capital 2021-2024

The Government Plan includes a programme of investments in our Island s infrastructure and other assets.

These projects are investments into the creation, improvement and extension of assets that support the delivery of services in Jersey and have an asset life of more than a year and, which in some cases, will last for decades.

Funding proposals for 2021-2024 are targeted at projects that address the priorities in the Government s Common Strategic Policy. This will result in improvement to our Island s public buildings, such as schools, healthcare and other key facilities. It also directs funding to Jersey s infrastructure, such as roads, sewers and sea defences, which we all rely upon, and

will continue the work of improvements to the look and feel of our Island through the programme of regeneration in St Helier and across the parishes.

Funding is also allocated to replace essential equipment which supports the services that the Government provides. From essential hospital equipment to sports and safety equipment, the programme provides for their replacement to ensure that the equipment we use is fit for purpose and meets the relevant health and safety standards.

It was identified in the previous Government Plan that it was essential to invest in technology to deliver efficiencies and transform the way the we operate. This investment continues in this Government Plan, with further investment in modern infrastructure both for our workforce, as well as a review to replace the current benefits and payments system together with further investment in cyber security.

There are some major projects that need consideration in this Government Plan, which will require new ways of thinking about funding due to the scale of the investment required. In the life of this Government Plan, we will need to make provision for Our Hospital, the Jersey Care Model and the Office Modernisation Strategy. We will also need to consider how to deal with Fort Regent and the requirement to evaluate sporting venues.

Previous investments and key live projects

There has been significant investment in the Island s infrastructure in previous funding cycles and this Government Plan continues to build on that work across a wide range of projects that relate to our overall objectives.

The redevelopment and refurbishment of schools has created a strong education property portfolio and major projects at Les Quennevais, St Mary and Grainville have either been completed or are well under way. In this Plan, consideration is given to a replacement school for Victoria College Prep and a review of the Jersey Instrumental Music Service Premises, together with the development of the extension of La Moye School and updates to several sporting facilities.

We are changing the way we work and this relies on the utilisation

of effective systems and a strong core of fit-for-purpose information technology that can support this change programme. The investment required to support an agile workforce and to upgrade the systems that we use across the whole of the States of Jersey is substantial, and has increased in this Government Plan. The capital programme also includes a new Benefits and Payments system to enable Customer and Local Services to provide a better way to support Islanders, which it is proposed will be funded through the Social Security Fund.

Health and Community Services has significant needs for capital expenditure to correct historical under-investment and to continue our work on the Our Hospital project. There are necessary changes to the location of mental health facilities, and the requirements for a new centre for people with learning difficulties and to continue with the investment in replacement assets. The timing of these projects is complex, especially given the need to decide on the location of Our Hospital and the implementation of the Jersey Care Model.

There continues to be a need to do more, but with limitations on

the funding available. This will require us to consider other funding mechanisms to support some of the larger proposed schemes. We are committed to doing this despite the recent pressure imposed by the impact of the pandemic on the overall financial plan.

2021-24 capital programme

The proposed capital programme invests in our Island s infrastructure across the four years of the Government Plan.

 

 

 

2021

2022

2023

2024 Total 2021-24

Central Planning Reserves

Discrimination Law, safeguarding and Reg of Care Schools extensions and Improvements Infrastructure including the Rolling Vote Information Technology

Replacement Assets

Estates including new Schools and Our Hospital Reserve for Central Risk and Inflation Funding

 

£ 000

 3,700  3,600

 5,901  12,732  36,120  10,309  43,511  1,500

£ 000

 450  2,600  6,700

 19,318  30,779  6,916

 29,562  1,800

£ 000

 -  2,000

 1,750  16,215  17,091  9,562

 33,106  2,000

£ 000

 -  2,000

 750  15,150  6,312

 7,200  40,730  2,000

£ 000

 4,150  10,200  15,101

 63,415  90,302  33,987  146,909  7,300

Total Programme

 

 117,373

 98,125

 81,724

 74,142

 371,364

Table 12 -Capital programme 2020-2013

 

 

 

 

 

 

This programme is funded by:

 

 

 

 

 

 

Proposed Funding of Indicative Capital Programme

 

2021

2022

2023

2024

2021-2024

 

 

£ 000

£ 000

£ 000

£ 000

£ 000

Total Proposed Departmental Capital Plan

 

 117,373

 98,125

 81,724

 74,142

 371,364

Proposed Funding Sources

 

 

 

 

 

 

Consolidated Fund (2021-2024 Government Plan schemes) New Health Schemes - Funded from HIF

Criminal Offences Confiscation Fund (for various schemes) Charitable Funds (for in patient/support services refurbishment

s)

 109,673  4,700

 1,956  1,044

 90,827  4,700  1,609  989

 73,268  6,060  2,396  -

 70,417  3,725  -

 -

 344,185

 19,185  5,961  2,033

Total Proposed Departmental Capital Plan 117,373  98,125  81,724  74,142  371,364

In addition to the programme above, the States Assembly is asked to approve the proposed capital plans of the Trading Funds.

2021 2022 2023 2024 Trading Funds Department

£ 000 £ 000 £ 000 £ 000

Jersey Fleet Management JFM 1,000  1,000  1,000  1,000 Jersey Car Parking JCP -  3,000  3,000  3,750

Total 1,000  4,000  4,000  4,750 Table 13 - Trading funds

The Customer and Local Services team will commence a project to replace the Social Security Benefits and Payments system, which it is proposed will be funded through the Social Security Fund.

Total 2021 2022 2023 2024 2021-24

Proposed Schemes Funded from Social Security £ 000 £ 000 £ 000 £ 000 £ 000 Benefits and Payments - System 250  5,000  10,000  7,750  23,000

Social Security Funded Schemes 250  5,000  10,000  7,750  23,000 Table 14 - Social Security

In addition to the programme above, the States Assembly is asked to

note the following schemes, which are strategic and will require additional funding:

2021 2022 2023 2024 Total 2021-24 Proposed Schemes Subject to Funding £ 000 £ 000 £ 000 £ 000 £ 000 Fort Regent redevelopment (Major Project) -  8,000  8,000  10,000  26,000

Sports Facilities (Island Wide)  1,200  16,200  22,100  10,450  49,950 Further Education College -  5,300  5,000  19,600  29,900

 1,200  29,500  35,100  40,050  105,850

Table 15 - Additional funding

Grouped heads of expenditure

By grouping projects under a common head of expenditure, it will be possible, with appropriate governance processes, to utilise funds allocated more effectively, to move underspends to commence or accelerate high- priority projects and react, at pace, to changing requirements within a Government Plan cycle.

Annual allocation of funding

Project funding is allocated on an annual cash requirement, replacing the previous system whereby the States Assembly allocated the full budget upfront for a project. The previous allocation process meant that the Government had large amounts of cash tied up in projects, which was not able to utilise, resulting in the delay of some high-priority projects, while

the public accounts showed that the Government was holding large cash balances. This is not an efficient and effective use of public monies.

These changes to how funds are allocated have the effect of releasing funding within the Consolidated Fund earlier, so essential projects can start sooner, and new assets or equipment brought into use to realise benefits.

Risk funding

A further innovation is the creation of a separate reserve head of expenditure, which holds a provision for risk and inflation outside the individual capital budget allocations. By centralising this funding under the management of the Treasury and Exchequer department, and developing

a robust governance structure for assessing calls on the funding process for its release, the aggregate amount of funding allocated for risk can be reduced. As with other measures taken, this enables funds allocated to work more effectively to deliver projects rather than be held in reserve.

Central planning reserve

Setting an appropriate and prudent level of funding will require a more mature approach to the development of project business cases and feasibility assessment. To facilitate this, a head of expenditure called

 pre-feasibility reserve has been created, which provides funding to undertake assessment of proposals for projects and develop robust and comprehensive business cases. This was not an accurate description of the function of this reserve, so this Government Plan has renamed this to Central Planning Reserve.

Major projects and projects requiring alternative funding sources

The Public Finances (Jersey) Law defines major projects under Article 1 as follows:

 major project means:

  1. a capital project the duration of which, from start to finish, is planned to be of more than one year and the total cost of which is planned to be of more than £5 million; or
  2. a project that has been designated as a major project under an approved government plan.

In this Government Plan, the following have been deemed major projects: Sewage Treatment Works*

  Microsoft Foundation*

  Integrated Technology Solution*

  Cyber Security*

   Vehicle Testing Centre*

   Victoria College Preparatory Replacement School   Mont a l Abbe School

   Redesign of Greenfields

   Learning Difficulties Project

   Our Hospital (Phase Two)

   Fort Regent (Early Phase)

   Digital Care Strategy

   Office Modernisation

*Existing major projects included in Government Plan 2020

Some of these projects are already underway, having received funding in last year s Government Plan or earlier years. Some are in the early stages of development, and will receive initial funding for preparatory work from the Central Planning Reserve. This will allow further development of these important and complex projects and preparation of robust business cases, funding options and delivery mechanisms.

These projects are transformational and will address long-standing deficiencies in the public estate and reshape the delivery of services to Islanders and other service users. Innovative funding solutions will need to be considered for these projects, in order that they can commence within the timeline of this Government Plan and be affordable over the longer- term.

There were major allocations made in the 2020-2023 Government Plan. The revisions and additions to those are shown in the following table:

2020-2023  2021-2024 Department Government Plan  Government Plan Full Cost  Full Cost

(£000) (£000)

MS Foundation COO 9,000  7,000 VCP Replacement School CYPES 17,000 Mont a l Abbe Secondary School CYPES 7,350 Redesign of Greenfields CYPES 7,000 Learning Difficulties - Specialist Accommodation HCS 9,350 Fort Regent (Early Phase) IHE 4,800 Our Hospital (Phase Two) HCS 20,000 Digital Care Strategy HCS 16,185 Office Modernisation  OCE 3,450

Total 9,000  92,135 Funded from Social Security Fund

Benefits and Payments - System CLS 23,000

Table 16 -Major projects amendments and new projects

Information technology projects

The Government Plan 2020-2023 identified that we will be critically dependent on technology to achieve our future aims and must deal with a substantial technology debt , which has come from an historical lack of investment in capability and a shortfall in the capacity to handle current demand.

There needs to be continued significant and strategic investment

in technology, otherwise we will fail to achieve our commitments to

the Common Strategic Policy and the longer-term aims of the One Government initiative. The investment in technology has been established under the central management of the Chief Operating Officer s team to ensure alignment of objectives and the correct roll out of technology. The total investment in this Government Plan in information technology is £71 million with £33.4 million held within three major projects MS Foundation, Integrated Tech Solutions and Cyber. There is a further £19 million investment in systems for health, funded from the Health Insurance Fund.

The investment in information technology projects aligns with the identified five key strategic elements of the vision for a modern and effective Government.

  Every Islander will be able to engage with the Government through

paying tax, accessing social security and accessing health services digitally

  The Government will establish a record which allows a single view of

Islanders data

  An efficient and effective billing and collection approach will support Islanders experience of transacting financially with the Government

  Support by an effective and efficient workforce, with the tools required

to operate flexibly in a digital world

  Our infrastructure systems and data will be resilient and protected

against cyber-attack

These elements have been used to enable and support the objectives outlined above through the introduction of technology capabilities in the following areas:

  Government-wide capabilities enabling us to operate as a modern

government

  Front-office (Islander-facing) capabilities enabling Islanders to deal

with the Government on a digital basis (as they would expect to deal with any other organisation)

  Enabling functions supporting our effective and efficient operation.

Estates (Including schools)

There have been several projects for educational premises that have received funding in the last ten years, including school refurbishments

and the building of the new Les Quennevais School. This plan includes refurbishments of existing educational premises, a review of the organisation of secondary schools, the rebuild of Victoria College Prep (VCP) school, the extension of Mont a l Abbe and a revision of the service provision for those Islanders with learning difficulties and for those children in residential homes.

The replacement of VCP school has been under review since 2012, when the condition of the existing school was rated as below average. Since then there has been an updated feasibility study which reviewed different options to improve the school, but this needs to be updated and this project incorporates the funding for the updated scheme and the cost of the rebuild.

Due to the increased pupil numbers and overcrowding at Mont a l Abbe there have been considerations about the options for expanding both the Primary and Secondary Schools. The current proposal would consider ways to expand the provision on a single campus to enable the staff to deliver the 0-19 curriculum, as well as provide for the growing need to offer a respite care provision in the Island. The pre-feasibility work will be completed in 2022 with the aim to begin the scheme in 2023, at a total cost of £7.35 million.

The current provision for detained children is at Greenfields, which was built in 2006. It was designed as a secure unit in which to house children and young people under the youth justice system and those requiring secure welfare placements. Since then, the number of children and young people detained has declined and given rise to the need to redesign

the facility so that it can deliver a secure children s home provision. The original business case identified the importance of developing partnership arrangements between Greenfields and La Sente School. It is important that the site is redeveloped appropriately, to enable changes to be made to both the existing school premises and the Greenfields secure unit. On review of the original funding submission, it has been necessary to seek additional funding in 2024 to ensure there is enough budget available for the redevelopment of the site and not just the secure unit buildings. This means that this project is now budgeted to cost £7m, which is an increase of £1.25 million on the original estimate, the 2022 and 2023 costs of which were included in the previous Government Plan.

The health estate also needs to accommodate learning facilities

in its accommodation of individuals with a learning disability. The accommodation for Islanders with these needs has three major imperatives:

  To ensure there is sufficient, quality accommodation of different type,

to meet the needs of service users (including those transitioning from Childrens to Adult Services)

  To future-proof services in relation to people with learning disabilities,

in particular those with complex care needs so that services are sustainable for the coming years

  To support care close to home, prevent service users travelling off the

Island and ensure that services are safe, cost effective and flexible.

Aviemore is five-unit facility which provides accommodation for those with learning disabilities who have the most complex needs and are in crisis. The nature of the existing building mitigates against the provision of appropriate and safe care, as well as providing a safe working environment for the staff. The nature of the existing building means it cannot be fully occupied and private sector accommodation must be sought to meet

the needs of individuals. The replacement facility will allow the service

to be provided in an appropriate and safe environment, in line with the Regulation of Care Law 2014, and give a cost saving through the reduction in the use of private sector accommodation.

There is a need to create a regime of vehicle testing in order to comply with the UN Vienna Convention on Road Traffic, which was extended to the Island in March 2019. A phased approach to inspections has been agreed and it is currently anticipated that period technical inspection of all vehicles in Jersey will be in place by 2022. The funding request addresses a likely scenario that a test centre will be required to undertake inspections on this scale. Although it is expected that the test centre will be self- funding, it also assumes that government will be required to provide the initial capital funding required for construction, which will commence in 2021.

Our Hospital

On 3 May 2019, the Chief Minister announced proposals to the States Assembly for establishing a new programme for delivering a new hospital for Jersey ( New Hospital Project: Next Steps , R54). A phased approach for the Our Hospital Project was proposed which:

  Established the agreed clinical requirements of the new hospital

  Used the outcome of this to scope the size and shape of a new hospital

to inform the shortlisting of potential locations

  Involved a thorough process of Island and stakeholder communication

and engagement on those locations, alongside technical and financial assessments of deliverability, in order to identify a preferred site for the States Assembly to consider and approve.

The project has been set a challenging timeline to get to the submission of an outline planning application and business case completed, in order to deliver a new hospital, broadly to the timetable of the withdrawn Future Hospital proposal. This will be the single biggest capital expenditure undertaken in Jersey s history and will include investment in a digital care strategy.

Since project inception, the effects of Covid-19 reinforced the requirement for a new hospital that is fit for purpose and flexible enough to adapt its

capacity to deliver future healthcare needs. The project will continue without delay to meet the challenging timeline.

The concept of hold points has been used to divide the project further into management stages. At each hold point the Senior Officers Strategy Group and the Political Oversight Group are asked to confirm continued business justification and that the project is/will deliver its expected benefit.

Phase 1 was a Major Project within the Government Plan 2020-2023, with £11.7m funding agreed for 2020 to meet project costs. In 2021, £20 million has been put into the Government Plan to fund the next phase ahead of a decision of the States Assembly scheduled in Spring 2021 to proceed with Our Hospital.

Fort Regent

The issue of what to do with the Fort has been a perennial problem

for decades. Last year, the States approved a Pre-Feasibility Funding allocation for the 2020-23 Government Plan. Subsequently a team of leading experts, under the guidance of the Fort Regent Steering Group chaired by the Chief Minister, have developed a coherent mix of uses which are both deliverable and sustainable. The proposals have been divided into phases and the early phase of development has been

included in this plan. Notwithstanding current uncertainties regarding the pandemic, there are key quick win projects that can be taken forward. These can provide both short-term fiscal stimulus and new placemaking/ interim uses for the Fort, whilst the enabling work for the long-term leisure mix of uses is being progressed.

The overall ambition for Fort Regent is larger than that contained in

this Government Plan and will need to be considered as part of a wider debate, which includes the agreement of the vision, the impact on sporting facilities and the overall funding mechanism for the agreed scheme.

Digital care model

The Digital Health and Care Strategy, in partnership with Digital Jersey, is aimed at implementing a strategy that will look at ways to improve the way both health professionals and patients use technology. This will focus on:

  Record management

  Improvements in how care is planned, delivered and managed.

Office modernisation programme

We will provide funding to continue to progress the Office Modernisation programme as outlined in the Strategic Outline Case approved by the Council of Ministers in September 2019. The programme is in pre-feasibility phase, which involves the procurement of a development partner to work with the public service, to deliver a new office, to bring together colleagues across the public service and provide an outstanding customer hub for Islanders.

We have reviewed the principles of the Strategic Outline Case to assess the implications of Covid-19 on the project and consider that the case to build a new office remains valid, as it will deliver a noteworthy economic stimulus and a range of benefits for the organisation. It will enable the public service to more effectively discharge its duties to support Ministers, the States Assembly and the public it serves. It will also improve the efficiency and effectiveness of operational costs that support the public estate, as well as enhanced productivity savings, which will be fully articulated in the Final Business Case. We will review plans for exiting leases, and timings for the potential sale of properties, to reduce the impact of an economic downturn on capital receipts and anticipated revenue savings, whilst at the same time consolidating the overall office estate.

As part of the 2021 Government Plan, we will finalise the contractual arrangements of the development of the new office arrangements, the final detail of which is due to be completed by November 2020. The project team anticipate that a new building will be operational by early 2024 which will then realise the benefits of reduced overall office running costs and enable the disposal of vacated buildings.

An infrastructure fund for Jersey

The previous Government Plan identified that an Infrastructure Fund in Jersey could provide a way to fund major projects. Many jurisdictions have successfully established infrastructure funds, with these funds typically taking the form of a recyclable or evergreen fund, whereby they are reinvested over a medium to long-term to create a sustainable fund.

The original intention was to establish the fund in 2020 by lodging a proposition with the States Assembly which would have set out how

the fund could operate and the necessary safeguards, governance and transparency measures for projects to be funded through this mechanism. The impact of the pandemic has delayed the implementation of this initiative, but the intention is to continue and seek approval of the States to create the Infrastructure Fund in 2021.

The Infrastructure Fund can widen the participation of third-party investors who wish to take an holistic view of the long-term success of the Island and give us the opportunity to fund longer-term projects in a different way. These funds not only reduce the dependency on public sector finances

but can also be used to strengthen skills and resource planning capability. We can choose to invest at a fund or project level, or both.

The Government can play an active role in project definition, prioritisation, promoting initiatives, land assembly and attracting investors. We can widen the participation of third-party investors who wish to take an holistic view of the long-term success of the Island, as well as securing maximum leverage from third-party investors to support individual projects.

Robust transparency and accountability are an essential prerequisite of any fund where decisions are taken by elected Members following

independent advice. This will not only underpin the legitimacy of decision- making but will enable elected Members to exercise strict control over funding and long-term investment strategy. The decision to establish a new fund will be informed by a business case and can only be taken by the States Assembly.

Funding is included in the Central Planning Reserve to work towards the establishment of a fund and sets out how it could operate, the necessary safeguards, governance and transparency measures prior to a proposition being lodged for debate in 2021.

In addition to the Consolidated Fund and a potential Infrastructure Fund, capital expenditure may be funded from alternative sources, such as the Criminal Offences Confiscation Fund, where the proposed expenditure is appropriate and affordable, and we will continue to consider other potential funding options such as borrowing throughout the plan.

A full list of the capital programme is shown in table 17

Total 2021 2022 2023 2024 2021-2024

Department CSP (£000) (£000) (£000) (£000) (£000) Central Planning Reserves T&E 3,700  450  -  -  4,150

Jersey Instrumental Music Service Premises VCP Replacement School

North of St. Helier Youth Centre

Le Squez Youth Centre/Community Hubs

Rouge Bouillon site review

Mont a l Abbe secondary school

Review of Greenfields

Piquet House - Family Court

Further Education Campus

Fort Regent

Learning Difficulties - Specialist Accommodation Island Sports Facilities, Inspiring Places Infrastructure Funding


1 100 1 150 1 350 1 250 1 50 1 - 1 100 1 150 3 150 3 1,800 2 100 3 200 OI4 300


- -  -  100

- -  -  150

- -  -  350

- -  -  250

- -  -  50

 250  -  -  250

- -  -  100

- -  -  150

 150  -  -  300

- -  -  1,800

 50  -  -  150

- -  -  200

- -  -  300

Discrimination law, safeguarding and

regulation of care IHE 3,600  2,600  2,000  2,000  10,200 Schools  1 1,500  500  -  -  2,000

Children s residential homes  1 100  100  -  -  200 Community Site Improvements 2 2,000  2,000  2,000  2,000  8,000

Schools extensions and Improvements IHE 5,901  6,700  1,750  750  15,101

Le Rocquier and school/community sports facilitiesIHE 1 1,305  2,400  1,000  -  4,705 School 3G Pitch replacements IHE 1 750  750  750  750  3,000 School Field development - Grainville, St John  IHE 1 400  400  -  -  800 Les Landes Nursery IHE 1 500  500  -  -  1,000 Mont A L Abbe extension IHE 1 850  650  -  -  1,500 Extend La Moye Hall and 2 additional classroomsIHE 1 1,000  1,000  -  -  2,000 Extension to JCG School Hall IHE 1 260  -  -  -  260 JCG and JCP additional music facilities IHE 1 500  1,000  -  -  1,500 JCG and JCP new playing fields IHE 1 336  -  -  -  336

Infrastructure including the Rolling Vote IHE 11,732  14,318  15,215  14,150  55,415

Rolling Vote IHE 5 10,232  11,318  12,715  12,650  46,915 STW Odour Mitigation (P.115/2017) IHE 5 -  1,500  -  -  1,500 Bellozanne STW Outfall Rehabilitation IHE 5 -  -  1,000  -  1,000 La Collette Waste Site Development IHE 5 500  500  500  500  2,000 Island Public Realm including St Helier IHE 5 1,000  1,000  1,000  1,000  4,000 Sewage Treatment Works (Existing Major Project)IHE 5 -  4,000  -  -  4,000 Drainage Foul Sewer Extensions IHE 5 1,000  1,000  1,000  1,000  4,000

Information Technology 36,120  30,779  17,091  6,312  90,302

MS Foundation (Major Project)

Integrated Tech Solution (Major Project) Replacement assets

Pride Software - JG

Phoenix Software - Viscounts

Court Digitisation

Regulation Group Digital Assets

Next Passport Project

Combined Control IT

Electronic Patient Records

Electronic Document Management Solution Cyber (Major Project)

Customer Relationship Management

IT for Migration Services

Service Digitisation

Jersey Care Model

Digital Care Strategy (Major Project)


COO OI3 COO OI3 COO OI3 NON MIN OI3 NON MIN OI3 NON MIN OI3 IHE OI3 JHA OI3 JHA OI3 JHA OI3 COO OI3 COO OI3 COO OI3 COO OI3 COO OI3 HCS OI3 HCS OI3


 2,570  1,100  9,200  11,400  5,000  5,000

- 200

 45  -  1,648  951  1,290  1,230

- 998

 2,000  -  667  -

 500  1,000  6,500  1,200

- 2,000

 1,000  -  1,000  1,000  1,300  800  3,400  3,900


- -  3,670

 1,400  -  22,000  5,000  2,500  17,500

- -  200

 300  -  345  831  87  3,517

- -  2,520

- -  998

- -  2,000

- -  667

 1,000  -  2,500

- -  7,700

 2,500  -  4,500

- -  1,000

- -  2,000

 500  400  3,000  5,560  3,325  16,185

Replacement Assets 10,309  6,916  9,562  7,200  33,987

Replacement Assets and Minor Capital CYPES Replacement Assets (Various) HCS

Sports Division Refurbishment  IHE

New Skatepark (net of Port of Jersey Funding) IHE

R& Aefit & Ruxiliary Veplacement of Fisheries Protection Vessels essel IHE Replacement Assets and Minor Capital IHE

Minor Capital JHA

Minor Capital-Police JHA -Police Equipment Replacement  JHA -Police Replacement of Aerial Ladder Platform JHA


1 200

  1. 3,250
  2. 1,300 3 685

5 - 5 3,500

None 236 None 200 None 170 None 768


 200  250  2,600  2,750  200  -

- -

- 2,800

 3,500  3,500  166  62

 200  200  50  -

- -


 250  900  2,750  11,350

- 1,500

- 685

- 2,800

 4,000  14,500

- 464

 200  800

- 220

- 768

Total 2021 2022 2023 2024 2021-2024

Department CSP (£000) (£000) (£000) (£000) (£000) Estates including new Schools 43,511  29,562  33,106  40,730  146,909

Jersey Instrumental Music Service Premises CYPES 1 -  2,000  1,120  1,480  4,600 VCP Replacement School (Major Project) CYPES 1 -  1,000  2,000  14,000  17,000 Le Squez Youth Centre/Community Hubs CYPES 1 -  2,000  2,300  -  4,300 North of St. Helier Youth Centre CYPES 1 -  2,000  1,250  1,000  4,250 St Aubin Fort Upgrade CYPES 1 -  500  500  -  1,000 Mont a l'abbe secondary school (Major Project) CYPES 1 -  -  1,350  6,000  7,350 Redesign of Greenfields (Major Project) CYPES 1 -  1,250  2,500  3,250  7,000 Vehicle Testing Centre (Major Project) IHE 5 2,000  3,175  1,300  -  6,475 Conversion Courtroom 1 Magistrates Court  NON-MINS None 440  -  -  -  440 States of Jersey Police Firearms Range JHA 2 1,200  -  -  -  1,200 Prison Improvement Works - Phase 6b IHE None 90  -  -  -  90 Prison Phase 7  JHA None -  -  2,263  -  2,263 Prison Phase 8  JHA None 666  1,609  133  -  2,408 Dewberry House (Sexual Assault Referral Centre)JHA-Police 1 1,800  500  -  -  2,300 Piquet House - Family Court NON-MINS None 1,071  779  -  -  1,850 Health Services Improvements (including vital IT Investment) HCS 2 5,000  5,000  5,000  2,000  17,000

Five Oaks Refurbishment HCS 2 2,550  -  -  -  2,550 L(Major Project)earning Difficulties - Specialist Accommodation HCS 2 2,000  3,300  4,050  -  9,350

Rouge Bouillon Site review outcome  IHE None 2,000  5,000  7,000  8,000  22,000 Reorganisation of Secondary Schools CYPES None -  -  -  5,000  5,000 Our Hospital (Major Project) HCS 2 20,000  -  -  -  20,000 Fort Regent (Major Project) IHE OI3 3,000  -  -  -  3,000 Office Modernisation (Major Project) OCE OI3 650  460  2,340  -  3,450 In-patient/support services refurbishments HCS 2 1,044  989  -  -  2,033

Reserve for Central Risk and Inflation  T&E None 1,500  1,800  2,000  2,000  7,300 Funding

TOTAL CAPITAL PROGRAMME 117,373  98,125  81,724  74,142  371,364 Table 17 -Detailed capital programme

General Revenue Income

General tax revenues

General tax revenues provide the main source of funding for the Government, with four main tax types:

Income Tax The Government levies a tax on two sources of income.

Firstly, the income earned by individuals in the form

of personal income tax and, secondly, tax levied on companies through corporate income tax

Goods and Services Tax Goods and Services Tax (GST) is a tax on the supply of

goods and services in Jersey. GST is charged at 5% on the majority of goods and services supplied in Jersey, including imports

Imp t (excise) Duties Imp t (excise) duties are levied on the importation of

specific items - namely road fuel, alcohol, tobacco and motor vehicles

Stamp Duty and Land  Stamp Duty is levied on the purchase of properties Transactions Tax bought on the Island and the registration of wills of

Jersey immovable property. Land Transactions Tax is levied on share transfers involving shares which give the owner the right to occupy property in Jersey

Funding public expenditure

The Government has two main sources of general income to fund ongoing, annual expenditure.

2021 Estimate  2022 Estimate  2023 Estimate  2024 Estimate

(£000) (£000) (£000) (£000)

General tax revenue 747,649  802,538  851,165  899,818 Other Government income 58,866  60,779  64,560  66,264

Total States Income 806,515  863,318  915,724  966,081 Table 18 -Funding Public Expenditure

Revised income forecasts for autumn 2020

Covid-19 has caused significant disruption to the economy, with the necessary restrictions put in place to save Islander s lives effectively closing large parts of the economy and affecting the tax base. While restrictions have been partially eased, the speed of the recovery and the timing and extent of any further easing or re-imposition of restrictions remains uncertain. The Income Forecasting Group s forecast has been informed by the independent economic forecast produced by the Fiscal Policy Panel.

The Income Forecasting Group s revised forecast of total States income as at autumn 2020 reflects:

   The Fiscal Policy Panel s economic assumptions of August 2020 and

other related economic data for Jersey

   General revenues out-turn for 2019

   Initial information on general revenues for Quarters One and Two 2020    Forecasts from Treasury for other income

   Latest available out-turn data from Revenue Jersey, and

   Intelligence from the Income Forecasting Group affecting future

forecasts.

The autumn forecast is the second produced in 2020 and covers the years 2020-24 in order to cover the whole of the Government Plan period.

The forecast assumes previous policy assertions of Ministers in respect of imp ts duties and growth in earnings/RPI for personal allowances. It is before additional yield arising from tax compliance measures and increases to ISE fees in this Plan.

Central Forecast  2019

£ 000 (Outturn) 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 Income Tax 585,000  554,000  558,000  603,000  642,000  674,000

GST 89,704  78,210  84,610  90,910  94,510  98,310 Imp ts Duty 62,879  67,716  67,986  69,979  71,037  71,485 Stamp Duty 34,898  29,083  30,953  30,249  31,118  32,023 Bad Debts (3,235) (9,000) (6,000) (6,000) (3,000) (3,000) Other Income 71,434  59,069  58,866  60,779  64,560  66,264

Total States Income 840,680  779,079  794,415  848,918  900,224  939,081

Autumn 2019 (forecast) 850,986  875,459  909,802  947,762  985,010 Variation (10,306) (96,380) (115,387) (98,844) (84,786) -1.2% -11.0% -12.7% -10.4% -8.6%

Table 19 - summary of autumn 2020 forecast

£

 

 

 

1,000,000

 

 

 

900,000

 

 

 

800,000

 

 

 

700,000

 

 

 

600,000

 

 

 

2018 2019 2020

2021 2022 2023

2024

 

Autumn 2020 forecast

Spring 2020 forecast

Outturn

 

Downside scenario (spring 2020)

Government plan 2020-23 (autumn 2019)

 

 

Figure 8 - Range of forecasts for States income (Autumn 2020)

 

 

 

 

2021 Allocation (£000)

2022 Estimate (£000)

2023 Estimate (£000)

2024 Estimate (£000)

Income Tax GST

Imp t duties Stamp duty Other Income

552,000 84,610 67,986 30,953 58,866

597,000 90,910 69,979 30,249 60,779

639,000 94,510

71,037 31,118

64,560

671,000 98,310 71,485 32,023 66,264

Central scenario

Domestic Compliance Additional Tax measures Additional ISE Fees

794,415

8,600 0 3,500

848,918

10,900 0 3,500

900,224

12,000 0 3,500

939,081

13,500 10,000 3,500

Total States Income (including additional measures) 806,515  863,318  915,724  966,081

Table 20 - Total States income

Summary of autumn 2020 forecast

The overall changes from the autumn 2019 forecast are:

Personal income tax

The personal income tax forecast comprises several components that have differing economic sensitivities. The Income Forecasting Group have made several adjustments to account for the effects of Covid-19 and the restrictions put in place in response. These adjustments, together with the updated Fiscal Policy Panel economic assumptions, and additional data, reduce the autumn 2019 forecast by £63m in 2020, decreasing to a £42 million reduction in 2023.

Corporate income tax

The recent broadening of the corporate tax base, and the differential effects of the pandemic, has led to the Income Forecasting Group splitting the corporate tax forecast on a sectoral basis. Additional adjustments have been made to reflect the impact of restrictions on activity on sectors subject to a positive rate of tax. Updated information for the 2019 year of assessment has resulted in an increase of £5 million to the 2020 forecast. However, as tax is collected one year in arrears, from 2021 the forecast

is reduced by £20m with a £17 million reduction by 2023, as a result of the impacts of the current and anticipated impacts of Covid-19 on the economy.

GST, international services entities fees and import GST

The restrictions to activity arising from Covid-19 have led to a reduction in sales revenues, and hence GST receipts, in 2020. Work has been undertaken to estimate the sectoral impact of the restrictions. The Income Forecasting Group continues to believe that there will be a persistent impact on GST receipts continuing in 2021, with an implicit judgement that there would be an enduring change in consumer behaviour following the significant increase in internet shopping during the lockdown. This leads to a reduction in the autumn 2019 forecast of £18.5 million in 2020, decreasing to £9.5 million in 2023. Increases in International Services Entities (ISE) fees are proposed in this Government Plan.

Imp ts duties

Available in-year data suggests that the restrictions in place to mitigate

the health impacts of Covid-19 have produced a varied effect on excise duties. For example, the closure of hospitality outlets resulted in a dramatic fall in on-trade sales of alcohol, and the closure of schools and businesses led to a significant reduction in road fuel consumption. However, these decreases have been somewhat balanced by an increase in volumes

of tobacco being put to duty, as a result of reduced duty-free sales. The revised Fiscal Policy Panel economic assumptions continue to give a reduction to the presumed duty rates in future years, with the autumn 2019 forecast being reduced by £0.5 million in 2020, £2.5 million in 2021, £3.0 million in 2022 and £3.7 million in 2023.

Stamp Duty

Despite the pandemic causing significant disruption in the housing market, the easing of lockdown restrictions has permitted a resurgence in property transactions. The updated Fiscal Policy Panel economic assumptions for annual house prices and transactions have improved since the spring 2020 forecast, but now suggest a slower recovery in future years. The in-year data and revised assumptions continue to cause a long-term reduction to the autumn 2019 forecast from £6.3 million in 2020 to £7.9 million in 2023.

Additional tax measures

As part of balancing the budget by 2024, the Council of Ministers has

set an initial target of £10 million per annum of additional taxation arising from work to be undertaken in respect of taxation of medicinal cannabis, broadening the base of corporate income tax and reviews of commercial and residential stamp duty.

Domestic compliance

The rebalancing and efficiencies programme includes additional income arising from more efficient collection of taxes income, and reducing non- compliance among taxpayers.

Other Government incomes

In addition, the Government receives income from four other sources, as set out in the table below.

Island-wide rates The 12 parishes collect an Island-wide rate, which is levied by the

Government. The Island-wide rate is increased annually, based on the March Retail Price s Index, which is proposed to the States by the ComitØ des ConnØtables. Rates were frozen in 2020.

Income from dividends  The principal contributions to this area of income arise from the

and returns dividends paid by those utility companies in which the Government has

a shareholding interest. The other main source of income in this area is the return paid by the States of Jersey Development Company.

Non-dividends A number of income streams contribute to this area, many of which

are fairly small and relatively simple to forecast, such as income tax penalties, Crown revenues and miscellaneous interest, fees and fines. The investment returns from the Consolidated Fund and Currency Fund benefit from the pooled investments in the Common Investment Fund. The returns are based on the investment strategies of the two funds and the holding balance available to be invested.

Returns from Andium  The returns from Andium Homes and the Housing Trusts arise from the Homes and Housing  incorporation of the housing department in July 2014. The company Trusts is obliged to make a return based on the transfer agreement and an

agreed rental and return policy.

The annual increase in the level of social housing rents for 2021 is normally determined by the September 2020 RPI figure which will

be released in late October 2020. Once the September RPI figure is published the Minister for Children and Housing and the Minister for Treasury and Resources will give consideration as to whether it would be appropriate to override the formula that sets the levels of Andium rents and the Guarantor s return paid to the Treasury and Exchequer.

A freeze in the rent levels and the Guarantor s return paid by Andium Homes to the Treasury & Exchequer will lead to a reduction in

the expected return due to Treasury & Exchequer for 2021 and all subsequent years.

A freeze in rent levels will also lead to a reduction in Income Support expenditure for 2021 and all future years. If a freeze is agreed, Andium Homes will absorb the net cost into their business model for 2021 and all future years.

Further proposals will be brought forward in 2021 to review the social housing rents policy, which will be accounted for in the next Government Plan.

Agreements are already in place with those Housing Trusts that have moved to the 90% market rent level policy. This income stream reflects the historic income contribution made from the housing stock that was transferred to Andium.

2021 Estimate  2022 Estimate  2023 Estimate  2024 Estimate

(£000) (£000) (£000) (£000)

Island-wide rates 13,486 13,809 14,155 14,523 Income from dividends and returns 8,133 8,568 8,918 9,347 Non-dividends 5,473 5,784 7,967 7,949 Returns from Andium Homes and Housing Trusts 31,774 32,618 33,520 34,445

Central scenario 58,866 60,779 64,560 66,264 Table 21 - Other Government income

Other income sources

In addition, Government departments receive money from fees and charges for individual services. These amounts are included within individual net expenditure allocations and are estimated at £101 million in 2021. The number of different sources of income reflects the variety of services provided by the Government. This includes fees for private patients at the hospital, school fees, fees for the disposal of inert waste, planning fees, and income from rents and our sports facilities.

Special Funds also receive income designated to them, as well as the investment returns on fund balances. This is then used for expenditure in line with the purpose of the fund. This is covered in more detail in Section 8.

Budget Proposals

Income tax (personal taxation) exemption thresholds

The income tax exemption thresholds set the income level at which an individual, or married couple, or civil partnership, start to pay personal income tax. An individual or couple with income below the income tax exemption threshold that applies to them will not pay any personal income tax. In addition, since the Long-Term Care contribution is calculated by reference to their personal income tax position, they will not pay any Long-Term Care contribution.

Furthermore, every individual or married couple who is taxed by reference to the marginal rate calculation also benefits from the income tax exemption thresholds. This means that the relevant income tax exemption threshold reduces the amount of income that is subject to tax at the marginal rate. Increasing the thresholds will therefore benefit the vast majority of taxpayers.

Normal policy has been to uprate the standard income tax exemption thresholds by the lower of the Average Earnings Index and the June Retail Price Index figures published by Statistics Jersey.

As average earnings growth is 1.1% and the June RPI inflation is 0.5%, Ministers propose that existing policy is maintained for 2021 and that the standard thresholds are increased by the June RPI inflation rate of 0.5%. This is assumed in the Income Forecasting Group forecast.

The impact for taxpayers of the proposal on the standard income tax exemption thresholds is:

Type of taxpayer 2020 actual 2021 proposed Proposed  Tax reduction @

increase 26%

Single person £15,900  £16,000  £100  £26 Married couple/civil partnership £25,550  £25,700  £150  £39

Table 22 - Standard income tax exemption thresholds for 2020 and 2021 years of assessment

As the following table highlights, the income tax exemption thresholds in Jersey are greater than the equivalent tax allowances in Guernsey, the UK and the Isle of Man.

Jersey (2021 proposed) Guernsey (2020) UK (2020/21) Isle of Man (2020/21)

£16,000  £11,575  £14,250  £12,500

Table 23 - Single person exemption thresholds/personal allowance across comparable jurisdictions

Second earner s allowance

Married couples, taxed by reference to the marginal rate calculation, are entitled to the married couple s income tax exemption threshold (see above) and, where both spouses are in receipt of earnings (e.g. employment income, self-employment income or pension income) they are also entitled to an allowance known as second earner s allowance . Second earner s allowance reduces the income tax payable on the earnings of the lower-earning spouse.

This differs from cohabiting (unmarried) couples, where each partner is entitled to the single person s income tax exemption threshold.

Prior to the 2018 year of assessment, this differing treatment of married couples and cohabiting couples meant that it had been tax beneficial for couples, where both partners were in receipt of earnings, to cohabit, rather than get married.

In the Budget 2018, second earner s allowance was increased, so that the married couple s income tax exemption threshold, plus the second earner s allowance, was equal to two single person s income tax exemption thresholds removing this form of discrimination.

This policy has been maintained in the 2019 Budget and Government Plan 2020-2023 and is sustained in the proposed increase in this

Government Plan.

Proposed second earner s allowance

Second earner s allowance (2020) (2021) Increase (and tax benefit at 26%)

£6,250  £6,300  £50 (£13)

Table 24 - Second earner s allowance proposal for 2021

Standard allow- Second earner s  Total Income Type of Taxpayer ance proposed  allowance pro- Tax Threshold (2021) posed (2021) Applicable

Single person x 2 £32,000  N/A £32,000 Married couple / civil partnership £25,700  £6,300  £32,000

Table 25 - Comparison of proposed 2021 year of assessment allowances married vs cohabiting (both earning)

Taxing the profits of companies in the cannabis industry

Under the current rules, the standard rate of corporate income tax is 0%, though certain types of company are subject to tax rates of either 10% or 20%. In the Government Plan 2020-23, it was announced that consideration was being given to also taxing the profits of companies within the cannabis industry.

In order to be in a position to bring forward a scheme for the taxation of these companies as soon as a proposal is fully developed, an amendment is being made to the Income Tax Law which allows the development of a scheme for taxing the profits of companies within the medicinal cannabis sector through the making of Regulations.

Revision of fees payable by International Services Entities (ISEs)

The finance sector, whose goods and services are predominantly supplied to overseas customers, can pay a fee to be listed as an International Services Entity, essentially allowing them to reclaim GST but not otherwise to participate in the GST system.

Following work with Jersey Finance Limited and affected sectors, the Minister is proposing an increase in International Services Entities fees across the board.

It is anticipated these increases will generate £3.5 million from 2021.

GST De-minimis

The reduction in the GST de-minimis level from £240 to £135 was proposed in the Government Plan 2020-23 and was agreed by the States Assembly in December 2019. This has been implemented by means of a new GST Direction with effect from 1 October 2020. The reduction was due to take effect from 1 July 2020 but was postponed by the Minister, considering the impact of the pandemic on Islanders. The introduction

of the new level with effect from 1 October 2020 will encourage local spending.

Imp t (Excise) duties

Excise duties are levied on the importation/manufacture of tobacco products, alcoholic beverages, road fuels and motor vehicles. Ministers proposals regarding each of these duties for 2021 and subsequent years are outlined below.

The increases in excise duties will take effect at midnight on 31 December 2020.

Tobacco

Ministers are aware that the duty on tobacco products has been subject to a wide range of increases in the recent past (over the last five Budgets, increases have ranged from under 5% to nearly 10%).

The Government Plan 2020-2023 signposted to consumers proposed increases in the cost of tobacco over the term of that plan by prevailing RPI inflation plus 5% in each of the years 2021, 2022 and 2023 in the expectation that this would create a change in behaviour.

While a whole package of measures is required, as set out in the Government s Tobacco Strategy, international research and studies indicate the price of tobacco products is strongly linked to consumption, particularly regarding the uptake among children and young people, and population harm. Hence Ministers are proposing a 5.5% increase (equating to June 2020 RPI inflation plus 5%) in the duty levied on tobacco products (with the exception of cigars and hand-rolling tobacco, which will be subject to a greater increase see below) for 2021.

In recent Budgets, Ministers have established a policy of closing the differential between the duty charged on hand-rolling tobacco and the tobacco contained in cigarettes, on the basis that hand-rolling tobacco is as harmful as other tobacco products. Ministers are proposing this policy is extended in this government plan to the tobacco contained in cigars. In 2020 there is a nearly £38 per kg of tobacco differential in the amount of imp ts duty charged on hand-rolling tobacco versus the tobacco contained in cigarettes and a £104 per kg differential in the amount of imp ts duty charged on cigars.

In order to continue the policy of closing this differential, Minsters propose to increase the duty on hand-rolling tobacco and cigars by 8.5% (June 2020 RPI inflation plus 8%). Provided this policy is maintained, modelling indicates that the duty on the tobacco in cigarettes and hand-rolling tobacco should be aligned in 2023 and that duty on the tobacco in cigarettes and cigars should be aligned in 2029.

The proposed increase in duty for tobacco products for 2021 of 5.5% equates to a 41p increase in the duty on a standard packet of 20 cigarettes (up from £7.31 per packet to £7.72). The increase on hand-rolling tobacco of 8.5% equates to a £2.05 increase per 50g pouch (up from £24.21 per pouch to £26.26).

Ministers intend to review the case or need to tax vaping in order to dis-incentivise the use of vaping outside of strategies to reduce tobacco consumption.

Road fuel

We have carefully considered the impact of fossil fuels on the environment, both in terms of air pollution and in their contribution to global warming. In the light of the declaration by the States Assembly of a climate emergency in May 2019, fuel duty was increased significantly in the last Government Plan, for both petrol and diesel. The plan also signalled above-inflation increases would apply for 2021 and 2022 in order to encourage drivers to switch from fossil fuel vehicles to cleaner vehicles, and to public transport, cycling and walking, and to further contribute to the Climate Emergency Fund.

To maintain this policy and to continue to apply downwards pressure on excessive consumption, Ministers are proposing to increase fuel duty in this Budget by the rate of inflation and to levy an additional 2 pence per litre for the Climate Emergency Fund.

Even after these increases, road fuel in Jersey continues to be less expensive than in Guernsey, France and the UK.

Alcohol

In determining their proposals on excise duties on alcoholic beverages, Ministers must consider the overall financial and economic position and the advice they receive from public health officials.

For Government Plan 2021-2024, Ministers have carefully considered

the balance between the health benefits of further increasing the duty on alcohol with the need to provide continuing support to the hospitality sector due to Covid-19. Having taken account of the lengthy closure of businesses during 2020, and also of the recent introduction of minimum- pricing for off-licence sales, Ministers propose that, exceptionally, for 2021 duty on alcohol is frozen.

RPI impact of increases in imp ts

The estimated impact of all the proposed imp ts measures is an increase in RPI of 0.1%.

Stamp Duty and Land Transaction Tax (LTT)

We support various assisted ownership schemes to help households who cannot afford to purchase a property on the open market suitable for their needs.

Households can take advantage of an assisted ownership scheme if they meet certain qualifying criteria. These criteria include Entitled residential status and maximum income levels.

Under an assisted ownership scheme, a purchaser is only required to finance part of the market value of the property by way of a mortgage and savings (this is sometimes described as the affordable price). The

difference between the market value of the property and the affordable price is deferred. But the amount deferred will be held within the scheme in perpetuity. This is to ensure that the property cannot be sold on the open market in future.

Under the current rules Stamp Duty/LTT is calculated based on the higher of the consideration paid in respect of a transaction or the market value of the property. As such, a person buying a property through an assisted ownership scheme would be charged Stamp Duty/LTT based on the market value of the property and not the affordable price paid.

In order to assist households with the affordability of buying a house under an assisted ownership scheme, the Minister is proposing to reduce the amount of Stamp Duty/LTT that such households are required to pay when purchasing the house.

Under this proposal the Stamp Duty/LTT will be calculated based on the affordable price rather than the market value of the property.

The conditions for qualifying for relief will be:

   The assisted ownership scheme must be approved by the Minister for

Children and Housing

   The purchaser(s) must be first time buyer(s)

   The purchaser is allocated to purchase the property through the

affordable housing gateway

   Where the purchaser is not allocated the property through the

affordable housing gateway then the assisted ownership scheme must be approved by the Minister for Treasury and Resources.

2021 Proposed revenue measures Revenue/(cost) versus base (£000) Personal income tax threshold increases (1,200)

ISE rate increases 3,500 Stamp Duty Changes for FTBs using the assisted ownership scheme (500) Alcohol duty 0 Tobacco duty increases 877 Road fuel duty increases 1,020 General Revenue Total before earmarked road fuel duty increases 3,697 Earmarked Road fuel duty increases Climate Emergency Fund (895)

General Revenue Total 2,802 Table 26 - Summary of Revenue Measures

Progress of tax reviews

Current Year Payment Basis

The Government Plan 2020-23 committed Ministers to considering the options for bringing all taxpayers on to a current year payment basis. That review has been accelerated in the light of Covid-19, to provide a short-term cash boost to those most financially affected by the lockdown measures, especially self-employed people and prior-year basis employees, whose income in 2020 has reduced.

Consultation has recently closed regarding the proposals, and the Minister has lodged a proposition to move all personal taxpayers to a Current Year Basis. The terms of the payment of the 2019 tax liability will be set out in regulations, which the Minister will publish before the proposal is debated in the States Assembly on 3 November 2020. The regulations will need to be made by the Assembly no later than 31 March 2021.

If the Assembly agrees to the proposal, the Minister will then propose in next year s Government Plan for these payments to be ring fenced to the repayment of the Covid-19 debt, so this debt does not become a long-term issue for future generations.

Introduction of Independent Taxation

In November 2019, the States Assembly agreed a proposed roadmap for changes to Jersey s personal tax system, ultimately to introduce a system of independent taxation.

This is a significant change to the personal tax system that will affect all taxpayers in a marriage, or civil partnership, and have financial implications for thousands of taxpayers who are currently jointly assessed. Research indicates that moving immediately to independent taxation would

require approximately 8,300 married couples and civil partners to pay additional tax. Managing the financial impact on individuals is a particularly challenging aspect of the proposals, and further public consultation is planned in 2020 and 2021.

As a transitional step, it is anticipated joint access to tax information will be introduced for couples in a legal relationship in 2021. It remains our goal to implement full independent taxation for the year of assessment 2022.

Improving tax administration

As part of Budget 2017, the Income Tax Law was amended to include a new regulation-making provision, with a view to requiring Jersey financial institutions to report financial account information on Jersey residents

to the Comptroller. Over summer 2020, views have been sought from businesses that would be affected by the Regulations, asking for views on the proposal. Draft regulations will soon be shared with affected parties before being lodged by the Minister. The intention is that 2021 account information would be first reported to the Comptroller in 2022, by banks in the first instance.

Proposals for new business interest rules

The business interest project is looking at how businesses obtain tax relief for the cost of loans and borrowings used to purchase assets and businesses. This area of tax is being reviewed because there are a number of inconsistencies in the current regime for giving relief for the cost of loans which has resulted in tax relief not being given on some commercial transactions and in taxpayers misunderstanding their obligations.

If introduced, new rules will apply to business transactions undertaken by individuals and companies. The existing regime includes several tax concessions that will be withdrawn if a replacement regime is introduced.

The project s goals are to introduce a system of relief that satisfies the following principles:

  Reinforces Jersey s international competitiveness

  Complies with international standards

  Provides legal certainty and improves taxpayer compliance

  Allows a robust approach to tax avoidance and prevents relief for

excessive interest

  Has rules that are reasonably simple to apply in practice.

Several meetings have been held with the accountancy profession, and a detailed framework is being developed for consultation. It is anticipated the project will conclude in 2021.

Review of tax residency rules

We have begun to examine options for modernising the income tax law that governs the tax residence of individuals in Jersey.

The review will examine international best practice and guidance and will ensure that any new regime for establishing tax residency underpins Jersey s future competitive position as an international finance centre.

Taxation of transactions involving enveloped property

Holding real estate within a company is often referred to as enveloping. Currently, neither Stamp Duty nor Land Transaction Tax arises where the ownership of Jersey commercial real estate is transferred by way of a share transfer.

Proposals for the taxation of these share transactions are now fully developed and were consulted on in 2019. It is proposed enveloped property transfers are taxed at broadly the same rates that are applied to non-enveloped transactions.

Law drafting is nearing completion and a further consultation exercise with stakeholders will shortly take place on the draft legislation. It is expected the draft law will be debated by the States Assembly in early 2021.

Improved income collection

Investment in resources to improve income collection (principally

from improved compliance with tax law) has seen further recruitment

into Revenue Jersey. Following the publication of its first compliance programme under new ways of working, work in 2020 has been adjusted to take account of the Covid-19 lockdown and has principally focused on tax compliance in the legal profession. Taking account of the slower-than- anticipated commencement of compliance work (resulting from lockdown), improved collection, as part of the Efficiencies Programme, is estimated to increase revenues by £6.35 million in 2020, rising to £13.5 million in 2024.

International tax reform at the OECD

The increasingly digitalised economy has created new business models which continue to challenge international tax rules. The OECD is currently examining how cross border profits within these businesses are taxed, and what global effective corporate tax rates they pay.

International tax standards are always evolving, and Jersey has a proven track record of successfully adopting and adapting to such changes. Jersey will continue to advocate for the maintenance of the principle of the level-playing field among tax jurisdictions, so that new standards are of global application and are to be applied without discrimination.

We are engaging constructively and extensively in these discussions at the OECD. We are also working with industry representatives in Jersey so that the Island will be ready to respond to any requirements arising from new international tax standards if it transpires that any future changes are needed.

Work in this area is a cross-department effort between Revenue Jersey, External Relations and Financial Services and Digital Economy and is also referenced in Part Two - Economy and Skills.

New Reviews for 2021:

Review of Stamp Duty

Stamp duty is charged on transactions involving the transfer of Jersey real estate from one person to another.

Currently, the same rates of stamp duty apply to residential property and commercial property where the property s stamp duty value does not exceed £500,000. Where the value exceeds £500,000, higher rates of stamp duty are applied to residential property. The government is looking at the rates of tax payable on residential and commercial property and whether the gap between these rates should be changed.

Tax measures and long-term climate action

In February 2020, the States Assembly approved P.127/2019 the Carbon Neutral Strategy, which outlined a road map for developing a long-term climate action plan, which will now be lodged with the States Assembly in 2021. This outlined Jersey s level of ambition and timescale for, and the necessary policies to achieve, carbon neutrality. A critical factor in achieving carbon neutrality was the acceptance that a long-term policy will entail an investment by current generations in the interests of future generations.

The use of tax measures and other levers is likely to be pivotal in encouraging changes in behaviour by ensuring polluters and/or users pay for their actions and there is sufficient revenue for investment in infrastructure or mitigating measures. Early work has begun to assess the suitability of tax measures to meet these objectives and bring forward proposals for public consultation and then inclusion in the 2022 Government Plan for implementation thereafter.

Measures to achieve balanced budgets by 2024

Including some of the above, work will progress through the year to identify measures to close the forecast budget deficit. Included within that is a target of at least £10 million per annum to be delivered through tax measures, including broadening the tax base, the taxation of medicinal cannabis growing and production and Stamp Duty.

The Government of Jersey Balance Sheet and States funds

The balance sheet provides a snapshot of our financial position at the end of any given year. It sets out what we own, what we owe and what is owed at any that point in time. This provides an understanding of the long-term financial risks that we face.

The balance sheet is comprised of four main components:

  1. Non-current assets: This considers the longer-term assets that we have available to deliver services and outcomes. It includes the buildings that we own, along with other equipment that will be used over many years (e.g. IT, vehicles, roads, sea defences, and other infrastructure), the long- term strategic investments that we have made to deliver a return, and loans that we have issued to other organisations.
  2. Working capital or net current assets: These represent the net day-to- day resources available to us. These include the cash that is held in our bank accounts, the amount owed to us from creditors within the next 12 months; and the amount we need to repay to individuals and organisations within the next 12 months. The Government has high net working capital, which means that we have more than enough current assets to meet all of our short-term financial obligations.
  3. Non-current liabilities: Conversely, our liabilities include loans and bonds that have been taken out to fund capital projects, the long-term liabilities related to our Pension funds, and any other provisions that we need to make as a result of past actions and activities where there is a strong obligation that these will need to be repaid.
  4. Taxpayers equity: Taxpayers equity represents the accumulation of previous surpluses and deficits and is equal to the total net assets that we hold.

Balance Sheet Forecasts

In recent years, our Island has maintained a strong balance sheet position, and this is forecast to be maintained throughout this Government Plan. Our property and equipment assets will increase as we invest in capital projects. At the same time, we will protect our capital reserve funds, reinvesting returns to ensure that our investment balance grows to help manage risks and protect the long-term sustainability of the Island s finances.

2020  2021  2022  2023  2024 (£000) (£000) (£000) (£000) (£000)

Non-current assets

Property and equipment 3,959,546  4,029,052  4,072,276  4,096,648  4,113,625 Loans to external organisations and other assets 248,567  253,227  258,257  257,477  255,767 Strategic investments 376,192  376,192  376,192  376,192  376,192 Investments 3,019,363 2,898,140  2,832,528  2,884,030  3,034,109 Total non-current assets 7,603,668  7,556,611  7,539,253  7,614,347  7,779,693

Working capital (net current assets) 349,443 529,462  581,281 642,886 676,388

Non-current liabilities

Provisions (24,989) (24,989) (24,989) (24,989) (24,989) Borrowing (305,926) (641,979) (712,943) (707,496) (700,788) Pension liabilities (443,764) (475,587) (480,785) (485,660) (490,170) Total non-current liabilities (774,679) (1,142,555) (1,218,717) (1,218,145) (1,215,947)

Total net assets 7,178,432  6,943,518  6,901,817  7,039,088  7,240,134 Taxpayers equity 7,178,432  6,943,518  6,901,817  7,039,088  7,240,134

Table 27 balance sheet forecast

Consolidated Fund

The Consolidated Fund is the main fund through which we collect tax, other revenues, and spend money in providing services.

All money received by us or on our behalf is paid into the Consolidated Fund, except where specified in law. Expenditure from the Consolidated Fund is approved by the States Assembly in the Government Plan. The Council of Ministers must not lodge a Government Plan which shows

a negative balance in the Consolidated Fund at the end of any of the financial years that the plan covers.

During 2020, the additional expenditure incurred in responding to Covid-19 has meant the Consolidated Fund unallocated balance i.e. the balance after deducting all expenditure budget approvals, including unspent ones, moved from a positive balance to a deficit position of £89 million. In 2021, the lower forecast income and higher expenditure result in a borrowing requirement of £336 million to return the consolidated fund to a balanced position.

Further borrowing is required in 2022, before the borrowing then reduces, as small surpluses are forecast in 2023 and 2024.

There are several planned transfers into the fund to support investment into the Jersey Care Model, capital projects and other expenditure items.

2021  2022  2023  2024 (£000) (£000) (£000) (£000)

Opening balance 228,914  0  0  0

Adjustment in respect of Personal Taxation Accrual (318,342)

Opening Balance restated on a cash basis (89,428) 0  0  0 General revenues income 806,515  863,318  915,724  966,081 Departmental expenditure (929,967) (857,355) (843,010) (892,956) Forecast Operating Surplus/(Deficit) (123,452) 5,963  72,714  73,125

Major projects

Capital Programme (117,373) (98,125) (81,724) (74,142) Transfers  

HIF to Consolidated Fund Revenue 11,300  13,000  12,160  7,825 Charitable Funds to Consolidated Fund 1,044  989

Loans Funds to Consolidated Fund 0  5,700  0  0 Criminal Offences Confiscation Fund to Consolidated Fund 1,956  1,609  2,396  0

Consolidated Fund Float Working Balance

Consolidated Fund Working Balance (20,000)

Net movement in borrowing required 335,953  70,864  (5,547) (6,808) Closing balance 0  0  0  0

Table 28 Consolidated Fund

Trading Funds

Jersey Car Parking Trading Fund

The Jersey Car Parking trading operation manages the provision of the public parking places that are within the functions of the Minister for Infrastructure. The projections for 2021 and beyond include a considerable reduction in income following the pandemic and lockdown measures in the early part of 2020 and assume a modest return to normality over the coming years.

This reduction in income has also necessitated a review of the capital projects to be undertaken by the trading operation and the figures are adjusted accordingly. Priority is given to maintenance and refurbishment of car parking facilities, with the modernisation programme expected to re-start in 2022.

2021  2022  2023  2024 (£000) (£000) (£000) (£000)

Opening balance 13,338  7,274  5,327  4,065 Trading Income 6,199  6,999  7,505  8,030 Expenditure (5,670) (5,672) (5,695) (5,758) Capital Expenditure (6,593) (3,274) (3,072) (3,826)

Closing balance 7,274  5,327  4,065  2,511 Table 29 Jersey Car Parking Trading Fund

Jersey Fleet Management Trading Fund

The Jersey Fleet Management trading operation manages the acquisition, maintenance, servicing, fueling, garaging and disposal of vehicles and mobile plant and machinery on our behalf.

Charges are set to recover the up-front cost of the asset, routine maintenance and servicing, and the costs of managing the fleet operations.

2021  2022  2023  2024 (£000) (£000) (£000) (£000)

Opening balance 5,376  4,410  4,769  5,205 Trading Income 4,902  5,042  5,195  5,325 Expenditure (3,008) (3,073) (3,149) (3,243) Capital Expenditure (3,000) (1,750) (1,750) (1,750) Asset Disposals 140  140  140  140

Closing balance 4,410  4,769  5,205  5,677 Table 30 Jersey Fleet Management Trading Fund

Special funds

The Government has several special funds established by individual legislation. This provides the public with the confidence that the funds remain ring-fenced and used for the specific purpose for which they

were established. However, for the purposes of investment, the funds are pooled together into the Common Investment Fund, thus achieving the benefits of economies of scale, and more effective risk management of the overall Government investment portfolio. Each individual fund has its own investment strategy which reflects the long-term aims of that fund, and investment returns are estimated based on the target investment return for each fund.

2021  2022  2023  2024 (£000) (£000) (£000) (£000)

Opening Balance 3,019,363  2,898,140  2,832,528  2,884,030 Returns on Investments 43,400  41,900  166,900  172,750 Operational Income 322,494  353,886  365,155  440,458 Operational Expenditure (473,861) (441,089) (465,997) (484,623) Transfers (13,256) (20,309) (14,556) 21,494

Closing Balance 2,898,140  2,832,528  2,884,030  3,034,109 Table 31 movements in Special Funds

Special funds balances 2021  2022  2023  2024 (£000) (£000) (£000) (£000)

Strategic Reserve Fund 890,300  904,900  952,900  1,003,600 Stabilisation Fund 0  0  0  0 The Health Insurance Fund  79,340  62,517  47,467  35,027 The Long-Term Care Fund 35,220  39,566  43,810  46,190 The Social Security Fund 91,746  86,020  75,294  66,818 The Social Security (Reserve) Fund 1,667,068  1,609,813  1,634,638  1,751,338 The Currency and Coinage Funds 107,800  108,600  109,400  109,400 The Jersey Reclaim Fund 14,300  14,300  14,300  14,300 Housing Development Fund (14,665) (13,270) (11,815) (10,290) Climate Emergency Fund 3,397  3,757  4,107  3,797 Fiscal Stimulus Fund 0  0  0  0 Other Special Funds 23,634  16,325  13,929  13,929

Total 2,898,140  2,832,528  2,884,030  3,034,109 Table 32 Special Funds balances

Strategic Reserve Fund

The Strategic Reserve is a permanent reserve and is to be used in exceptional circumstances to protect the Island s economy from severe structural decline, such as the collapse of a major Island industry or from major natural disaster. It forms a critical part of the infrastructure of financial risk management and helps to protect the long-term financial sustainability of our Island. The Strategic Reserve also supports the £100 million of funding, if called upon, for the Bank Depositors Compensation Scheme.

No extra money will be deposited over the Government Plan period due to current economic circumstances, however in the long-term, the Fiscal Policy Panel recommends that the Strategic Reserve continues to grow to a long-term target of 30% of Gross Domestic Product, by retaining earned investments and depositing funds when the economy is expanding.

2021  2022  2023  2024 (£000) (£000) (£000) (£000)

Opening balance 876,000  890,300  904,900  952,900

Return on investments 14,300  14,600  48,000  50,700

Closing balance 890,300  904,900  952,900  1,003,600 Table 33 Strategic Reserve Fund

Stabilisation Fund

The Stabilisation Fund exists to support the Island through major economic shocks, with the recent focus of the fund being to manage the effects of Covid-19 and the subsequent worsening of the budget position. We are acting on the Fiscal Policy Panel s advice to utilise the stabilisation fund this year to support economic recovery, and this includes a transfer of

the complete value of the fund to the Consolidated Fund, hence the fund shows a closing balance of zero each year. No contributions into the fund are planned for the next four years, however the long-term aim is to rebuild the fund when enough income is available and the economy recovers.

Health Insurance Fund

The Health Insurance Fund receives allocations from Social Security contributions from employers and working-age adults, and supports the wellbeing of Islanders by subsidising GP visits, the cost of prescriptions and other primary care services. The table reflects the anticipated costs of current services over the period as they are presently provided for.

During this Government Plan period, it is anticipated that the Jersey Care Model will be implemented to deliver an improved system of healthcare provision for all Islanders. It is intended that £28 million of this investment in the JCM will be met from the current balance in the Health Insurance Fund. In addition, £16 million of the Health Digital Project is proposed to be funded from transfers out of the Health Insurance Fund. This, when combined with other cost pressures and planned additional assistance to financially vulnerable patients, means that the value of the fund is planned to reduce as outlined in the table below. This is anticipated to result in the fund holding £35 million at the end of 2024, representing well under one years worth of expenditure.

Given that the ageing demographic will also increase the underlying annual costs to be met by the fund during the 2020s, changes will be needed to maintain a sustainable funding model for primary care costs. Therefore, a further commitment in the 2021-2024 Government Plan is to design and implement this sustainable funding model in 2021 for approval by the 2022-2025 Government Plan. It is envisaged this new model will be implemented alongside the Jersey Care Model.

The Minister for Social Security will bring forward legislation to create a transfer of £11.3 million from the Health Insurance Fund, to support the Jersey Care Model and the Health Digital Project costs budgeted for 2021.

2021  2022  2023  2024 (£000) (£000) (£000) (£000)

Opening balance 97,679  79,340  62,517  47,467 Return on investments 1,600  1,400  3,000  2,250 Contributions Income 32,778  36,781  37,877  39,006 Benefits and other expenditure (41,417) (42,004) (43,767) (45,871) Transfers - Jersey Care Model & Digital Care (11,300) (13,000) (12,160) (7,825)

Closing balance 79,340  62,517  47,467  35,027 Table 34 Health Insurance Fund

Long-Term Care Fund

The Long-Term Care Fund provides universal and means-tested benefits to individuals with long-term care needs, and is funded through a central grant from general revenues and income-related contributions from income tax payers.

As part of the Government Plan 2020-23, an increase in the contribution rate of an additional 0.5% was agreed and implemented. The Long-

Term Care rate now stands at 1.5%. Most people pay less than 1.5% of their income into the Long-Term Care Fund each year, because of the availability of allowances and reliefs, particularly marginal relief within the personal income tax system.

The current rate is expected to enable the balance on the Long-Term Care Fund to continue to increase throughout the period of the Government Plan. It is anticipated that there will need to be further increases in the Long-Term Care contribution rate in future years, as the number and proportion of older people with long-term care needs is expected to increase. However, the implementation of the Jersey Care Model, and

the proposed introduction of the new Care Needs at Home Benefit, are intended to reduce the number of individuals who will need a care home placement through the provision of alternative care options and improved support at home and in the community. These actions are expected to reduce the extent of future increases in Long-term Care expenditure.

2021  2022  2023  2024 (£000) (£000) (£000) (£000)

Opening balance 30,972  35,220  39,566  43,810 Return on investments 300  400  400  400 Existing Long-Term Care charge 31,889  34,471  37,264  38,866 Grant to Long-Term Care Fund 31,000  32,100  33,300  34,200 Benefits and other expenditure (58,941) (62,625) (66,720) (71,086)

Closing balance 35,220  39,566  43,810  46,190 Table 35 Long-Term Care Fund

Social Security Fund

The Social Security Fund receives allocations from Social Security contributions from employers and working-age adults and in normal times, an annual States Grant. The Fund supports the wellbeing of Islanders by providing old age pensions and a range of working age benefits.

Following a States debate in 2020, it was agreed that no grant would be paid into the Social Security Fund in 2020 to allow £65.3 million of cash, in the consolidated fund, to be allocated to support Covid-19 related financial pressures. Additionally, due to the exceptional financial pressure being faced by the Government as a consequence of the pandemic, it has been proposed that the States Grant is not paid in 2021, 2022 and 2023, allowing an additional estimated £235 million to be allocated to urgent financial pressures. This is a critical element in enabling the Government to cope with the lost income and additional costs associated with Covid-19 and fund its capital and revenue expenditure programmes. If we don t

do this, borrowing will need to increase over the period to fund these additional transfers.

In addition to the removal of the States Grant, the Social Security Fund is also facing reductions in contributions income because of:

  The economic downturn resulting from the response to the pandemic

  The decision to reduce employee social security contributions by 2%

from October 2020 to June 2021 as part of the Economic Stimulus programme

  The decision to enable businesses and self-employed people to defer

social security contributions, payable in the first 2 quarters of 2020, to be repaid over 2 years.

In 2020, the Social Security Minister has managed these pressures by transferring resource from the Social Security Reserve Fund. The Reserve has substantial financial assets which have built up over many years. It is proposed that a proportion of these assets are now utilised to help the Government to manage the extreme financial pressures it is currently facing. It is recognised that the temporary removal of the States Grant and other reductions in income, come at a time when the ageing population demographic is also placing increasing pressure on the Fund.

The Council of Ministers will undertake an urgent review of the sustainability of the Social Security Funds. This will draw on the work already completed, which has gathered views on the future of the fund, contributions and benefits. The review will include a long-term plan and funding model for the Social Security Fund given the ageing population, the need to encourage greater retirement saving, and the pressure on its reserves brought about by the economic impact of Covid-19 and social restrictions. A transfer of up to £150 million was approved by the Social Security Minister in May 2020 and further transfers from the Reserve Fund, estimated at £263 million, will be required during 2021 to 2023 to support the on-going payment of pensions and benefits. A planning assumption that the States Grant will be set at £65.3 million, and that sustainability

measures will be used to address the balance of £29.3 million, has been made for 2024. These assumptions will be examined as part of the

review, which will identify an appropriate balance of income into the Fund between contributions from employers and workers, and the annual grant from the Consolidated Fund.

For the purposes of this Government Plan, the Minister for Social Security will only be proposing a change to the Social Security Law to remove the States Grant for 2021. Further changes to the value of the Grant will be proposed during 2021, following agreement on the outcome of the review of the Social Security scheme.

The implementation of a parental allowance to replace the current maternity allowance has been delayed for six months and is now due to be implemented from early 2021. The additional costs of the new benefit are being met through an increase in employer and Class 2 contributions in respect of earnings above the Standard Earnings Limit. This increase was implemented in January 2020.

It is also anticipated that a major new project will be commenced in 2023 to begin work on a new, modern IT system to administer benefits. This will be a significant capital investment in a new platform to enable the efficient management of social security.

2021  2022  2023  2024 (£000) (£000) (£000) (£000)

Opening balance 92,722  91,746  86,020  75,294 Existing Contributions income 199,054  205,507  211,627  217,929 Changes to Contribution rates (15,894) 0  0  0

Sustainability Measures 0  0  0  29,319 Transfer from Social Security Reserve 94,932  81,255  87,175  0 Grant to Social Security Fund 0  0  0  65,300 Existing benefits and other expenditure (275,879) (284,475) (296,398) (310,018) New Benefits proposed (2,939) (3,013) (3,130) (3,256) Capital Investment in New Benefits System (250) (5,000) (10,000) (7,750)

Closing balance 91,746  86,020  75,294  66,818 Table 36 Social Security Fund

Social Security (Reserve) Fund

The Social Security (Reserve) Fund holds the balances built up in the Social Security Fund and is a key way in which we are managing the impact of an ageing population on future pension costs.

As outlined above, it is proposed that some of the assets in the Reserve Fund are utilised to support the cost of Social Security pensions and benefits. The treasury management and investment strategy will ensure that these reserves are drawn down in the most advantageous way possible. Consideration is also being given to modifying the investment strategy of the Reserve Fund to allow it to invest in local infrastructure, providing greater benefit to the Island while still providing a healthy financial return to the fund.

2021  2022  2023  2024 (£000) (£000) (£000) (£000)

Opening balance 1,736,400  1,667,068  1,609,813  1,634,638 Return on investments 25,600  24,000  112,000  116,700 Transfers (94,932) (81,255) (87,175) 0

Closing balance 1,667,068  1,609,813  1,634,638  1,751,338 Table 37 Social Security (Reserve) Fund

Currency and Coinage Funds

The Currency and Coinage Funds principal purpose is to hold assets to match the value of Jersey currency in circulation, such that the holder of Jersey currency could, on request, be repaid. The Currency and Coinage Funds can also invest in Jersey infrastructure. The fund currently has investments in Jersey infrastructure including Gigabyte Jersey, valued at £10 million and the liquid waste plant investment, valued at £25 million. Excess monies, above those required to match currency in circulation, are generally transferred to the Consolidated Fund annually.

2021  2022  2023  2024 (£000) (£000) (£000) (£000)

Opening balance 106,600  107,800  108,600  109,400 Return on investments 1,200  1,100  2,900  2,100 Expenditure 0  (300) (2,100) (2,100)

Closing balance 107,800  108,600  109,400  109,400 Table 38 Currency and Coinage Funds

Jersey Reclaim Fund

The Jersey Reclaim Fund receives the balances of dormant accounts held in Jersey banks for distribution for charitable and other purposes, subject to reclaim by transferring banks under certain conditions. The fund was set up in 2017, and initially received transfer of dormant account monies from local banks, along with a small volume of customer reclaims. The fund is required by legislation to ensure that monies are managed prudently, to enable the payment of claims when they are made.

A transfer was made in 2020 from the Reclaim Fund to charitable organisations that are working to protect at-risk Islanders during the pandemic. Any excess balance on the return on investments will be allocated to further charitable purposes.

2021  2022  2023  2024 (£000) (£000) (£000) (£000)

Opening balance 14,300  14,300  14,300  14,300 Return on investments 400  400  600  600 Expenditure (400) (400) (600) (600)

Closing balance 14,300  14,300  14,300  14,300 Table 39 Jersey Reclaim Fund

Housing Development Fund

The Housing Development Fund exists to help support the development of social rented and first-time buyer homes. In June 2014, the States issued a £250 million bond with a 40-year maturity, the proceeds of which were placed in the Housing Development Fund and issued to Andium Homes, or equivalent facilitating agencies, to fund construction and improvement works on social housing.

In the initial stages of drawdown, proceeds from the bond issuance were held in a defensive portfolio to protect the capital from losses before sufficient money could be drawn by Andium Homes, or equivalent facilitating agencies, to meet coupon payments. During this interim period coupon payments reduced the net value of the Fund as interest payments exceeded income.

The fund is now fully drawn, holding only interest-bearing loans issued predominantly to Andium Homes. Interest receipts are in excess of the external coupon associated with the States issued bond, net gains will

be recycled into further housing loans and used to rebuild the fund value over time. The fund Strategy currently focusses on consolidating gains to rebuild the fund over time. In due course the Strategy of the fund will be reassessed and optimised to repay the external bond due in 2054.

In addition to bond interest payments, Andium pay an annual return to the Government of Jersey, this payment however is not paid to the Housing Development Fund and so not recorded in the table below.

2021  2022  2023  2024 (£000) (£000) (£000) (£000)

Opening balance (16,000) (14,665) (13,270) (11,815) Income 10,710  10,770  10,830  10,900 Expenditure (9,375) (9,375) (9,375) (9,375)

Closing balance (14,665) (13,270) (11,815) (10,290) Table 40 Housing Development Fund

Climate Emergency Fund

Following on from the declaration of a Climate Emergency and the agreement to set up the Climate Emergency Fund in 2019, a Carbon

Neutral Strategy was bought before the States Assembly in February

2020. This was unanimously agreed and outlined the strategic context and the principles upon which a community driven, participatory democracy approach would be used to develop Jersey s detailed road map towards carbon neutrality A Long-term Climate Action Plan. In addition, it outlined some strong start carbon reduction and sustainable transport projects,

to be funded from the Climate Emergency Fund, and that would be undertaken in parallel with the community engagement and a Citizens Assembly process.

Between April and August, resources were redeployed across the Government to address the Covid-19 response, causing a pause in these workstreams. However, the political commitment and resolve in tackling the climate emergency, has in no way diminished during or because of Covid-19. Resources have now returned, and work is beginning again on this major strategic initiative, which is arguably even more important as we move forward in a changed world. The financial information reflects the deferral of some projects into 2021.

2021  2022  2023  2024 (£000) (£000) (£000) (£000)

Opening balance 5,100  3,397  3,757  4,107 Income 2,700  4,000  4,000  4,000

Expenditure (4,403) (3,640) (3,650) (4,310)

Closing balance 3,397  3,757  4,107  3,797 Table 41 Climate Emergency Fund

Income estimates have been adjusted for 2021 due to the potential impact of Covid-19 on imp ts fuel duties.

Expenditure from the Fund approved in 2019 on sustainable transport initiatives, was dependant on the States Assembly s agreement of a Sustainable Transport Plan, which was secured in March 2020. A suite of strong start transport projects were agreed against the first year s projected expenditure of £1.3 million. Although some projects have been deferred due to the impact on resources of Covid-19, delivery is now underway and where they cannot be completed in 2020, they will be addressed in 2021 where the funding will still be available.

It is proposed that further climate related work that strengthens environmental protection is funded in 2021 to 2024 from the Climate Emergency Fund. This will build on work that began in 2020 and will maintain momentum in these areas whilst the Long-Term Climate Action Plan is being developed. Work will focus on soil health, biosecurity (especially related to invasive and non-native species) and wider conservation work including marine research, habitat management and support for the new Conservation of Wildlife Law, should it be adopted by the States Assembly in 2020.

2021 (£000)

Policy Development on Carbon Neutral and Sustainable Transport Plan  500 Strengthening Environmental Protection  295 Sustainable Transport Initiatives 3,150 Additional expenditure to strengthen the protection of the natural environment 458

Total expenditure 4,403 Table 42 2021 expenditure from Climate Emergency Fund

Fiscal Stimulus Fund

Proposals to establish the Fiscal Stimulus Fund were lodged in October 2020 to create a fund to support economic recovery after the Covid-19 pandemic. Subject to approval of the Fund by the States Assembly, funding bids will be received during the remainder of 2020 and it is expected that the full balance will be allocated in 2021.

2021  2022  2023  2024 (£000) (£000) (£000) (£000)

Opening balance 50,000  0  0  0 Expenditure (50,000) 0  0  0

Closing balance 0  0  0  0

Table 43 Fiscal Stimulus Fund

Other special funds

There are several smaller special funds that operate for specific purposes. These funds hold lower balances and are similarly established either under legislation or through bequests made to the Government. Income and expenditure are generally equal.

2021  2022  2023  2024 (£000) (£000) (£000) (£000)

Opening balance 25,590  23,634  16,325  13,929 Lottery and Other Income 30,257  30,257  30,257  30,257 Expenditure (30,257) (30,257) (30,257) (30,257) Transfers (1,956) (7,309) (2,396) 0

Closing balance 23,634  16,325  13,929  13,929 Table 44 Other Special Funds

Government of Jersey Group forecast

The financial forecast for the Government of Jersey Group takes into account the income and expenditure through trading operations and special funds. An operational surplus is forecast to be generated over the period of the Government Plan. Investment returns of the funds also form part of the accounting surplus, although the use of these returns is restricted.

2021  2022  2023  2024 (£000) (£000) (£000) (£000)

Forecast Operating Surplus/(Deficit) (178,098) (50,736) 13,876  13,850

Trading Operations Net Income 2,423  3,296  3,856  4,354 Special Funds Net Operational Expenditure (151,367) (87,203) (100,842) (44,165)

Group Operational Surplus/(Deficit) (327,042) (134,643) (83,110) (25,961) Target Investment Returns 43,400  41,900  166,900  172,750

Group Surplus/(Deficit) (283,642) (92,743) 83,790  146,789 Table 45 Government Of Jersey Group forecast

Key Fiscal Measures for Consideration in 2021

Classification of Government spending

In accordance with P.94/2019, we will pursue opportunities to progress classifying all States expenditure in accordance with the United Nations Classification of the Functions of Government system, so that the Annual Accounts of the States of Jersey 2020 and all subsequent government documents presenting financial information (including the Government Plan 2022) classify public spending in accordance with this standard framework.

An infrastructure fund for Jersey

The previous Government Plan identified that an Infrastructure Fund in Jersey could provide a way to fund major projects. Many places have successfully established infrastructure funds, with these funds typically taking the form of a recyclable or evergreen fund, whereby funds are reinvested over a medium to long-term to create a sustainable fund.

The original intention was to establish the fund in 2020 by lodging a proposition that would have set out how the fund could operate, the necessary safeguards, governance and transparency measures for projects to be funded through this mechanism. The impact of Covid-19

on this Government has shifted the priority for Treasury to ensuring liquidity and financing in place for existing expenditure proposals, as outlined in the Plan. This, combined with uncertain market appetite, delayed the implementation of this initiative but the intention is to continue with an intent to lodge a proposition to create the Infrastructure Fund in 2021.

The Infrastructure Fund can widen the participation of third-party investors who wish to take a holistic view of the long-term success of the Island and give us the opportunity to fund longer-term projects in a different way. These funds not only reduce the dependency on public sector finances

but can also be used to strengthen skills and resource planning capability. We can choose to invest at a fund or project level, or both.

We can play an active role in project definition, prioritisation, promoting initiatives, land assembly and attracting investors. We can widen the participation of third-party investors who wish to take a holistic view of the long-term success of the Island, as well as securing maximum leverage from third-party investors to support individual projects.

Robust transparency and accountability are an essential prerequisite

of any fund where decisions are taken by elected Members following independent advice. This will not only underpin the legitimacy of decision- making but will enable elected Members to exercise strict control over funding and long-term investment strategy. The decision to establish a new fund will be informed by a business case and can only be taken by the States Assembly.

Funding is included in the central planning reserve to work towards

the establishment of a fund and sets out how it could operate the necessary safeguards, governance, and transparency measures, prior to a proposition being lodged for debate in 2021.

Refinancing of pension debt

We have two pension schemes which currently operate with a debt, which is being repaid though annual sums. These are the Public Employees Contributory Scheme (PECRS) Pre-87 Debt and the Jersey Teachers Superannuation Fund (JTSF) Pension Increase Debt (PID). As at 31 December 2019, these debts were valued at a combined £447 million.

The repayment of the Public Employees Contributory Scheme Pre-87 Debt has been set within regulations, with a fixed repayment date of 2053 and a defined method of calculating annual repayments. Repayments, currently £8.5 million per annum, increase annually by the actual increase in pensionable salaries for members employed throughout the previous financial year. Increases in pensionable salaries arise through pay awards, increments and promotions.

The repayment of the Jersey Teachers Superannuation Fund Pension Increase Debt has not been formalised and there is no fixed repayment date. The repayment arrangement established in 2007, pending formal agreement to the repayment mechanism, involves us paying 5.6% of pensionable salaries (currently £3.4 million per annum) towards the Pension Increase Debt as part of the overall employer contribution rate. The Jersey Teachers Superannuation Fund Pension Increase Debt is not expected to be repaid until early 2100s, at significant long-term cost.

Latest estimates show that the total repayments of this debt over these timeframes will amount to £4 billion. Options for repayment of the pension increase debts have been analysed, and significant long-term savings

can be achieved through the early repayment of the debts. It would

be advantageous to borrow, or otherwise refinance in the current low interest rate environment to repay the debts. Subject to further work and borrowing capacity, consultation with stakeholders, and further technical work and exploration of other options, proposals will be progressed with a view to implementing them by the Government Plan 2022-25.

Introduction of independent taxation

In November 2019, the States Assembly agreed a proposed roadmap for changes to Jersey s personal tax system ultimately to introduce a system of independent taxation.

This is a significant change to the personal tax system that will affect all Islanders in a marriage, or civil partnership, and have financial implications on thousands of Islanders who are currently jointly assessed. Research indicates that moving immediately to independent taxation would

require approximately 8,300 married couples and civil partners to pay additional tax. Managing the financial impact on individuals is a particularly

challenging aspect of the proposals, and further public consultation is planned for 2021.

As a transitional step, it is anticipated joint access to tax information will be introduced for couples in a legal relationship in 2021. It remains the government s goal to implement full independent taxation for the year of assessment 2022.

Review of Social Security sustainability

We are determined to place the Social Security Fund in a fully sustainable position for future generations, and will undertake a full review of the various components of the Social Security scheme over the coming months. These components include the contributions levied, other income coming into the Fund, the range and level of benefits and pensions provided and the size and investment strategy of the Reserve Fund. In particular, the balance of contributions and States Grant will be reviewed in the context of the burden of overall government levies (taxes and contributions) on individuals, workers, businesses and employers.

The review will build on the public consultations, previously conducted in 2016 and 2017, and will lead to proposals to be incorporated into the Government Plan 2022.

Health Insurance Fund

The combination of underlying demographic pressures and the proposed funding of the Jersey Care Model, the Health Digital Strategy, and the new low-income access scheme are projected to reduce the value of

the Health Insurance Fund significantly over the next four years. This is anticipated to result in the Fund holding £35 million at the end of 2024, representing less than one years worth of expenditure.

This investment in the Jersey Care Model and the health digital strategies is absolutely essential, and will reduce the growth in the long-term costs of health care on the Island. However, it brings forward the need to deliver a solution to ensure that all health costs are funded sustainably. We will undertake a full review over the next six months to determine an appropriate model for future health funding, with particular reference to the funding of primary care, incorporating the low income access scheme, and the extended primary care services envisaged within the Jersey Care Model.

This review will be co-ordinated with the parallel review of sustainable funding for Social Security pensions and benefits, and proposals will be brought to the States Assembly by the Government Plan 2022-2025.

Zero Based Budgeting

The implementation of zero-based budgeting was a Government Plan commitment in 2020. A project was established to set up a rolling programme of zero-based budgeting across the government. Under the scheme, budget Managers start from a clean sheet (i.e. from zero) with no assumptions. All activities conducted are justified on their contribution to

outcomes, and all required resources to support delivery are evidenced and objectively challenged. Zero-Based Budgeting will provide greater control over our budgets and make it easier for us to redirect resources towards our strategic priorities. This increases the connection between our spending and our objectives, introduces increased cost transparency and control across the organisation, and creates a sustainable culture change in how we financially plan. The method seeks to align our operational and financial planning, with better management and better ability to shift resources towards priorities which will lead to better government.

In 2020, the first phase of work developed zero-based budgeting infrastructure for our incorporating training assets, templates and tools. This is to conduct the exercise and develop a series of standardised

rollout methods that could be deployed within each department. Whilst Covid-19 slowed progress on the programme, the methodology was rolled out to Treasury and Exchequer and Health and Community Services,

and is planned to be rolled out into two further departments before the end of 2020. These exercises have generated substantial insight into

the departments and identified both opportunities to deliver efficiencies in the short-term, and priority areas where further work can be focused. This ongoing challenge and review are a key part of embedding zero- based budgeting as a way-of-working across our Government, and the accompanying shift in culture.

In 2021 zero-based budgeting will be rolled out to all remaining departments in the Government, as part of establishing a rolling programme of zero-basing to inform decision making in future government plans.

Review of fuel duty

In the 2019 budget, it was identified by the Council of Ministers that a shift towards increased purchase and usage of electric and hybrid vehicles will, at some point in the future, result in reducing revenues from road fuel duty and Vehicle Emission Duty. It is therefore necessary to consider options to deliver the fairest and most sustainable means of taxing vehicle usage and ownership in the longer run. Tackling the climate emergency is likely to accelerate this decline in revenues and increases the urgency for options to be considered. Work will continue and be considered over the period of this plan.

Parking charges

As part of the Sustainable Transport Plan a rapid analysis review of

car parking is being undertaken that will consider how we encourage behaviour change and model shift away from private car use, including the current and future cost of parking.

Coastal Management Strategy/Shoreline Management

Jersey s Shoreline Management Plan outlines how the Island s low-lying coastal areas will be defended from flood risk and erosion over the next 100 years. It sets out a framework to manage these risks to the community,

environment and economy of Jersey in a sustainable manner up to 2120, over three time periods in line with future climate projections and sea level rise. Some capital is available for implementing short-term infrastructure maintenance and improvement, but further funding will need to be sought over the longer-term, accepting that maintaining the line is the minimum policy and in some cases we would seek to adapt or advance the line . Work will need to be undertaken to assess how to secure the required funding.

Appendices

Appendix 1: Key to Abbreviations

Minister

 

CM

Chief Minister

MEDTSC

Minister for Economic Development, Tourism, Sport and Culture

MEDU

Minister for Education

MER

Minister for External Relations

MID

Minister for International Development

MINF

Minister for Infrastructure

MSS

Minister for Social Security

MCH

Minister for Children and Housing

MHA

Minister for Home Affairs

MTR

Minister for Treasury and Resources

MHSS

Minister for Health and Social Services

MENV

Minister for the Environment

CSP Common Themes

 

CT1

We will enable Islanders to lead active lives and benefit from the arts, culture and heritage

CT2

We will promote and protect Jersey s interests, profile and reputation internationally

CT3

We will work in partnership with Parishes, Churches, community groups, the third sector, volunteers, businesses and key stakeholders

CT4

We will make St Helier a more desirable place to live, work, do business and visit

CT5

We will improve transport infrastructure and links

CT6

We will prepare for more Islanders living longer

CT7

We will explore and use the opportunities offered by digital

CT8

We will nurture a diverse and inclusive society

CSP Ongoing Initiatives

 

OI1

A new long-term strategic framework that extends beyond the term of a Council of Ministers

OI2

A States Assembly and Council of Ministers that work together for the common good

OI3

A modern, innovative public sector that meets the needs of Islanders effectively and efficiently

OI4

A sustainable long-term fiscal framework and public finances that make better use of our public assets

OI5

An electoral system which encourages voter turnout and meets international best practice

Department

OCE Office of the Chief Executive

T&E Treasury and Exchequer

COO Chief Operating Office

SPPP Strategic Policy, Planning and Performance IHE Infrastructure, Housing and Environment CLS Customer and Local Services

CYPES Children, Young People, Education and Skills HCS Health and Community Services

JHA Justice and Home Affairs

NM  Non-Ministerial Departments: BC  - Bailiff s Chambers

LOD  - Law Officers Department

JG  - Judicial Greffe

VD  - Viscount s Department

SG  - States Greffe

C&AG - Comptroller and Auditor General

JOA Jersey Overseas Aid

PPC Privileges and Procedures Committee

Appendix 2: Summary tables

2021 Estimate  2022 Estimate  2023 Estimate  2024 Estimate

(£000) (£000) (£000) (£000)

Income Tax

Personal Income Tax 461,000  500,000  534,000  561,000 Companies 97,000  103,000  108,000  113,000 Provision for Bad Debt  (6,000) (6,000) (3,000) (3,000) Income Tax Total 552,000  597,000  639,000  671,000

Goods & Services Tax (GST)

Goods & Services Tax (GST) 75,700  82,000  85,600  89,400 ISE Fees 8,910  8,910  8,910  8,910 GST Total  84,610  90,910  94,510  98,310

Imp t Duties

Imp t Duties Spirits 7,185  7,293  7,476  7,701 Imp t Duties Wine 8,986  9,122  9,340  9,622 Imp t Duties Cider 860  855  858  868 Imp t Duties Beer 6,569  6,633  6,691  6,791 Imp t Duties Tobacco 16,463  15,715  15,933  15,352 Imp t Duties Fuel 24,993  27,517  27,895  28,307 Imp t Duties Goods (Customs) 200  200  200  200 Vehicle Emissions Duty (VED) 2,730  2,644  2,644  2,644 Imp t Duties 67,986  69,979  71,037  71,485

Stamp Duty

Stamp Duty 26,306  25,507  26,276  27,078 Probate 2,400  2,400  2,400  2,400 Stamp Duty on Share Transfer (LTT) 2,247  2,342  2,442  2,545 Stamp Duty 30,953  30,249  31,118  32,023

Central Scenario 735,549  788,138  835,665  872,818 Annual growth % 2.2% 7.1% 6.0% 4.4% Increased collections - Domestic Compliance 8,600  10,900  12,000  13,500 Additional Tax measures 0  10,000 Additional ISE Fees 3,500  3,500  3,500  3,500

Total General Tax Revenue 747,649  802,538  851,165  899,818

Island Rate Income from Parishes 13,486  13,809  14,155  14,523 Other States Income - Dividends 8,133  8,568  8,918  9,347 Other States Income - Non-Dividends 5,473  5,784  7,967  7,949 Other States Income - return from Andium Homes and Housing

Trusts 31,774  32,618  33,520  34,445 Other Government Income 58,866  60,779  64,560  66,264

Total States Income 806,515  863,318  915,724  966,081 Summary Table 1 - Proposed States income

2021  2022  2023  2024 (£000) (£000) (£000) (£000)

Health Insurance Fund to Consolidated Fund 11,300  13,000  12,160  7,825 Charitable Funds to Consolidated Fund 1,044  989  0  0 Loans Funds to Consolidated Fund 0  5,700  0  0 Criminal Offences Confiscation Fund to Consolidated Fund 1,956  1,609  2,396  0

Total transfers to/from the Consolidated Fund 14,300  21,298  14,556  7,825 Summary Table 2 - Proposed transfer of monies between States Funds

2021  2022  2023  2024 (£000) (£000) (£000) (£000)

Funding required from Revolving Credit Facility 335,953  70,864  -5,547  -6,808 Summary Table 3 - Proposed borrowing for 2021

2020-2023 Govern- 2021-2024 Govern- Department ment Plan  ment Plan

Full Cost  Full Cost (£000) (£000)

MS Foundation COO 9,000  7,000 VCP Replacement School CYPES -  17,000 Mont a l Abbe Secondary School CYPES 7,350 Redesign of Greenfields CYPES 7,000 Learning Difficulties - Specialist Accommodation HCS 9,350 Fort Regent (Early Phase) IHE 4,800 Our Hospital (Phase Two) HCS 20,000 Digital Care Strategy HCS 16,185 Office Modernisation  OCE 3,450

Total 9,000  92,135

Summary Table 4 Full costs of projects designated as a Major Project, to be started in 2021 and projects with amended totals since Government Plan 2020

Expenditure  Head of Expend- Income  Allocation  iture

(£000) (£000) (£000)

Departments

Chief Operating Office 1,029  37,667  36,638 Children, Young People, Education and Skills 19,845  180,131  160,286 Customer and Local Services 9,486  100,901  91,415 Infrastructure, Housing and Environment 32,592  77,163  44,571 Health and Community Services 25,031  252,466  227,435 Jersey Overseas Aid 0  12,374  12,374 Justice and Home Affairs 3,457  33,070  29,613 States of Jersey Police Service 234  27,038  26,804 Office of the Chief Executive 145  9,378  9,233 Financial Services and Digital 54  32,137  32,083 Strategic Policy, Planning and Performance 589  10,436  9,847 Treasury and Exchequer 5,261  72,366  67,105 Covid-19 Response 0  87,277  87,277 Departments total 97,723  932,404  834,681

Non-Ministerial States bodies

Bailiff s Chambers 68  1,909  1,841 Comptroller and Auditor General 69  939  870 Judicial Greffe 1,292  8,885  7,593 Law Officers Department 288  8,740  8,452 Office of the Lieutenant Governor 107  911  804 Official Analyst 53  656  603 Probation 88  2,459  2,371 States Assembly 96  7,244  7,148 Viscount s Department 806  2,518  1,712 Non-ministerial States bodies total 2,867  34,261  31,394 Total Departments and Non-Ministerial States bodies 100,590  966,665  866,075

Revenue Reserves Heads of Expenditure

Reserve for centrally held items 0  10,782  10,782 General reserve 0  54,060  54,060 Total Revenue Reserves Heads of Expenditure 0  64,842  64,842

Total Revenue Heads of Expenditure 100,590  1,031,507  930,917 Rebalancing expenditure to be allocated 0  (950) (950)

Total income/expenditure after rebalancing  100,590  1,030,557  929,967 Summary Table 5(i) Proposed 2021 Revenue Heads of Expenditure

2021 Department £ 000

Central Planning Reserves T&E 3,700 DDA, safeguarding and Reg of Care IHE 3,600 Schools extensions and Improvements IHE 5,901 Infrastructure including the Rolling Vote IHE 11,732 Sewage Treatment Works (Existing Major Project) IHE - Drainage Foul Sewer Extensions IHE 1,000

Information Technology

MS Foundation (Major Project) COO 2,570 Integrated Tech Solution (Major Project) COO 9,200 Replacement assets COO 5,000 Pride Software - JG NON MIN - Phoenix Software - Viscounts NON MIN 45 Court Digitisation NON MIN 1,648 Regulation Group Digital Assets IHE 1,290 Next Passport Project  JHA - Combined Control IT JHA 2,000 Electronic Patient Records  JHA 667 Electronic Document Management Solution COO 500 Cyber (Major Project) COO 6,500 Customer Relationship Management COO - IT for Migration Services COO 1,000 Service Digitisation COO 1,000 Jersey Care Model HCS 1,300 Digital Care Strategy (Major Project) HCS 3,400

Replacement Assets

Replacement Assets and Minor Capital CYPES 200 Replacement Assets (Various) HCS 3,250 Sports Division Refurbishment  IHE 1,300 New Skatepark (net of Ports of Jersey Funding) IHE 685 Refit & Replacement of Fisheries Protection Vessel & Auxiliary Vessels IHE - Replacement Assets and Minor Capital (1) IHE 3,500 Minor Capital JHA 236 Minor Capital-Police JHA -Police 200 Equipment Replacement  JHA -Police 170 Replacement of Aerial Ladder Platform JHA 768

Estates including new Schools

Jersey Instrumental Music Service Premises CYPES - VCP Replacement School (Major Project) CYPES - Le Squez Youth Centre/Community Hubs CYPES - North of St. Helier Youth Centre CYPES - St Aubin Fort Upgrade CYPES - Mont a l abbe secondary school (Major Project) CYPES - Redesign of Greenfields (Major Project) CYPES - Vehicle Testing Centre (Major Project) IHE 2,000 Conversion Courtroom 1 Magistrates Court  NON-MINS 440 States of Jersey Police Firearms Range JHA 1,200 Prison Improvement Works - Phase 6b IHE 90 Prison Phase 7  JHA - Prison Phase 8  JHA 666 Dewberry House (Sexual Assault Referral Centre) JHA-Police 1,800 Piquet House - Family Court NON-MINS 1,071 Health Services Improvements (including vital IT Investment) HCS 5,000 Five Oaks Refurbishment HCS 2,550 Learning Difficulties - Specialist Accommodation (Major Project) HCS 2,000 Rouge Bouillon Site review outcome  IHE 2,000 Reorganisation of Secondary Schools CYPES - Our Hospital (Major Project) HCS 20,000 Fort Regent (Major Project) IHE 3,000 Office Modernisation (Major Project) OCE 650 In-patient/support services refurbishments HCS 1,044 Reserve for Central Risk and Inflation Funding T&E 1,500

Total Capital Programme 117,373

Summary Table 5(ii) Proposed 2021 Capital Heads of Expenditure

Depart- Recurring or  Budget

Minister Summary description 2021 value (£)

ment one-off impact

Transfer technology functions from CYPES and HCS into Modernisation and  Spend

Chief Minister COO Recurring 900,000

Digital continuing the application of OneGov principles reduction

Spend

Chief Minister SPPP Defer the implementation of the Public Services Ombudsman for one year. One off 378,000

reduction

Merge the support and re-plan commissioned research projects for the States  Spend

Chief Minister COO Recurring 200,000

Employment Board and Jersey Appointments Commission reduction

Review and renegotiate the GoJ print contract securing some of the

Spend

Chief Minister COO reductions in print volumes derived from an increase in home working and Recurring 100,000

reduction

continued investment in technology

Defer the development of policy for Financial independence in old age by  Spend  Chief Minister SPPP One off 50,000 one year reduction

Minister for Children  Spend

SPPP Defer the development of policy for Long term housing by one year One off 25,000 and Housing  reduction

Minister for Children  Redesign the therapeutic support model for children with complex needs  Spend

CYPES Recurring 200,000 and Housing  (including neuro assessment) reduction

Minister for Children  Review and realign the commissioned budget available for antenatal services  Spend

CYPES Recurring 180,000 and Housing  with demand. Note there will be no reduction to the service reduction

Minister for Children  Review and realign the budget for care leavers with demand. Note there will  Spend

CYPES Recurring 100,000 and Housing  be no reduction to the service reduction

Minister for Children  Review and realign the budget for intensive fostering with demand. Note  Spend

CYPES Recurring 50,000 and Housing  there will be no reduction in the service reduction

Minister for Health  Implement proposals from the HCS Zero Based Budget exercise once  Spend

HCS Recurring 5,000,000 and Social Services  approved by the Minister reduction

Sell a domestic dwelling no longer required by the Fire and Rescue Service

Minister for Home

JHA whilst compensating for the reduction in rental income (prudent estimate  One off Income 450,000 Affairs

pending valuation)

Minister for Home  Through the application of enhanced workforce planning implement a  Spend

JHA: SoJP Recurring 215,000 Affairs vacancy factor equivalent to approximately 1% of staff costs reduction

Minister for Home  Spend

JHA Continue the digital transformation of GST and Customs services Recurring 50,000 Affairs reduction

Minister for Home  Continue the organisational implementation of electronic rostering to replace  Spend

JHA Recurring 50,000 Affairs paper based rostering processes reduction

Minister for Home  Restructure the Intelligence Administration function to reflect known leavers  Spend

JHA: SoJP Recurring 20,000 Affairs and vacancies reduction

Revise and release a portion of the budget for the Health Estate in light of

Minister for  Spend

IHE progress made with backlog maintenance and to reflect capital allocations Recurring 4,000,000 Infrastructure  reduction

within the HCS budget

Reduce a portion of the property maintenance budget to reflect a Minister for  Spend

IHE reprioritisation of assets requiring maintenance; informed by the Office  Recurring 300,000 Infrastructure  reduction

Accommodation Project

Re-structure Facilities Management across Government to create one  Minister for  Spend

IHE centralised function with hub and spoke delivery aligned with the OneGov Recurring 200,000 Infrastructure  reduction

principles

Ministers for  Development of an IHE TOM to include reviews of the overall structure, sports  

Spend

Infrastructure ,  IHE division, business administration and the transfer of customer facing services Recurring 750,000

reduction

Environment, EDTSC to CLS

Minister for Social  Spend  

CLS Defer the implementation of the Care needs at home project by one year One off 400,000 Security reduction

Minister for Social  Spend

CLS Continued review of, and improvement, to customer services Recurring 61,000 Security reduction

Minister for Treasury  Spend

T&E Reduce cash handling fees by increasing non-cash payment options Recurring 30,000 and Resources reduction

Increase income from new charges, and increased cost recovery of existing

Council of MinistersCentral charged services, based on the initial implementation of a fees and charges Recurring Income 950,000 framework

Continue to manage inflationary pressures across government by retaining

Spend

Council of MinistersCentral the budget for non-pay inflation and seeking best commercial outcomes to Recurring 3,718,000

reduction

contract management

Allocated  Continue the best practice of reviewing and securing recurring reductions in  

Spend

Council of Ministersby depart- non-staff budget including locking in some of the spend reductions evidenced Recurring 750,000

reduction

ment during COVID-19

Spend  Chief Minister SPPP Deferred Island Plan Review activity from 2020 One off (325,000) increase

Minister for Social  Spend

JHA Restructuring advisor posts  One off (19,000) Security increase

Minister for Home  Spend

JHA Restructure of frontline posts to resource JCIS/SOJPS dog handler One off (20,000) Affairs increase

Subtotal excluding incremental tax revenue 18,763,000

Minister for Treasury  Increase tax revenues through the continued enhancement of domestic tax

T&E Recurring Income 1,250,000 and Resources compliance

Total 20,013,000

Summary Table 6 Efficiencies and rebalancing measures 2021 - summary proposals

Estimated Income

Income  Annual OperCaotisnt gs   to be paid into  Deprec(£ia0t0io0n) (£000) (£000) trading fund  Depreciation

(£000)

Jersey Car Parking 6,199  5,670  529  1,414 Jersey Fleet Management 4,902  3,008  1,894  1,260

Total 11,101  8,678  2,423  2,674 Summary Table 7 - Trading Operations 2021

Head of Expenditure Trading Fund  (£000)

Jersey Car Parking - Car Park Enhancement and Refurbishment JCP - Jersey Fleet Management - Vehicle and Plant Replacement JFM 1,000

Summary Table 8 Trading Operations Capital Heads of Expenditure

Climate Emergency Fund 2000201)

Opening Balance 1/1/2021 5100 Income 2,700 Expenditure: (4,403)

Closing balance 3,397 Summary Table 9 Climate Emergency Fund income and expenditure

Appendix 3: new revenue initiatives to be invested in for the first time in 2021

The Summary Business Cases for these initiatives will be published at the same time as the Government Plan.

2021  2022  2023  2024 CSP Priority Sub-priority CSP Ref Programme Allocation  Allocation  Allocation  Allocation (£000) (£000) (£000) (£000)

Government COVID-19 Response CSP1-C-01 Covid-19 Schools catch-up programme  904 0 0 0 Government COVID-19 Response Total 904 0 0 0 Improving educational outcomes CSP1-2-05 Education Reform Programme 7,946 11,200 11,200 11,583 Improving educational outcomes Total 7,946 11,200 11,200 11,583

Put Children First Involving and engaging children CSP1-3-03 Youth Service English as Additional Language 150 150 150 150

Involving and engaging children Total 150 150 150 150 CSP1-1-06 CAMHS Service Redesign 0 1,750 2,000 2,250

Protecting and supporting children CSP1-1-07 Youth Service Move On Cafe 53 53 53 53 CSP1-1-08 SARC - Dewberry House 150 150 150 150

Protecting and supporting children Total 203 1,953 2,203 2,453

Put Children First Total 9,203 13,303 13,553 14,186

9,203 13,303 13,553 14,186

CSP2-C-01 Covid-19 Vaccine 5,474 0 0 0

CSP2-C-02 Nightingale Field Hospital  4,313 0 0 0 Government COVID-19 Response CSP2-C-03 Covid-19 Nightingale Field Hospital  4,067 0 0 0

CSP2-C-04 Covid-19 Test & Tracing Programme 2 30,000

CSP2-C-05 Covid-19 PPE Warehousing Staffing and logistics  338 0 0 0 CSP2-C-06 Support for Sports Infrastructure 2,137 1,005 720 0

Improve Wellbeing Government COVID-19 Response Total 46,329 1,005 720 0

Put patients, families and carers at the heart of Jersey s health and care system CSP2-3-06

Put patients, families and carers at the heart of Jersey Support Islanders to live healthierlonger lives , active,  CSP2-1-05s health and care system TAir Ambulance ServicesJersey Care Model otal 6,600395395 8,300395395 6,395395100 4,395395100 Support Islanders to live healthier, active, longer lives Total 6,600 8,300 6,100 4,100

Improve Wellbeing Total 53,324 9,700 7,215 4,495

53,324 9,700 7,215 4,495

Future economy programme CSP3-2-12 JCRA Reconstitution Funding 150 150 150 150 Future economy programme Total 150 150 150 150

Government COVID-19 Response CSP3-C-01 Economic Recovery 15,500 12,000 12,000 0 Vibrant Economy Government COVID-19 Response Total 15,500 12,000 12,000 0

Growing skills in Jersey CSP3-4-02 Migration Policy Implementation 0 108 108 108

Growing skills in Jersey Total 0 108 108 108 Vibrant Economy Total 15,650 12,258 12,258 258

15,650 12,258 12,258 258

CSP4-C-01 Covid-19 Co-Funded Payroll Scheme Phase III 11,300 0 0 0 Reduce Inequality Government COVID-19 Response CSP4-C-02 Covid-19 Income Support Costs 7,498 5,249 3,692 4,549

Government COVID-19 Response Total 18,798 5,249 3,692 4,549

Reduce Inequality Total 18,798 5,249 3,692 4,549

18,798 5,249 3,692 4,549

Government COVID-19 Response CSP5-C-01 Covid-19 Bus Contract 2,000 1,200 500 250 Government COVID-19 Response Total 2,000 1,200 500 250

Protect our environment CSP5-2-04 Natural Environment - Water 300 400 250 250 Protecting the natural Environment  CSP5-2-05 Marine Resources Management 250 92 92 92

Protecting the natural Environment Total 550 492 342 342 Protect our environment Total 2,550 1,692 842 592 2,550 1,692 842 592

OI3-15 Commercial Services Restructure 2,500 2,310 1,680 1,535 OI3-16 Re-organisation - Justice and Home Affairs 314 314 314 314

OI3-17 Re-organisation Ministerial Support Unit 1,390 1,390 1,390 1,390 A modern, innovative public sector OI3-18 Re-organisation - Communications 623 623 623 623 OI3-19 Digital Jersey grant shortfall 303 303 303 303

OI3-20 28-30 The Parade 1,141 1,141 1,141 1,141 Modernising Government OI3-21 Office Modernisation 5,000

A modern, innovative public sector Total 6,271 6,081 5,451 10,306 Government COVID-19 Response OI4-C-1 Covid-19 Revolving Credit Facility 3,746 7,136 8,730 7,803 Government COVID-19 Response Total 3,746 3,698 8,730 7,803 A sustainable long-term fiscal framework and public finances OI4-2 Insurance premium 2,194 2,612 2,612 2,612

A sustainable long-term fiscal framework and public finances Total 2,194 2,612 2,612 2,612

Modernising Government Total 12,211 15,829 16,793 20,721

12,211 15,829 16,793 20,721

OI-NON-07 Probation - BASS funding, regrading, trainee post 161 185 201 212

OI-NON-08 CAG Inflation 13 31 53 75 Modernising Government Non-Ministerial growth OI-NON-09 Election 2022 0 100 0 0

OI-NON-10 Bailiff s Office - additional for Crown appointment pension increase awarded by

SEB 80 80 80 80 Non-Ministerial growth Total 254 396 334 367

Modernising Government Total 254 396 334 367 254 396 334 367

11,990 58,427 54,687 45,168

Table 46 - new revenue initiatives

Appendix 4: Revenue expenditure initiatives agreed by the States Assembly in 2020 as a result of last year s Government Plan and that we will continue to invest in 2021

The table below includes the following information:

   Initiatives included in GP20, broken down at a budget line level

   Revised cost of the initiative in each year 2021-23

   Estimated expenditure for the initiative in 2024

   Excludes proposals contained in the Efficiencies and Rebalancing Measures Plan 2021

   BAU: This column shows whether the expenditure is part of the core business as usual of our departments (for example, workstreams that commenced

during the previous Medium-Term Financial Plan). These activities will not continue to be tracked as projects and will not be identified separately in future Government Plans.

2021  2022  2023

CSP Priority Sub-priority GP Ref Programme Programme Description Revised  Revised  Revised  Alloc2a0ti2o4n  YBEASU/ Allocation  Allocation  Allocation  (£000) No

(£000) (£000) (£000)

Protecting and supporting  Children s Change Programme - Baby Steps 226 226 226 226 Yes Put Children  children GP20- Children s Change  Children s Change Programme - Care Inquiry funding YES Growth 98 98 98 98 Yes First CSP1-1-01 Programme Children s Change Programme - Family Support Workers 180 180 180 180 Yes Children s Change Programme - IJCI implementation oversight 190 190 190 190 Yes

Children s Change Programme - Increase capacity family/children s section 335 335 335 335 Yes Children s Change Programme - Maintenance of Care Inquiry funding YES Cat1 194 200 200 200 Yes Children s Change Programme - Maintenance of Care Inquiry funding YES Cat2 104 104 104 104 Yes Children s Change Programme - Nursery Special Needs  62 62 62 62 Yes Children s Change Programme - Public Protection Unit 127 127 127 127 Yes

Children s Change Programme Total 1,516 1,522 1,522 1,522 GP20- Independent Jersey Care  IJCI - Enhanced MASH resourcing 48 48 48 48 Yes

CSP1-1-02 Inquiry P108

IJCI - P.108 - Parent / Infant / Psychotherapy Service 70 70 70 Yes IJCI - PAIJCI - Pservice plus MOMO App (Mind of Mine Own) - (Children Services)dvocacy W..108 - R108 - Rorkecommendation 2 - Childrenecommendation 2 - Childrener (Children Services) s Vs Voice: Develop a Loice: Develop a new Childrenooked After Children s rights 2146270 214 214 214 Yes

62 62 62 Yes IJCI - Pperformance and quality (CSW).108 - Recommendation 3 - Inspection of Services: Practice improvement ,  138 138 138 138 Yes

IJCI - P.108 - Recommendation 4 - Sustainable Workforce: Accredited training (CSW) 31 31 31 31 Yes IJCI - P.108 - Recommendation 4 - Sustainable Workforce: HR professional with  101 110 110 Yes

admin support (CSW) 92

IJCI - P.108 - Recommendation 4 - Sustainable Workforce: Multi-Agency Specialist

Training 79 79 79 79 Yes

IJCI - P.108 - Recommendation 4 - Sustainable Workforce: On-Island Social Work

Training 221 144 144 144 Yes IJCI - P.108 - Recommendation 5 - Legislation: Children s Policy and Legislative

Programme 400 400 400 400 Yes

IJCI - P.108 - Recommendation 7 - The Jersey Way  200 200 200 200 Yes Independent Jersey Care Inquiry P108 Total 1,555 1,487 1,496 1,496

GP20- Policy/legislation service Care leavers entitlementChildren in need / early help 1,760 1,760 1,760 1,760 No 165 175 185 185 No

CSP1-1-03 delivery Family Law 100 100 100 0 Yes Jersey domestic abuse support 239 239 243 226 No

Regulation and inspection 225 375 405 405 No Safeguarding PB 180 180 180 180 No SARC / development of children s house model 355 355 355 355 No Youth Justice 205 98 0 0 No

Policy/legislation service delivery Total 3,229 3,282 3,228 3,111

GP20-CSP1-1-04 P82 ChildrenEarly Interventions Services  Health P82 - P.82/2012 White Paper: Services for Children (Early Interventions) 3,866 4,005 4,149 4,149

P82 Children s Services Early Intervention Total 3,866 4,005 4,149 4,149 Protecting and supporting children Total 10,166 10,296 10,395 10,278 Improving educational  GP20- Higher education Higher Education 2,583 2,660 2,000 2,000 No

Higher Education P.33/2018 - removal of HCA - Expenditure 3,616 3,735 2,803 2,803 No outcomes CSP1-2-01 Higher education Total 6,199 6,395 4,803 4,803

Education Law 75 75 150 150 No GP20- Improving educational  Schools & Education - Early years 889 1,277 1,765 1,765 No

CSP1-2-02 outcomes Schools & Education - Improving standards 1,200 1,200 1,200 1,200 No Schools & Education - School funding and demographics 942 1,216 1,675 1,675 No

Improving educational outcomes Total 3,106 3,768 4,790 4,790 Yes

Improving educational outcomes Total 9,305 10,163 9,593 9,593 Advocacy for CIN and child protection 100 100 100 100 No

Involving and engaging  GP20- Involving and engaging  IJCI Childrens Commissioner 725 725 725 725 Yes children CSP1-3-01 children Participation and advocacy for LAC and care leavers 130 95 80 80 No

Youth Voice 100 110 110 110 No

Involving and engaging children Total 1,055 1,030 1,015 1,015 GP20- Public Services Ombudsman Public Services Ombudsman 378 0 0 0 No

CSP1-3-02 Public Services Ombudsman Total 378 0 0 0 Involving and engaging children Total 1,433 1,030 1,015 1,015

Put Children First Total 20,904 21,489 21,003 20,886 Improve  Support Islanders to live  GP20- Inspiring an Jersey  Active  Inspiring an active jersey 779 965 965 965 No

Wellbeing healthierSupport Islanders to live healthierImprove the quality of and , active, longer  GP20-, active, longer lives TInspiring an Preventable diseases TAImprovement Plandult Safeguarding otalActive Jersey Total otalAdult Safeguarding Improvement Plan 1,200 2,500 2,800 2,800100 CSP2-1-01

lives GP20- Preventable diseases Preventable Diseases 1,200779 2,500965 2,800965 2,800965 No

CSP2-1-02

1,979 3,465 3,765 3,765

100 100 100 Yes access to mental health  CSP2-2-01 Adult Safeguarding Improvement Plan Total 100 100 100 100 services GP20- Mental Health Mental Health 4,800 4,100 4,200 4,200 No

CSP2-2-02 Mental Health Total 4,800 4,100 4,200 4,200 GP20- Mental Health legislation Mental Health Legislation 629 629 629 629 Yes

CSP2-2-03 Mental Health legislation Total 629 629 629 629 Improve the quality of and access to mental health services Total 5,529 4,829 4,929 4,929

CSP Priority Sub-priority GP Ref Programme Programme Description AllRoecvaitsieodn  AllRoec2vai0tsi2eo2dn  AllRoecvaitsieodn  Alloc2a0ti2o4n  YBEASU/

2021  2023

(£000) (£000) (£000) (£000) No

system GP20-CSP2-3-01GP20- Digital Health and Care SDigital Health and Care SHealth P82 reinstate 2019 new and recurringtrategy trategy TDigital Health and Care SHealth P82 Rotal einstate 2019 new and recurringtrategy 700700 800800 800800 800800 No Put patients, families and

carers at the health of

Jersey s health and care

3,597 3,597 3,597 3,597 Yes CSP2-3-02 Health P82 reinstate 2019 new and recurring Total 3,597 3,597 3,597 3,597

Maintaining health

GP20- and community care  Maintaining health and community care standards 10,000 12,250 16,300 11,840 Yes CSP2-3-03 standards

GP20- Maintaining health and community care standards TRincome deferredegulation of Care -  Regulation of Care - income deferredotal 10,000200 12,250200 16,300200 11,840200 Yes CSP2-3-04 Regulation of Care - income deferred Total 200 200 200 200

Put patients, families and carers at the health of Jersey s health and care system Total 14,497 16,847 20,897 16,437 Improve Wellbeing Total 22,005 25,141 29,591 25,131

Vibrant  Enhancing our international GP20- BreTradexit and International  Brexit and International Trade 110 110 110 110 Yes Economy profile and promoting  CSP3-1-02 Brexit and International Trade Total 110 110 110 110

our Island identity - Brexit  Future Economic

response GP20- Partnership Goods and  Future Economic Partnership Goods and Borders Cluster 250 250 250 250 No

CSP3-1-03 Borders Cluster

GP20- Continuation of External RContinuation of External RRJersey elations fundingeversing the decline in s Overseas Aid  elations funding TExternal relations growthReversing the Decline in Jersey otal s Overseas Aid Contributions 1,234250360 1,234250360 1,234250360 1,233250360 Yes Enhancing our international profile and promoting our Island identity - Brexit response Total

Future Economic Partnership Goods and Borders Cluster Total

Enhancing our international GP20-

profile and promoting our  CSP3-1-06 1,234 1,234 1,234 1,233 Island identity

CSP3-1-07 contributions 2,040 2,930 3,820 4,870 No GP20- RTInternational Tax Peversing the decline in Jersey olicy and eam  Tax Ps Overseas Aid contributions Tolicy and International Team Investmentotal 2,040 2,930 3,820 4,870

CSP3-1-08 investment 1,753 1,650 1,650 1,650 Yes Tax Policy and International Team investment Total 1,650

Enhancing our international profile and promoting our Island identity TFuture economy  GP20- Competition policy and JCRA otalCompetition policy and JCRA 1,75300 1,65000 1,65000 0

GP20- Trade & Export function Trade & Export function 0 No CSP3-1-09 Trade & Export function Total

5,027 5,814 6,704 7,753

250 270 270 270 No programme CSP3-2-02 Competition policy and JCRA Total 250 270 270 270

GP20- Delivering the Digital  Delivering the Digital Policy Framework 541 541 541 541 No Policy Framework

CSP3-2-03 Delivering the Digital Policy Framework Total

CSP3-2-05GP20- Economic Framework and Productivity Support Economic FrameworkProductivity Support Scheme 500366366897541 1,097500219219541 1,500202202541197 1,1,50054119719700 NoNoNoNo GP20- Digital Jersey Academy Digital Jersey Academy

CSP3-2-04 Digital Jersey Academy Total

GP20- Digital Jersey growth Digital Jersey Growth

Digital Jersey growth Total 897 1,097 1,197

500 500 500

CSP3-2-06

Economic Framework and Productivity Support Total 1,000 1,000 1,000 500

Financial Crimes Unit - Economic Crime & Confiscation Unit 505 505 505 505 Yes GP20- Financial Crimes Unit Financial Crimes Unit - Financial Crime Enforcement 447 486 500 500 Yes

CSP3-2-07

Financial Crimes Unit Total 952 991 1,005 1,005 GP20- Jersey Financial SBoard tability Jersey Financial Stability Board 50 50 50 50 No

CSP3-2-08

Jersey Financial Stability Board Total 50 50 50 50 GP20- Migration Policy Migration policy 183 75 78 78 No

CSP3-2-09 Migration Policy Total 183 75 78 78

Securing professional rugby in Jersey 150 50 0 0 No GP20- Promoting Jersey Visit Jersey - Route Marketing 250 250 250 0 No

CSP3-2-10 Visit Jersey - Short Breaks 600 600 600 0 No Promoting Jersey Total 1,000 900 850 0

GP20- Rural Economy Strategy Rural Economy Strategy 272 473 680 680 No CSP3-2-11 Rural Economy Strategy Total 272 473 680 680

Future economy programme Total 5,511 5,616 5,873 4,321

GP20- AML / CFT AML / CFT 950 700 700 700 Yes Protect and build our  CSP3-3-01 AML / CFT Total 950 700 700 700

financial services industry Jersey Finance Growth 400 400 400 400 Yes

GP20- Jersey Finance GrowthJersey Finance Growth - NY office 350 350 350 350 Yes

CSP3-3-02 Jersey Finance Growth Total 750 750 750 750

Protect and build our financial services industry Total 1,700 1,450 1,450 1,450

GP20- Skills Jersey Skills Jersey 675 695 716 716 Yes Growing skills in Jersey CSP3-4-01 Skills Jersey Total 675 695 716 716

Growing skills in Jersey Total 675 695 716 716

GP20- Cyber Security growth Cyber Security Growth 600 443 458 458 No Infrastructure investment CSP3-5-01 Cyber Security growth Total 600 443 458 458

Elizabeth Castle Development 0 0 0 0 No GP20-CSP3-5-02 Heritage, Arts & Culture Heritage, Arts & Culture 963 3,197 2,966 2,926 No

Heritage, Arts & Culture Total 963 3,197 2,966 2,926

GP20- Jerriais Jerriais 386 398 410 410 Yes CSP3-5-03 Jerriais Total 386 398 410 410

GP20- Sport division - minor capital replacements Sport division - Minor Capital replacements 200 200 200 200 No CSP3-5-04

Sport division - minor capital replacements Total 200 200 200 200 Infrastructure investment Total 2,149 4,238 4,034 3,994

Vibrant Economy Total 15,422 18,173 19,137 18,594

2021  2022  2023  2024

Revised  Revised  Revised  Allocation  BAU CSP Priority Sub-priority GP Ref Programme Programme Description Allo( c£a0t0io0n)  Allo( c£a0t0io0n)  Allo( c£a0t0io0n)  (£000) YENSo/

Compensation for Mesothelioma

 

100

100

100

100

No

 

100

100

100

100

 

 

50

50 340

0

0 340

100

100 340

100

100 340

No Yes

Yes

 

340 2,539

340 2,530

340 2,524

340 2,524

 

2,539

2,530

2,524

2,524

 

Reduce income inequality and improve the standard of living Total

 

3,029

2,970

3,064

3,064

 

Housing PDB and long term plan

 

725

950

950

700

No

 

725

950

950

700

 

Tenants rights

 

300

380

380

380

No

 

300

380

380

380

 

Improving the quality and affordability of housing Total

 

1,025

1,330

1,330

1,080

 

 

 

620

620

620

620

No

 

620 481

620 426

620 491

620 491

No

 

481

426

491

491

 

Improving social Inclusion Total

 

1,101

1,046

1,111

1,111

 

Reduce Inequality Total

 

5,155

5,346

5,505

5,255

 

 

 

2,700

4,000

4,000

4,000

No

 

2,700

4,000

4,000

4,000

 

Embracing environmental innovation and ambition Total

 

2,700

4,000

4,000

4,000

 

Protecting the natural  GP20- environment CSP5-2-02

Countryside access Countryside access

 

200

160

90

90

No

Countryside access Total Jersey National Park

 

200 150

160 200

90 250

90 250

No

 

150

200

250

250

 

Protecting the natural environment Total

 

350

360

340

340

 

Protect our Environment Total

 

3,050

4,360

4,340

4,340

 

Comptroller and Auditor

Modernising  Non-Ministerial expressions GP20-OI- General additional  C&AG 25 25 25 25 Yes Government of interest Non-01 funding

Comptroller and Auditor General additional funding Total 25 25 25 25

Judicial Greffe additional Office Holders Pay Review 80 80 80 80 Yes GP20-OI- funding Tribunal Service 78 78 78 78 Yes

Non-03 Judicial Greffe additional funding Total 158 158 158 158

States Assembly  Additional legal drafters 258 258 258 258 Yes GP20-OI- additional funding States Assembly additional funding 736 761 623 623 Yes

Non-04 States Assembly additional funding Total 994 1,019 881 881

Court Service/Inquest Officer 43 43 43 43 Yes GP20-OI- Finance Officer 56 56 56 56 Yes

Non-05 Viscount s Department  Knowledge Management 113 113 113 113 Yes additional funding Office Holders Pay Review 40 40 40 40 Yes

Saisie/Court Officer 48 48 48 48 Yes Software Maintenance 25 25 25 25 Yes

Viscount s Department additional funding Total 325 325 325 325 GP20-OI- Legal Aid Office Legal Aid Office 400 400 400 400 Yes Non-06 Legal Aid Office Total 400 400 400 400

GP20-OI- Probation Service additional funding Probation Service BaSS Projects 35 35 35 35 Yes Non-07 Probation Service additional funding Total 35 35 35 35

1,937 1,962 1,824 1,824 Non-Ministerial eA newframework, long-term strategic xpressions of interest TGP20-OI1-01otalCensus 2021 Total Census 2021 450 0 0 0 No

Census 2021 450 0 0 0

A new, long-term strategic framework Total 450 0 0 0

A SCouncil of Ministers that tates Assembly and  GP20-OI2-01 Sservicestates Greffe extended  States Greffe extended services 534 729 504 504 Yes work together for the  States Greffe extended services Total 534 729 504 504

common good

A States Assembly and Council of Ministers that work together for the common good Total

A modern, innovative  GP20-OI3-01 Building RTeam evenue Jersey Building Revenue Jersey Team 2,685534 1,466729 504995 504995 Yes public sector Building Revenue Jersey Team Total 2,685 1,466 995 995

GP20-OI3-02 Commercial Services -  Commercial Services - Target Operating Model 1,450 1,500 1,550 1,550 Yes enhanced capabilities

Commercial Services - enhanced capabilities Total 1,450 1,500 1,550 1,550 GP20-OI3-03 Domestic Compliance ( Spend to Raise ) Domestic Compliance ( Spend to Raise ) 1,562 1,505 1,505 1,505 Yes

Domestic Compliance ( Spend to Raise ) Total 1,562 1,505 1,505 1,505

Enabling policy excellence Enabling Policy Excellence across the Government 20 60 80 80 No GP20-OI3-04 across the Government

Enabling policy excellence across the Government Total 20 60 80 80 Government of Jersey

GP20-OI3-05 Bank charges Government of Jersey Bank Charges 300 300 300 300 No

Government of Jersey Bank charges Total 300 300 300 300 GP20-OI3-06 GST de-minimis changes GST de-minimis changes 200 200 200 200 No

GST de-minimis changes Total 200 200 200 200

2021  2022  2023

CSP Priority Sub-priority GP Ref Programme Programme  Revised  Revised  Revised  Alloc2a0ti2o4n  YBEASU/ Description Allocation  Allocation  Allocation  (£000) No

(£000) (£000) (£000)

Guernsey-Jersey Joint

GP20-OI3-07GP20-OI3-08GP20-OI3-11GP20-OI3-12 Modernisation and Digital - enhanced capabilities TPServices - enhanced capabilitiesPPPSupply Jersey Maintenanceeople and Corporate eople and Corporate Services - enhanced capabilities Tolicing 2020-23olicing 2020-23 T, Licencing otal Guernsey-Jersey Joint WModernisation & Digital - TPPSupply Jersey Maintenanceeople & Corporate Services - People & Corporate Services - Sustainotalorking Programmearget Operating Model, Licencing & Procure to Potaleople Strategy ay Analysis  5,0005,0002,50040407575 2,0004,9004,90040407575 1,5005,5,10010040407575 6,0006,0001,50040407575 YYNoNoeess

Working Programme

Guernsey-Jersey Joint Working Programme Total

Increased audit fees Increased audit fees

Increased audit fees Total

GP20-OI3-09 Modernisation and Digital - enhanced capabilities

GP20-OI3-10 People & Corporate Services - Respond 2,400 2,600 2,700 2,800 No 2,800 2,900 3,000 3,100 Yes

7,700 7,500 7,200 7,400 Policing 2020-2023 1,630 1,784 1,907 2,046 No

1,630 1,784 1,907 2,046

and Procure to Pay  133 133 133 0 Yes analysis

GP20-OI3-13 Supply Jersey MaintenanceSupporting One Gov - Team Jersey (HR/OD  , Licencing and Procure to PSupporting One Gov - Team Jersey (HR/OD strategic partner)ay analysis Total 252133 1330 1330 00 No

strategic partner)

GP20-OI3-14 TTechnology ransformation  Revenue Impact of IT Investment Fund 4,567252 14,6370 14,6370 13,5700 No

Supporting One Gov - Team Jersey (HR/OD strategic partner) Total

Programme

A sustainable, long-term  GP20-OI4-01 Delivering effective  Finance Transformation 25,6144,567 34,14,637100 33,14,637722 13,57033,761

Technology Transformation Programme Total

A modern, innovative public sector Total

fiscal framework and public  financial management 2,725 2,300 1,271 1,271 Yes finances Delivering effective financial management Total 2,725 2,300 1,271 1,271

A sustainable, long-term fiscal framework and public finances Total 2,725 2,300 1,271 1,271

An electoral system which GP20-OI5-01 Electoral registration Electoral registration 34 6 0 No encourages voter turnout Electoral registration Total 34 6 0

An electoral system which encourages voter turnout Total 34 6 0

A reduction in investment GP20-OI6-01 RReduction in contingencyeduction in contingency TotalReduction in contingency -1,000-1,000 -1,000-1,000 -1,000-1,000 -1,000-1,000 No GP20-OI6-02 Reduction in investment Reduction in investment -116 -117 -117 -117 No

Reduction in investment Total -116 -117 -117 -117

A reduction in investment Total -1,116 -1,117 -1,117 -1,117 Modernising Government Total 30,178 37,980 36,204 36,243

Grand Total 96,714 112,489 115,780 110,449

Appendix 5: Administrative tax measures

Additional Minor Administration Measures to be included in the Finance Law (debated alongside the Government Plan)

Legislating for Existing Concessions

Following a review of Business Tax and Miscellaneous Concessions and Practice currently published by Revenue Jersey and available to taxpayers it has been determined that the following should be introduced into the Jersey Income Tax Law:

Foreign Tax on Trading Profits

This will allow traders to claim foreign tax paid on profits earned overseas as an expense against their business profits.

Transfer of all Machinery and Plant to Successor

Where all machinery or plant is transferred by a trader to his successor, the capital allowances will be calculated as if the trade had continued, provided that both parties agree.

Capital Allowances: Commencement of Trade

Where a trader s financial period exceeds 12 months (up to a maximum of 18 months allowed by the Income Tax Law) the amendment will increase the annual written down allowance proportionately to reflect the longer financial period.

Loss Relief: Enhancement of Article 107 / 107a Loss by Capital Allowances

  This will allow the capital allowances due to a trader to enhance or create a loss for

relief under the above provisions.

  Loss relief under Article 107 and 107A does not apply to companies (other than utility

companies taxed at 20%).

Group Life Insurance Schemes

This will allow a business to claim a deduction against its profits for contributions into a Group Life Insurance Scheme subject to the death benefits payable not exceeding specific limits. This removes the current requirement for businesses to seek approval from the Comptroller of Revenue on a case by case basis.

Taxation of Dividends from Non-Resident Companies Paid Out of Capital Profits (Clarifying Provision)

The Income Tax Law will be amended to make it clear that dividends paid out of the capital profits of a non-Jersey resident company are exempt for Jersey tax purposes.

Other Measures

Pensions: administrative measures

There are two administrative amendments covering pension provisions under Part 19 of the Income Tax Law.

  1. Withdrawal of approval of a scheme and appeals

This amendment will ensure that the withdrawal of approval of a pension scheme, and the raising of an assessment in respect of that withdrawal, will become a single legislative step that can be appealed against by the taxpayer.

  1. Date of election for exemption from tax on lump sums paid from overseas schemes

This amendment will ensure the election date for exemption from tax on lump sums paid from overseas schemes under the pension provisions, matches the July date for filing personal tax returns.

Serving Notices

  1. This amendment will ensure that returns are required to be delivered even if the requirement is not served by a notice in the following year .
  2. The law will be clarified to ensure that service of a notice of assessment can include an electronic notice retrieved via an online account.

Set-off Provisions

This amendment will ensure that ITIS remittances made by employers are included within the set-off provisions provided for in the Revenue Administration Law.

Penalties

This amendment to the income tax law extends the £50 monthly penalty due under the law to the late delivery of a return by a foundation.

Clos de Paradis housing trust

Amend the Income Tax Law such that the income of the Clos de Paradis housing trust that is applied for the purpose of providing social housing remains exempt from tax.

Proposed Amendment to the Revenue Administration Law

Revenue Jersey is to be given responsibility for the collection of social security contributions.

Appendix 6: Managing risk

Some of the risks addressed in this Government Plan include:

Rebalancing Budgets

Risk

Failure to deliver balanced budgets

Mitigation

In response to the measures taken to respond to Covid-19, this plan lays out the financial plan that balances the long-term sustainability and resilience of our finances against the short-term pressures. This plan has been developed hand-in-hand with the measures being considered as part of the economic recovery plan. We will consider contingency measures should the worst-case financial scenarios become a reality.

We will revisit our growth plans introducing halt, defer, reduce exercises, and consider various revenue-raising measures to help finance major projects and deliver political aspirations in order to replenish our financial reserves.

Economic Recovery Planning

Risk

Failure to implement an economic recovery plan

Mitigations

This Government Plan will be our recovery plan for the island. We are actively developing this plan and the governance structures to support its implementation. The Economic Council is in place and overseeing the recovery agenda. In the short-term we will continue to maintain a range of economic stimulus packages as part of our overall safe exit strategy. In the longer-term our aim is to develop a plan to create a more resilient Island community, including business and household resilience, develop a skills strategy to underpin the future especially for young people and building in inclusivity and sustainability. We will also continue to consider our place in the wider world by advancing the Global Markets Strategy in support of market diversification away from historic UK/EU reliance, especially in light of Brexit.

Information and Cyber Security

Risk

Failure to protect Government and Islanders data from cyber attacks

Mitigation

Investment in cyber security technology was prioritised in the previous Government Plan and continues to drive current arrangements. These were tested during the pandemic and responded well. Further investment is now being deployed in order to further strengthen our controls alongside the wider developments to the modernisation of information management systems, which have seen historical underinvestment. Section 6 Modernising Government provides more details on the initiatives we will undertake.

Jersey Care Model

Risk

Failure to implement significant health and social care reforms

Mitigation

Following the review of the JCM, a multi-year implementation plan has been developed with key projects prioritised in tranches. Given the assessment through the JCM review and through planning it is been determined that the implementation of the JCM over this government plan period will be completed in three tranches. The emphasis of the first tranche will be on detailed planning, particularly around workforce and change management, to be able to support our health and care professionals to be able to deliver in the new model, establishing the necessary foundations to deliver on the new model, and driving care delivery through enhancing intermediate care. Implementation will need to be phased, to be able to shift to the new model, while being able to be responsive to any immediate needs on the system, including COVID-19.

In developing a realistic and achievable implementation plan we reviewed the deliverability of the JCM. Considering the emerging challenges, the island is facing post COVID-19, the phasing of the programme has been amended to allow stabilisation of the platform within Jersey and internationally, with the roll out of programme phased in three risk assessed tranches.

Safeguarding Children and Vulnerable Adults

Risk

Failure to adopt recommendations identified in the Independent Jersey Care Inquiry.

Mitigation

Longstanding systemic challenges to progress in partnership working have been addressed in a Children s Plan, which sets out shared priorities and outcomes with key agencies, including better joint planning and joint working across Government departments and with the voluntary and community sector. Funding has been allocated in the Government Plan to progress a range of initiatives that respond to the recommendations in the various reports. Revised ways of working were put in place due to Covid-19, the success or otherwise of which will be evaluated in the coming months and years.

One Gov Modernisation

Risk

Failure to implement the One Government modernisation initiative

Mitigation

We continue to maintain our commitment to improve, transform and modernise Government services, to improve the way in which Government and public services function so they deliver modern, efficient, effective and value-for-money services and infrastructure, sound long-term planning, strategic and financial planning, and encourage closer working and engagement among politicians and Islanders. We will

also learn from the challenges faced during the pandemic and utilise the learning to help shape future health and community services.

Brexit

Risk

Failure to prepare for Brexit

Mitigation

Throughout 2020 we have continued to allocate resources to the negotiations surrounding Brexit in order get the best deal for Jersey. Our key aim is to support

a sustainable, vibrant economy and skilled local workforce for the future. Delivery

of Brexit action plans through the Brexit Ministerial and officer working groups will continue to be monitored on a regular basis. Detailed contingency planning continues and reflects the range of possible outcomes from existing EU/UK future scenarios. A No Further Negotiated Outcome scenario could impact heavily on Jersey in the short-term, in common with other European countries. Whilst some flexibility has been built into the Government Plan, significant adverse impacts may require additional amendments.

COVID-19 Second Wave

Risk

Failure to adequately plan for a second wave of COVID-19

Mitigation

Planning structures are in place to respond to any resurgence of the Covid-19 pandemic. In both the health department and across other government departments, officers are continuing to monitor the situation and remain ready to respond if medical evidence suggests a need. The Governance Framework during the pandemic has remained in place and ready to respond. Public health department have undertaken a lessons learnt review to inform possible second wave activity. There is an on-going review of hospital resourcing and resilience. The tracking and tracing systems have been put in place to enable rapid response if required.

Designed and produced by the  

Government of Jersey Communications Team

Related Publications

Amendments

Comments

Votes

Vote: Adopted 17 December 2020

Minutes

Hansard